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RBI Monetary Policy की क्या रहीं खास बातें?
महंगाई के अनुमान में क्या हुआ बदलाव?
जानिए अनिल सिंघवी से...
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India’s domestic consumption to drive 7.2 pc real GDP growth in FY27: Report
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خبر کی مزید تفصیل جانئیے
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RBI forecasts on growth, inflation based on robust data: Deputy Governor https://t.co/GnR43cCDxv
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My CPI inflation forecast for September is 2.64%; the likelihood of year-end inflation exceeding the upper bound of the CBRT’s forecast range is increasing
#SeptemberInflation #CPI #InflationForecast
In May-June, monthly CPI inflation fell below 2%, fueling optimistic expectations for a faster decline in annual inflation. Unfortunately, in the following two months, inflation climbed back above that threshold. My projection for September points to a further acceleration beyond those levels.
Although the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) referenced developments likely to exert upward pressure in September in the minutes of its latest interest rate meeting last week, it remains uncertain whether these risk factors will prove to be temporary.
Key details behind my inflation forecast:
📌Food inflation is approaching 3% again. There’s a more balanced trend between unprocessed and processed food categories. On the unprocessed side, a decline in fresh fruits-especially lemons-has a supportive effect, while significant price increases are observed in vegetables, poultry, and eggs. Processed food inflation remains high, although slightly more moderate than last month, despite pressure from dairy products. As a result, annual food inflation continues to hover around 33%, posing a major risk to the disinflation process in the coming period.
📌 Price increases in durable consumer goods persist. We may observe monthly average increases in the 2–3% range for household appliances and automobiles.
📌 Although its direct weight is low, education services are contributing to inflation through indirect effects. Monthly increases in education-related expenses could reach 20%. Additionally, accommodation services and transportation fees are adding further upward pressure to monthly inflation.
📌 The continued rise in gold prices is another factor contributing to the monthly inflation rate.
📌 On the other hand, price movements in clothing-footwear, energy, healthcare, communication, and entertainment-culture remain relatively moderate.
📌 Beyond the headline inflation rate, price movements in sticky components such as rent and food services will be crucial for assessing the underlying trend. Following the spike in July and the pullback in August, the sustainability of this moderation will be closely watched.
📌 My forecast for the C-core inflation indicator stands at 2.75%, which remains a significant level.
Medium-term outlook after September inflation:
📌 The decline in annual inflation will lose momentum again. My forecast drops slightly from 32.95% to around 32.50%.
📌 It’s becoming increasingly difficult for annual inflation to fall below 30% by year-end. I’m revising my year-end forecast upward from 29.5% to 30.5%.
📌 It wouldn’t be surprising if the CBRT continues its rate-cut cycle at the October meeting. However, it may consider slowing the pace of cuts.
📉🛒 RBI lowers FY26 inflation forecast to 3.7%! A sign of cooling prices or a warning on weak demand? 🧾 How will this shape interest rates and your wallet? 👇
#RBI #InflationForecast #PriceStability
https://t.co/Lrf22PRz4p
Thailand's 2024 inflation is projected at 0.2%-0.8%, rising to 0.3%-1.3% in 2025 due to economic growth and diesel prices. But will public spending and cost-cutting measures balance it out? Share your thoughts! #ThailandEconomy #InflationForecast
Retail Inflation likely to dip below 4% due to high base effect: Analysts
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#RBIMonetaryPolicy | RBI MPC: FY25 CPI inflation projection remains at 4.5%. 📊🏦
Read more here⤵️
https://t.co/92kimYpICf
#RBIMPC #InflationForecast #FY25 #CPIInflation #EconomicOutlook
#FinancialForecast
🧵How might the presidential election affect inflation? 📈 Our latest Monday Morning Outlook explores potential economic impacts.
Don’t miss this in-depth analysis ➡️ https://t.co/iNsLboAb0n
#Economics #InflationForecast
Why Have Inflation Forecasts Been So Wrong?
"if the prevailing models work only when variables are relatively stable, they are of little use."
#inflation #inflationforecast
https://t.co/sjoNkdstXI
Predictions point to the core CPI remaining under 3.5% in FY25, with the headline CPI potentially syncing up with core inflation over the medium term. Future financial stability in sight? #CPI #InflationForecast
We expect the national CPI inflation for Mar-24 to clock around 20.9% YoY as compared to 23.1% YoY last month
#EconomicOutlook #FinanceProfessionals #InflationControl #CentralBanking #EconomicPolicy #RateCutPredictions #InflationForecast #EconomicAnalysis #InvestmentInsights
📉 IMF Adjusts 2024 Global Inflation Forecast ⬇️
The IMF revises its 2024 global inflation estimate to 5.8%. Stay informed about evolving economic trends. 🌐💹
#InflationForecast #IMF
Key pointers from RBI Monetary Policy October 2023.
#BarodaBNPParibas #RBI #MPC #GDP #InflationForecast #IndianEconomy #MutualFundsSahiHai
Post Monetary Policy Press Conference by RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das
#live #rbi #inflationforecast #rbipolicy https://t.co/8WoeYK1aS3
Bangladesh's Economic Growth Forecast Boosted to 6.5% for FY24: Asian Development Bank Report
#AsianDevelopmentBank #EconomicGrowth #BangladeshEconomy #GrowthForecast #InflationForecast https://t.co/gFWV2hfBOx
Mapped: 2023 Inflation Forecasts by Country
Following the 8.8% global inflation rate in 2022, the IMF forecasts a 6.6% rate for 2023.
https://t.co/Z0POSdsBsL
#inflation #inflationforecast #DataVisualization #Forecast23
📢RBI announces 6th straight 📈rate hike, repo rate up by 25 bps to 💰6.50% 🏢Higher loan and deposit rates expected 💳Economy remains resilient 💪Inflation forecast lowered to 6.5% for FY23 🤔Stay informed! #RateHike #RepoRate #InterestRates #InflationForecast #RBI #RBIPolicy
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