Olivia
Online
Hawksfan Bets
@hawksfan327
Data-Driven NFL/CBB bets
"When there's value you have to take it"
Joined June 2024
423 Following
111 Followers
885 Posts
Each bet you make should have a process based on proper analysis. This way, you are able to "be present" and consciously aware of the bets you make
Sports Bettors Training Camp Day 16/21
Advocacy mission based soley on @60Minutes segment 'The Mis-Match' as expertly reported by @jon_wertheim
https://t.co/DTRoSSeSYm
WORK ETHIC REQUIRED
Let's dedicate Day 16 of Sports Bettors Training Camp to a heartfelt discussion on 'Work Ethic.' The reason is without work ethic, your home life, your sports betting journey will not succeed. Put down the Video games, the constant cellphone activity, computer games and such - then make a decision, again, of what you are willing to give up on and BE PRESENT in your Daily habits, mindset and the evolution of your sports betting culture and work ethic. Folks, with outwork ethic in sports betting ' your barking up the wrong tree.'
How your work ethic that was formed in your childhood even decades before you realized it, until you start looking back when you get older. Work Ethic determines your success or failure and determine the quality of your life, your children's life for generations to come.
The 'Mount Rushmore Of Work Ethic,' of our Sports Betting Industry, is discussed in the below thread. Please read and absorb how our sports betting industry heros work ethic foundation was laid in bedrock in their youth, as early as 7 years old, with cornerstone member of the Sports Gambling Hall Of Fame Billy Walters.
Point is, regardless if you are even aware of your work ethic forming at a young age providing the quality of life and happiness you enjoy today, that will also affect your family for generations to come.
Work ethic born in any and all , 'sink or swim' childhood has not only absoluetly shaped their lives from their early years of scraping by just to 'put food on the table,' it has served our generation well our entire life. Your upbringing in your youth can feel harsh, it can feel unforgiving, and it can feel like the weight of the world is on your shoulders before you even know which way is up. But we want to suggest to you that this environment, as demanding as it is, benefits you more than you will ever know today. When you are forced to navigate deep waters early on, you do not just learn how to stay afloat; you develop a fierce work ethic, unbreakable capacity to navigate any storm that life throws at you down the road.
That raw survival instinct is exactly how the bedrock of your character is poured, block by block, creating the very foundation you will stand on later in life. When you develop that grit at such a young age, you are building the exact muscle required to survive and thrive in any lifetime, no matter how much the world changes around you.
This relentless drive is the prerequisite you must carry with you long before you even realize it. Not until you get older by those who embraced the 'sink or swim' reality and chose to swim with everything they had.
So look at the high expectations and the pressure around you not as a burden, but as the ultimate training ground for a life of true purpose and lasting impact.
That 'sink or swim' reality you face early on forces a choice, and when you choose to swim, that work ethic transforms from a daily chore into your absolute greatest strength. While talent is a wonderful thing, the world is full of talented people who never realize their potential because they lacked the discipline to refine it.
When your foundation is laid in that kind of grit forming your develop an unmatched competitive advantage, you simply refuse to be outworked. Who is willing to do the tedious, exhausting preparation that others walk away from. That level of dedication shapes your mind, sharpens your focus, and builds a reputation that precedes you in every room you ever walk into. People begin to realize that you are reliable, that you are resilient, and that when the stakes are highest, you will deliver.
Ultimately, turning work ethic into your greatest strength means you no longer fear the unknown or the difficult.
You welcome the challenge because you know your history, being cornered by circumstances, and finding a way through. That gives you an quiet, unshakable confidence that cannot be bought or inherited. It is a strength you carried out of the deep waters yourself, and it is the one thing that no one can ever take away from you.
OWN YOUR WORK ETHIC with your OPERATIONAL OVERSIGHT, applied by your work ethic, that will now allow you to now easily overcome the brainwashing BS tactics of FanDummy and DraftStinks, etc.
Be the elevator for others, share your soon to be lighted path to the 5% longterm sports betting winning group, because when you teach others you continually teach yourself as well.
Reminder, please read the below thread and absorb thouroughly as a reminder work ethic is required to survive in a tough sports betting business. You have to EARN it daily.
