Top Tweets for #deterring_aggression
#Deterring_Aggression taught us that war isn’t just a one-way extension of politics, it’s a dynamic, and interconnected cycle. When politics cross a tipping point (say 40% control), entire military structures—local, foreign, regular, or irregular—collapse like dominos. War becomes a "military coup" from outside the elite, not a fight for every inch of land.
What’s more fascinating? The battlefield and “hearts and minds” are inseparable. The fall of Damascus turned national sentiment overnight—no need for campaigns, the entire country aligned instantly. And those once-fierce militias? They crumbled in hours. Why? The #ٍRegime that held them together fell. The revolution won.
كلاوفيتز في #ردع_العدوان
تعلمنا #ردع_العدوان أمرا مهما مثيرا عن "ماهية الحرب"، وهي أن العلاقة بين الحرب والسياسة (وبعدها المجتمع) ليست خطية باتجاه واحد، بل متداخلة ومنعكسة كذلك.
فكما تقول الحكمة الكلاوفيتزية الكلاسيكية أن "الحرب هي امتداد للسياسة بوسائل أخرى"، أظهرت لنا المعركة أن السياسة هي التي تضخم أثر الحرب حين تتجاوز سيطرتها على الأرض والسكان والمراكز الحضرية عتبة معينة (لنقل ٤٠ بالمئة؟) لتنهار بعدها كل الأبعاد القتالية (النظامية وغير النظامية، والمحلية والأجنبية) تحت السلطة الجديدة، لتصبح الحرب - بشكل ما - انقلابا عسكريا من خارج النخبة الحاكمة، لا عملية فرض سيطرة قسريا على كل شبر.
المثير أيضا هو التداخل بين "الميدان" و"العقول والقلوب"، أي بين الحرب والمجتمع، فمثلما تحقق الانطباعات نبوءة النصر ذاتيا، أي مثلما ساهمت صور النجمات الثلاثة في حلب بسقوط حماة ثم حمص وصولا إلى دمشق؛ تحولت كل "العقول والقلوب" مرة واحدة بمجرد دخول دمشق، فلم يعد هناك حاجة لحملات مناصرة ودفاع وتأييد، وتحولت البلاد كلها تحت الدولة الجديدة.
من الفارق أيضا والمرتبط بهاتين الفكرتين هو أن ضراوة المعارك لا تعني ضراوة الحرب - ككل -، فكيف تفككت مليشيات الشبيحة الدفاع الوطني في الساحل أو حزب الله في حمص بعد أن كانت فرق موت عقدية تقاتل حتى آخر عنصر منها، خلال أيام وساعات؟ الأمر بسيط بقدر ما هو معقد: لقد سقط النظام، أي المنظومة التي تحكم كل هذا، فلم يعد هناك حاجة أو معنى للقتال الفردي، وانتصرت الثورة.
The Military Operations Department announces a general amnesty for all military personnel conscripted under compulsory service. They have security for their lives and are prohibited from being assaulted.
#Military_Operations_Management
#Deterring_aggression
تعلن إدارة العمليات العسكرية العفو العام عن جميع العسكريين المجندين تحت الخدمة الإلزامية، فلهم الأمان على أرواحهم ويُمنع التعدي عليهم.
#إدارة_العمليات_العسكرية
#ردع_العدوان
🇸🇾 SÍRIA 🇸🇾
08.12.2024
Presos foram libertados no dia da sua execução...o fim do pesadelo dos detidos nas prisões do antigo regime sírio
Relatório: Farah Qadadah
#Deterring_aggression
By: أخبار سوريا - أخبار على الإنترنت
🇸🇾 SÍRIA 🇸🇾
08.12.2024
Um túnel secreto sob a casa do irmão do presidente fugitivo do regime sírio, Maher al-Assad
#Deterring_aggression
#Sírio
By: التلفزيون العربي
The Assad regime has fallen, but the Syrian people remain
#deterring_aggression
Defection of Prime Minister Mohammad Ghazi Al-Jallali from Assad’s government, along with several ministers.
FREE SYRIA …… LOADING ⏳⏳⏳
#Deterring_Aggression #Syria #Damascus #ردع_العدوان
The Military Operations Directorate announces its control over the villages of #Zafranah and #Deir_Foul north of Homs after clashes with regime forces as part of the #Deterring_Aggression operation.
إدارة العمليات العسكرية تعلن سيطرتها على قريتي #الزعفرانة و #دير_فول شمال حمص بعد اشتباكات مع قوات النظام ضمن عملية #ردع_العدوان
A statement by the #Homs Al-Adiya revolutionaries on the promise to the people of #Rastan as part of #deterring_aggression operations
Les rebelles syriens ont commencé à pénétrer dans la ville de #Hama par 3 axes
#ردع_العدوان
#Deterring_Aggression
Le retour des Syriens déplacés dans leurs régions après des années de souffrance.
#ردع_العدوان
#Deterring_Aggression
Une rencontre touchante entre deux frères d'#Alep qui ne se sont pas vus depuis de nombreuses années à cause de la guerre.
