Top Tweets for #FEDWatch
Fed minutes incoming 👀 Futures holding steady this morning as the market waits for clues from September's meeting. Tech keeping things afloat. Time to see if the rally has legs. @YahooFinance #stocks #fedwatch
Aktuelle Analysen von Wirtschaftserwartungen, dem FedWatch-Tool und Zinsprognosen deuten darauf hin, dass die Zinsen weiter steigen werden. #Wirtschaft #Zinsen #FedWatch
📢 Mortgage rates face headwinds as 10Yr ticks to ~5.29% & ISM Services Prices-Paid jumps to 74.0 (highest since July 2022)
G7’s 100M barrel oil release offers energy relief, but stubborn inflation keeps Fed hike risks alive #MortgageRates #RealEstate #FedWatch #ISMServices
Mortgage rates face headwinds as 10Y Treasuries tick to ~5.29% & ISM Services Prices-Paid jumps to 74.0.
G7’s 100M barrel oil release offers relief, but inflation keeps Fed hike risks alive. #MortgageRates #RealEstate #FedWatch #ISMServices
Questions? Drop a comment now! 👇👇
@MicNguyenn105 That’s a serious sentiment flip 👀📊 From 64% hike odds to 78% hold in a week changes the backdrop for risk assets. Now the question is whether markets front-run easier policy. #FedWatch
Gold remains under pressure as a stronger USD and elevated Treasury yields weigh on demand.
Key levels: 4110 support | 4165 resistance.
The next move could depend on how price reacts around these zones.
#PreciousMetals #FedWatch #SafeHaven
Report from Global Banking & Finance Review Markets bounce as dollar cools and Fed bets ease. Big takeaway: stay nimble with macro shifts, risk-on sectors can rally when rate bets soften. #GlobalMarkets #Forex #Dollar #FedWatch #Investing #FinanceNews #StockMarket 📈💹 https://t.co/evsn2z0uuj
U.S. payrolls: 29K vs. 90K expected
Unemployment: 4.2%
Treasury yields fell and Fed hike odds dropped as markets reacted to the softer labor data.
Soft landing — or slowdown warning?
#USJobsReport #NonfarmPayrolls #FedWatch #MacroTrading
FedWatch now shows a 74% probability of the Fed holding rates at 3.75%–4.00% at the October 28 meeting, versus 26% odds of a 25 bps cut to 3.50%–3.75%. Markets remain focused on the Fed’s next move.
#Fed #FedWatch #InterestRates
Oct 1st opens w/ yield curve steepening & 10Yr near ~5.32%. Jobless claims low at 197k & ISM prices-paid jumps to 77.9.
‼️ 𝐇𝐮𝐠𝐞 𝐒𝐞𝐩𝐭 𝐉𝐨𝐛𝐬 𝐑𝐞𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭 𝐝𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐬 𝐅𝐫𝐢 𝐀𝐌. 🏠🔒
#MortgageRates #RealEstate #FedWatch #JobsReport
Questions? Drop a comment now! 👇
FUN FACT 🚨: The Federal Reserve has NEVER hiked in October ahead of a U.S. Election but the market is currently pricing in a 70% chance of that happening next month 🤯 👀
The Fed's current watch suggests a 68% chance of a rate hike in October and another in December, followed by a pause in January. All eyes are on upcoming PCE and non-farm payroll data to see how this outlook shifts. #FedWatch #InterestRates #Economy
#FED LOCKS IN ANOTHER #HIKE AS #KASHKARI WARNS #INFLATION IS SPREADING BEYOND #OIL
Key Details: The #FOMC lifted the funds range 25bp to 3.75-4.00% unanimously, and twelve of eighteen participants project one further 2026 hike, with four projecting two. #CME #FedWatch priced 13.8bp for October and 33bp by December on 18 September. Kashkari told Fox News that inflation remains too high and that pressures have spread beyond the #oil-price shock of the #Iran #war, while Schmid sees inflation trending above 3%, ahead of at least ten #Fed appearances this week. Investors are shifting focus to shorter-dated #Treasuries in a bet the central bank will win its inflation fight.
Impact Assessment: The front end carries the tightening: 2-year #Treasuries rose 7.5bp to 4.745% on Friday and the #dollar index touched 100.55. Broadening inflation argues against an early pause and keeps further #hikes on the table, as competing narratives pit a transitory oil shock against broadening inflation; an October hike skews rates higher, pressuring long-#duration #equities, #gold carry and #highyield spreads. The rotation into short-dated Treasuries reflects confidence in the Fed's resolve but also caution on long-end fiscal risk, leaving the #curve and the #dollar sensitive to incoming core inflation data. Wednesday's flash #PMI is the path-dependent release that could unwind October pricing.
Thoughts of the day, Daily Market News over the last 24 hours.
Read more, for the full analysis
Thoughts for the day NEWS
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🥳 Fed hikes short-term rates 25bps (to 3.75%–4.00%), 𝒃𝒖𝒕 𝒎𝒐𝒓𝒕𝒈𝒂𝒈𝒆 𝒃𝒐𝒏𝒅𝒔 𝑹𝑨𝑳𝑳𝒀! 10Y drops ~8bps to ~4.94% as oil @ ~$101/bbl.
𝐂𝐀𝐕𝐄𝐀𝐓: 𝐌𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐠𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐬 𝐝𝐨𝐧'𝐭 𝐦𝐨𝐯𝐞 𝟏:𝟏 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐅𝐞𝐝. #MortgageRates #FedHike #FedWatch #Oil
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