@RoyalsProps Antonio Williams what a call ๐
any reason for that?Mid round wide recievers rarely contribute year 1 and commanders already have mclaurin
There is a specific process to every bet - but possibly the most important one is learning when to "pass"
Sports Bettors Training Camp Day 15/21
based soley on @60Minutes segment 'The Mis- Match,' as reported by @jon_wertheim
https://t.co/DTRoSSeSYm
Our advocacy purpose of this 21 Day Football Bettors Training Camp is to take decades off the sports betting learning curve of our younger generation of sports bettors as depicted in the attached 60 Minutes Video.
By bringing to the surface what nobody ever talks about or teaches, which is by shining a light on the path into the 5% winning group, in their very first year, providing you are willing to apply your WORK ETHIC to this process and maintain your OPERATIONAL DOMINANCE vs. DraftStinks and FanDummy's predatory MARKETING Strategies with BS Parlays, SGP, Live Betting ,etc - all with 'high hidden juice,' the 95 % losing group has not yet used their 'AWARENESS ANTENNAS,' to identify and provide incentive for them to 'have the eager want,' to enter and remain in the 5% winning group from this point on in their sports betting lives.
They don't give money away at your sports book, its your job is to EARN it!
In segment 14 we discussed 'Bet Split Application,' aligning your World Class 'Barking Dogs,' handicapping from @marclawrence in your back pocket, with @brentmusbers @VSIN high integrity Bet Split technonogy insight, combining both diligently and SHARPLY to identify what we call a LOOKIE - LOOKIE PLAY!
This happens when our personal Sports Betting Filter aligns 100% with our previously determined criteria.
HELLO- , to the 95% losing group of Sports Bettors- Not only FanDummy and DraftStinks are taking advantage of your infancy stage of your decades long sports betting learning curve, you have a THIRD Party taking advantage of you as well - SHARPS AND LEGAL BETTING SYNDICATES!
The process is key for Sharps to wait for the 95 % group of EARLY BETTORS, to SHOW THEIR HANDS, such as home teams fans that just cannot wait to get their ACTION down on Monday /Tuesday, before next Sunday's NFL games that have already peaked their interest and excitment.
NOT SO FAST MY FRIENDS, as the iconic Lee Corso would often say.
*Early Square Bettors vs. Late Sharp Bettors*
How Sharps / Legal Betting Syndicates are taking advantage of the 95% of losing bettors, as well as DraftStinks and FanDummy- Folks, thats the 3rd entity taking advantage of your Parlay and such ill -advised rookie action that shows up and now revealed and skewed within Bet Split Info.
'EARLY weak (pun inended) Monday/ Tuesday action' of the 95 % group of longterm losing sports bettors vs. 5 % winning group of SHARP LATE Bettors, yes the Sharps and the Legal Sports Betting Syndicates, are waiting to identify the 95 % group of losing PUBLIC BETTORS actionable evidence within the Bet Split info, as it reveals not only the Line Moves and Money Moves, Draft Stinks (Square store) vs. Circa (Sharp Store) vitally important Bet Split Info, points out he 95 % losing group vs. % winning group now running 'differentials' with a microscope.
Sharps look to align their world class handicapping with Sports Book NEED, which allows them to 'skim potential profits,' off the SQUARE SPORTS BOOKS like FanDummy and DraftStinks which both are very aware of and look to limit and even cut off 'skimmers,' we are not scammers.
Skimmers apply our work ethic, scammers are simply thieves.
Identifying The 'Lookie -Lookie Play'
READ: Proof is in the pudding, last NFL seasons standalone MNF game, Buffalo Bills -3.5 at Atlanta Falcons - Public $ action was a massive 80% on the road team Bills,
20% $ on Home Team DOG Falcons.
DraftSTINKS and FanDUMMY both sent their Social Media teams, out fishing for more Bills action even though they were holding 80% action on Bills. Why ?
Because their 'Risk Management' teams had already correctly determined the Sharps/ Legal Betting Syndicates Side play position, was HIGHLY likely to be the covering side as well, on the Home Team DOG Falcons.
READ: So exactly what motive did greedy CORPORATIONS FanDummy and DraftStinks have to 'go fishing' for more Bills action?