#ردع_العدوان
#Deterring_Aggression
As a reminder: This is the criminal gang that we are fighting and we want to free our people from their grip. Share the clip and contribute to supporting the martyrs of our revolution.
#Solidarity_Pit #Deterring_aggression
Syria TV: Military Operations Department: 30 members of the regime forces surrendered themselves on the #Aleppo-Khanaser road as part of the #Deterring_Aggression operation.
https://t.co/i0JOoQQE1V
#عاجل | إدارة العمليات العسكرية: 30 عنصرا من قوات النظام سلموا أنفسهم على طريق #حلب خناصر ضمن عملية #ردع_العدوان
#تلفزيون_سوريا #أخبار_سوريا #فجر_الحرية
On #Deterring_Aggression & SNA Cohesion as Groups 🧵
📌The swift capture of Aleppo by these groups surprised many, but this was largely due to the regime’s military weakness without Russian air force support.
📌In scholarship on armed groups, seizing land may enhance their negotiating power and leverage. However, governance and control bring significant challenges, especially when cohesion and centralization are lacking.
📌My research shows these groups face structural challenges in maintaining centralized command, especially due to Turkey’s consistent interference in shaping their organizational structure.
📌To overcome these weaknesses, these groups must define clear objectives and avoid the wishful thinking that they can overthrow the regime without addressing their internal shortcomings.
📌The international community must intervene through immediate negotiations to protect civilians from retaliation by the regime, Iran, and Russia.
📌Violations occur in times of war, but the Syrian Opposition Coalition and the Syrian Interim Government must communicate effectively with international partners to ensure these groups are held accountable for any violations against civilians.
On #Deterring_Aggression: The Local and External Factors
Since the start of the Syrian revolution, analyses have often attributed events to external factors and international arrangements. Marginalizing the local dimension has consistently been a hallmark of external perspectives on the revolution and its developments.
👇
Rebels on the outskirts of Hama #deterring_aggression
My five strategic cents on #Deterring_Aggression over the past three days
(Please consider the green wave change in the maps):
- First and foremost, all of this, after Allah's grace, would not have been possible without the sacrifices of the martyrs, the patience of the refugees, the displaced, and the detainees, as well as the planning and preparation of the revolutionaries. May God accept their efforts and forgive our shortcomings.
- The attack followed the model of a Surprise Attack, employing the well-known "blitzkrieg" tactic, which overwhelms the enemy in a short time. The common outcome of such attacks is that their repercussions are long-lasting, and history never returns to how it was before, regardless of the results.
-In the "battle of hearts and minds" — politically, socially, and in the media — the revolutionaries have clearly won this round. The images of the three-star flags in Aleppo, Saraqib, Maarat al-Numan, and other areas during this brief period will remain etched in memory. They reaffirm the narrative of the revolution: that it is a just cause backed by strength. Meanwhile, the regime has proven incapable of protecting its strongholds and urban centers, forcing Syrians to reevaluate their alignment between a regime they chose out of fear of its power—now crumbling—and the people of their own nation who have grown wiser and more resilient.
- On the military front, it is almost impossible to halt this rapid expansion now, nor will it be easy to reverse it, even in years. Let’s not forget that it took the regime four years to retake half of Aleppo and another four years to regain Saraqib, Maarat al-Numan, and Khan Sheikhoun—all of which the revolutionaries liberated in less than 36 hours.
Back then, the revolutionaries were weaker, less organized, and more fragmented. Meanwhile, the regime’s allies—not the regime itself, which has been on life support since 2013—were at the height of their strength and entirely focused on supporting it. Now, those same allies are drained, tied up in Ukraine and other critical fronts.
With the revolutionaries gaining strength and the regime’s allies weakening, reclaiming these territories won’t be quick or easy for the regime.
- Will there be a counterattack? Absolutely. The regime and its allies will regroup, and we may see some counteroffensives. On the ground, however, the revolutionaries hold the upper hand: they are trained, motivated, and well-prepared, unlike the regime’s faltering forces or its mercenary militias. The main challenge remains, as we all rightly fear, air power.
I’ll take the risk to say that even air power is largely deterred for three main reasons:
* Before the attack: The timing was strategic, * capitalizing on a period when Russian air power, which could have tipped the scales, was heavily engaged in Ukraine. This made the offensive significantly easier, though it still came at a high cost with many martyrs on the front lines.
* During the attack: Let’s recall the repeated reports about strikes on the Hmeimim airbase. These events suggest the ability to threaten even Russian aircraft there, let alone the Syrian planes, which are less advanced and less protected.
* After the attack: Diplomatic and political efforts are underway to engage with various parties and neutralize them as much as possible. This was evident in yesterday’s carefully crafted statements directed at different actors, including Moscow, which were professional, precise, and well-targeted.
May Allah grant victory to the revolutionaries and accept their efforts, sacrifices, and perseverance.
Aleppo Citadel has become green... #deterring_aggression
Breaking-Official:
Syrian Rebels are controlling the city of Aleppo.
The operation #Deterring_Aggression took place 3 days ago! 🤯
Mind blowing!!!
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