Top Tweets for #CONVEXITY
Wow I am about to make 70bps on my long bonds while everyone else makes 6% on other things. My oil stuff will be down 5%.. making for a perfectly balanced day. #convexity #wowowowlongbonds
As “Zombie” #PrivateEquity assets hit an all-time high, it might be worth re-reading our May report on private assets’ negative #convexity.
https://t.co/Axi44y28Rx
Spain doesn't win by only playing defense - parking the bus is the new 60/40. 🏆⚽📈 @BenBrey @ConvexityDredge
#WorldCup2026 #investing #macro #convexity #stockmarket #wallstreet #hedgefund"
Delighted to have Dave Dredge join us once again this week. England's loss to Argentina on Wednesday has a vital read through to his portfolio management theories. Check it out 👇@ConvexityDredge @BenBrey
https://t.co/bjdVRhYFPC
@SemperVigilant1 If you get a pop off earnings you’ll likely get a double as they move to the money near .50delta at which point you have time to decide how you want to play. Sell, hold or open a low cost to $0 spread by selling further out. #convexity is 🔑
@enilev @Fisher85M @HeinzVHoenen @SwissCognitive 💥 Breakthrough
Mathematicians solve decades-old mystery about the hidden order in high-dimensional randomness
ThX my @enilev🪔mom
#happySunday
#Future #Space #Dimensions
#Mathematics #Convexity #ia
#Geometry #Probability #ai
#X #Linkedin #Socislmedia
🍁
@realhagetaka At $whc below $9, the market is saying:
“Coal will NOT have a meaningful supercycle in the next 10 years.”
Even though:
•futures curve implies mid-cycle strength
•LNG volatility and Iran war supports spikes
•met coal still structurally tight
#convexity
Short vol in the front, convexity in the back.
When market fear spikes, sell that overpriced front-month skew to finance your long-term lottery tickets. Leverage + concave profiles are why 80% of retail traders get wrecked. Take the antidote.
#OptionsTrading #Convexity #VolTwit #SharpeTwo
Finding a Lottery Ticket Trade
How to Structure Asymmetric Bets Without Blowing Up Your Portfolio
https://t.co/0ztloWXDml
Everyone focused on the $990 strike is missing the point.
This isn’t a price target.
This is a #Convexity play.
20k+ contracts lifted at the ask into the close = urgency.
That’s not retail. That’s #LiquidityDemand.
At ~$4.78 you’re buying long-dated #Gamma and #Vega with asymmetric payoff.
It doesn’t need to hit 990 to 3–5x if #Volatility expands or #TSLA enters a high beta regime.
Possible reasons:
• #LongVol positioning
• #TailHedge on a short book
• #Skew steepener
• Part of a structured #Options trade
Deep OTM LEAPs are portfolio tools — not lottery tickets.
🚨 Ah yes, the classic Twitter interpretation of options flow: “Someone bought deep OTM puts, therefore the big boys know $btc is going to $20k.”
Come on 😂
OTM puts two years out are #volatility trades, not direction calls. They’re cheap #convexity, hedges for structured products, or outright vol harvesting. Nothing about that flow overrides:
• Global liquidity turning up
• #ETFs structurally accumulating
• Corporate treasury demand rising
• #Asia injecting capital at the margin
• #BTC behaving like a macro asset, not a #meme stock
But sure, let’s ignore $100B+ in real inflows because someone bought lottery-ticket insurance.
If $20k is “on target,” your model is running on medieval #astrology, not #macro.
$BTC $20k by June 2026?
That's right on target for lower support.
The big boys know what they're doing😉
Jensen’s inequality in one picture:
f(\mathbb E[z]) \le \mathbb E[f(z)]
A beautifully simple property of convex functions with deep implications in ML and probability.
#Jensen #Convexity #Probability #MachineLearning
![ickma2311's tweet photo. Jensen’s inequality in one picture:
f(\mathbb E[z]) \le \mathbb E[f(z)]
A beautifully simple property of convex functions with deep implications in ML and probability.
#Jensen #Convexity #Probability #MachineLearning https://t.co/3UPTRt1M0s](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G7gKBTbakAAbDcC.jpg)
Appropriate that, while I spend a week among the Greeks, this week’s podcast is a wonderful chat with @ConvexityDredge, all about #volatility and adding #convexity to portfolios for more resilient investing performance. One of my favorite episodes ever.
In summary:
$MSTR is structurally long BTC — but emotionally short market confidence.
That’s why it bleeds faster and rallies slower.
#Bitcoin #MicroStrategy #Macro #Convexity #Finance #Investing #BTC #Markets
Green light or not, a quick glance both ways when crossing a street is the cheapest and easiest hedges one can make. Been trying to introduce #convexity and #optionality to my kids
By “a bunch” I mean $50-$100 of a dozen different absolute worthless pieces of digital snake-oil like this.
It’s called #convexity
Math Snack: Emergent Systems in Artificial Intelligence
On convex decision regions in deep network representations ~ "Convexity"
https://t.co/EYKRYWQEpC
#Topology #Math #Design #Convexity #Psychology #AI #Consciousness #Neuroscience
Exactly one week ago we had the inaugural Abuja In the Boardroom Series with the co-founder of @withconvexity_ It was a huge success and @justcharlz_ shared inspiring insights and widen our perspective.
#PAUAlumni #BoardroomSeries #PAUAlumniAbuja #Convexity #PAU
Your daily dose of #convexity wisdom 👇
"Your first task is to find what feels effortless to you.
Your second task is to put maximum effort into it."
Staying vega, delta and emotion neutral. Vol may fade at least for now.
#volatility #convexity #optiontrader #options
#convexity hedging was evident recently in the tightening spread b/w a 10y interest rate swap and 10y UST yield, chart @ReutersBiz .com
https://t.co/vHCgPjeawa
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