Again, they already were holding 80% of $ action by Public on Bills, BECAUSE THEY ARE SICK AND TIRED OF SHARPS/ SYNDICATES 'SKIMMING MONEY' from their potential profits.
This is why DraftStinks and FanDummy limit the likes of @spanky and his TEAM of outstanding tech professionals with a WORK ETHIC, second to none.
Final Score, Falcons 24 - Bills 14, another OUTRIGHT UPSET UNDERDOG WINNER for world class handicapper and sports bettor @MarcLawrence as he had correctly ferroted out the SHARP SIDE with his magnificient FIERCE WORK ETHIC.
As Paul Harvey would say, ' now you know the rest of the story.'
Your likelihood of success entering the 5% winning group in sports betting depends on your work ethic and your character that drives that work ethic.
@JoeGavazzi @JayKornegay @FezzikSports @spanky @KWhiteyVegas @KingCreole1 @hawksfan327 @NormHitzges @SportsCapper
Underdogs are great, but you usually do NOT want to take a public dog - its too good to be true!
Sports Bettors Training Camp Day 14/21, based soley on @60Minutes segment The Mis- Match as reported by @jon_wertheim
https://t.co/DTRoSSeSYm
In our advocacy effort to takes decades of our younger generations Sports Betting Learning Curve, allowing them entry into the 5% long term winning group in their first year by applying work ethic required to achieve this goal, which as we say n Texas, 'ain't that hard,' if you know the path in advance that nobody ever talks about or teaches our next generation of sports bettors.
On day 13 of this Training Camp we briefly touched on the origination of Bets Splits as a 'sellable commodity,' of accurate POS info that Sharps / Betting Syndicates were willing to pay for cold cash for.
Note: In 2026 selling any info identified as a ' sellable commodity' ends up in these huge Data Centers being built across the U.S. at an alarming rate. Get this, @amazon Alexa is capturing everything you are saying in the privacy of your home, converting it into a 'sellable commodity' to suggest selling you something sooner, or adding it to your Social Media websites , or website searches efficiently, with AI ' floating prices' to highpoint the price you are willing to pay for goods.
Then we discussed how to eliminate the 'Bet Split' larcenous scam artist selling phony bets , to unsuspecting Rookie Sports Bettors, much like some Handicappers dealing favorites like passing out candy on Halloween, as they are always selling, rather than handicapping. Once the handicapper that resides on the north coast of Cleveland, Ohio dealt out Georgia - 25.5 that LOST THE GAME OUTRIGHT. Geez Louise
We discussed how best to source high integrity Bet Splits, determined by your most trustworthy source , with personal integrity , transparency and most of all unquestioned character, which was the iconic @brentmusberger @VSIN , Folks, 'you are looking live, ' at highest integrity Bet Splits,' in the marketplace today, the ONLY source we would even consider for Bet Split info.
@VSIN Bet Splits Page has the follwing on the same website page for one single price.
*Draft Dummies (Square Store) Bet Splits
*Circa Bet Splits ( Sharp/Syndicate Store)
*Includes a toggle switch for tracking Daily Bet Split movement , Line and Money Moves, that saves you time from logging this each day. We take a pic on our cellphone of VSIN's DraftStinks page (Square Store) and Circa page ( Sharp Store) on Monday, then again on Friday as this SHOW the movement of the all important EARLY PUBLIC BETTORS vs. LATE SHARP PLAYERS , differentials which we apply to our access to world class handicapping.
Reminder of HARD RULE : Never let any Bets Splits, wag the DOG, the DOG always wags the Bet Splits. Without the World Class Handicap from @MarcLawrence , 'in your back pocket,' Bets Splits are of little use.
How we personally apply Bet Split Info:
* We use Bet Split Application for SIDE PLAYS exclusively, reasoning is OVERS and Moneyline Bet Split info are always highly skewed to a point they are useless because the 95% losing group LOVES Totals, and especially loves Moneyline Parlays.
* Select your benchmark number of Bet Splits % that 'raises your 'Awareness Antennas' and interest of an identified Line Movement, Money Movement and Bet Split % movement op on Fridays when your world class handicap is released & placed in your back pocket.
Keep in mnd our Bet Split Application is just about exclusively DOGS, rather than Public favorites.
* Bet Split at 65 % Public is my starting point,
70 % catches my interest and attention.
* 'BEWARE OF THE PUBLIC UNDERDOG!' Sharps / Legal Betting Syndicates will absolutely consider taking advantage of the Public Bettors when the notice Public Underdog with a 65% or so number.
Sharps will strongly consider taking a small Fav and working the line down to their advantage. ONLY, if they have spotted a handicapping advantage / situation identifying why the Public % on the DOG is noticeably high.
Example: DOG is 80 % Public at DraftStinks Bet Split page, at + 4 points.
The Sharps have the price - 3 at Circa page, may buy down to 2.5 and have created a full 1.5 point LINE VALUE on fading the Public.
This could also set up a great 'SCALP OP,' by betting both sides, if the Game lands on 3, which is does 20% the time, your are only risking juice ONLY, TO WIN BOTH SIDES.
Your WORK ETHIC , without complacency, 'takes you home' to the 5% winning group of longterm winning sports bettors every time.
https://t.co/Bn7PYzYsrr
@JonRothstein Wheres the post about Weber State home and home vs Mercyhurst?
@TroyTorrence11 on fire after the all star break!
Aligning your bets with the "sportsbook need" side allows you to win more long term, especially taking the underdog, where there are 2 ways to win.
Sports Betting Training Camp Day 13/21
based soley on @60minutes segment
The Mis-Match as reported by @jon_wertheim
https://t.co/DTRoSSfqNU
Sports Betting second and last Sports Betting Tool Required : Bet Split Technology
Exactly what are Bet Splits , and how you can best apply them to your Sports Book website Operation oversight vs. FanDummy and Draft Stinks Marketing BS?
Let's look at how Bets Splits were first introduced to our Sports Book industry back in the 80's.
We had always said, if we could have looked in our Local Bookmakers locked drop box we would have a decided edge shoving our sports betting addiction up our Bookmakers Ass. Well, Offshore Betting websites were the first to think of , verify they had a 'sellable commodity,' to offer US Sports Bettors,
better know as POS Info ( Point of sale) that they soon discovered was extremely ACCURATE, matching up to the Vegas Sports Books Sides / Totals , we call Sports Book needs, that Sharps / Syndicates look at closely as a starting point in their Handicapping prowess.
Offshores were more than happy to sell POS Info to 'Sharps and Legal Betting Syndicates,' as this 'valuable commodity' was available on the 80's world wide web, back in the day.
So exactly what is POS info? ( Point Of Sale)
Simply put, It is the ring captured at retail and vendors/ suppliers are paid strictly on this register ring. These means it has to be pristinely accurate and trustworthy to benefit all Vendor Partners and Retailers alike. Look, Vendors are paid off this POS Info exclusively. The benefits for the retailers are massive including avoiding shrink. If a customer walks out with a basket of groceries, the Vendors don't get paid for those 'shrink' items.
Same applies to 'Sports Bets Capturing POS Info at sports books, especially in the USA .
Sharps / Legal Betting Syndicates were willing to 'pay a pretty penny' for this POS CAPTURED POS VALUABLE info.
Fast forward to 2026, high integrity Bet Splits sold by @brentmusburger @VSiNLive are still a sellable commodity most in part to Brent's high level honesty, transparency and world class character much like @MarcLawrence
Pairing these two together as your world class betting tools eliminates the larceny of scrupulous websites manipulating accurate Bet Splits by being sold to the highest bidders to throw of the 95% losing group of sports bettors.
Again, do not be naive in believing this , ' larcenous, phony and inaccrate Bet Splits have 'a lot going on,' with tricking the 95% losing group of sport bettors with the 'curve ball.' That is why it is wise not to be too cheap to invest a very small amout of money in your two REQUIRED sports betting tools to enter the 5% winning group. Again, ' penny wide and pound foolish.'
@MarcLawrence and @brentmusburger share a rare, towering character built on rare transparency, unyielding honesty, and and a off the charts WORK ETHIC that built our sports betting on a solid concrete foundation that will stand the test of time vs. FanDummy & DraftStinks BS messaging of CORPORATIONS manipulating the 95% losing sports bettors weak behaviors.
Again, the irony of our new generation of sports betttors is that they cannot see the forrest, for the trees.
IT IS RIGHT THEIR IN FRONT OF YOU, Grab FanDummy and DraftStinks by the balls with your OPERATIONAL OVERSIGHT vs. their Parlays, SGP, BS Marketing .
OPERATIONS ALWAYS SURVIVES MARKETING.
Make it a ' personal challenge,' to not only enter the 5% winning group we are advocating for, but to stay in that 5% group for your remaining sports betting lives.
Remember, it is not that hard - if you know the path in advance and your are willing to ' take the 'road less traveled' in your sports betting journey.
'Take Me Home.' to the 5% winning group that our new generation of sports bettors belong.
https://t.co/RKY08dLj7S
There is a process to every bet you make, if you follow the criteria, you will be on your way into that 5% group
Sports Bettors Training Camp Day 12/21
Sports Betting Advocacy Project based soley on @60Minutes segment as reported by @jon_wertheim
https://t.co/DTRoSSeSYm (full length segment)
BE PRESENT
By now, on Day 12 of Sports Bettors Training Camp we should fully understand staying in your lane as a 'Bet Application Expert' opens the door to the 5% winning group of Sports Bettors is now your FULL TIME JOB & RESPONSIBILITY as part of your 'OPERATIONS CULTURE.' Your dominance vs. FanDummy and DraftStinks Marketing BS Brainwashing Plan will BE PRESENT.
Simply put, 'Straight Play Strategy,' wrapped inside your Game and Money Manangement Skills that you own by your HIGH STANDARDS OF WORK ETHIC.
First of all, 'we are selling nuthin,' as we first said to @TexDolly ( By the way Doyle went 11-1 the last 12 NFL bets of his lifetime thanks to @MarcLawrence )
Never be pennywise, and pound foolish investing a small amount of money in your two needed sports betting work tools.
It would be like shooting yourself in the foot. FanDummy and DraftStinks hates when sports bettors have access to world class handicapping, especially the 5% winning group, if DK and FD sniffs 5% out, their strategy is to limit you in a heartbeat.
Tool # 1 - World Class Handicapping from @MarcLawrence , 'Late Play Service' at https://t.co/2IWukl8gY9
Simply check your ego at the door and go with whom is truly doing the best work.
Applying his unmatched World Class Work Ethic. READ: Your getting the 'Legal Sports Betting Syndicate Side, with 95 % DOG Plays just about exclusively, 2 ways to win - straight up and with the points.
I paid for my first year, for the last two decades my Bookmaker has paid for my service , we simply withdraw a check from our Offshore Betting Accounts after Super Bowl, deposit the check, then dial up 'Gulf Stream Park Jeff' in Florida.
Do the math: When you turn two $440 losing plays into two $400 winning plays PER YEAR the TURNAROUND more than PAID for your entire year of late play service.
Tool # 2 - High Integrity Bet Splits from @brentmusburger @VSiNLive
$175.00 per NFL Season that includes BOTH Draft Dummy ( Square Store) & Circa (Sharp Store) Bet Splits. We locate and apply the Line Moves and Money Moves % 'differentials,' from early week Square Bettors vs. Late 'Sharp Bettors,' usually starting Friday, thru 'Late Steam' on Gameday.
https://t.co/xkffKgsijT
That is it folks!
Later in this Sports Betting Training Camp we will ' show you' how to make the most out of your Sports Betting Tools which is absolutely part of your 'Bet Application,' Process, and Operations Oversight & expertise vs. FanDummy and DraftStinks.
The above mentoring / advocacy insight is to help shine the light on the path for the 5% winning group of longterm sports bettors to now enter and remain in.
AWARENESS ANTENNAS UP!
In the below thread is the VALUE identifying trait of 'World Class Handicapping.'
Your OPERATIONS ability will easily recognize this particular style of World Class 'Write Up - As Proof Of Work,' as @MarcLawrence is an 'Industry Game Changer - with The Fierce Power of Work Ethic, aided by his one of a kind 'Well Oiled Machine.' that ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE HAS NO SHOT AT DUPLICATING.... AI themselves will admit that cannot be done.
Never let Bet Splits wag the DOG, The DOG always wags the Bet Splits, your secondary Tool. Bet Splits simply keep the 5% group of winning Sports Bettors out of the neighborhoods we should not be in anyway.
VITAL : Again PLEASE do yourself a huge eye opening favor and read the below thread and absorb several times. Your ability to identify World Class Handicapping is your OPERATIONAL Sports Betting Oversight responsibility.
Very useful advice, when things go wrong, you must review your bet application process, otherwise the same mistakes could cause your downfall
Sports Betting Training Camp Day 11/21
Advocating project soley based on @60Minutes segment 'The Mis-Match' as reported by @jon_wertheim
https://t.co/XbK3Mt1eZT
In part 10 we discussed our 'Tipping Point,' of what 'bad sports betting habits' we were willing to give up in exchange for identifying a starting path to enter and remain in the 5% winning group of longterm sports bettors.
Recognizing a world class handicapping including, 'WRITE UP AS PROOF OF WORK' as part of your two sports betting tools you will need to enter the 5% winning group of sports bettors for the rest of our lifetime.
Before going any further, our advocacy has a strict obligation to our younger generation of of sports bettors still in the 95% losing group of longterm sports bettors. Noboody else.
Our advocacy goal is to teach / show our younger generation of sports bettors the path into the 5% winning group in their very first year. The irony is , its not that hard if you know the path in advance now that your mentally tough enough to match up in a tough sports betting business, with your 'different' sports betting culture of the 5% winning group. Strongly consider 'checking your ego at the door,' recognizing 'YOU HAVE A FULL TIME JOB BEING A , 'BET APPLICATION EXPERT,' and staying in your lane. This is absolutely VITAL to your key to the front door of the 5% group.
Always remember what legendary Head Coach Bum Phillips of then, Houston Oilers ( now Houston Texans) once said after losing a play off game and ending their season.
Bum said, ' This year we knocked on the front door, next year we are going to knock the damn door down, and play in the Super Bowl.' There you go, let's maintain our now determined culture with the same goal, ' knocking down the damn door down and enter the 5% group of longterm winning sports bettors.' Your key is in your CULTURE.
In Texas we have a saying, ' you can lead a horse to water, but you cannot make them drink it.' This is more true than you may ever realize in sports betting as well, especially when mentoring our younger generation. This is the exact reason they may remain in the 95% of losing group of sports bettors their entire lives, that said, make your own decision.
As a passionate advocate for our younger generation of sports bettors we are simply shining a flashlight on the path to the 5% winning group. With GOAL of saving them the 30 year sports betting learning curve that we personally endured.
We draw a hard line on anyone trying to sell us anything as well. As a Sales Analyst & Retail Strategist by trade, we inherintly raise our 'AWARENESS ANTENNAS,' when someone is trying to sell us anything. Our function is to figure it out independently, then evaluate, then repair resulting in 'reversing the odds back into our favor.'
It works well not just in sports betting, but in other aspects of you life as well.
We think this short example may ' get the point accross,' of why we don't want anyone selling us anything. You should not either.
Example: We were in the market for new Siding on our home. During our 'discovery process,' a CORPORATION sent a salesman out to discuss the cost of this home improvement project. As he was sitting down at our kitchen table, the very first words out of his mouth were , ' I am getting married soon and need to spend $20,000 on an Engagement Ring.' Geez Louis, AWARENESS ANTENNAS UP, with a hard on. Long story short, he wanted to sell us a $110,000 siding job with inferior Vinyl Siding . As we showed him out the front door he dropped his price by the same $20,000 he needed to pay for the ring. Too late dude! We hired an Honest Independent & his family to do the job for 19K, using the highest quality Fiber Cement Siding with a 50 year life expectancy saving our household $91,000. This is exactly why we are 'selling nuthin' during this 21 day Sports BettingTraining Camp.
This is simpy sharing our path into the 5% winning group and ability to remain in that group the ast 20/21 years. The single losing year was a small amout due to our awareness of always recognizing with any type of gambling you must notice where you are at during your ' luck cycle' which is simply part of this sports betting business.
When your luck cycle is cold, ' pump the brakes,' allow the bad luck cycle to pass. When your cycle is hot, stay within your Straight Play Strategy wrapped inside your OPERATIONAL Game & Money Management Skills, not FanDummy & DraftStinks brainwashing Marketing 'chase your losses' BS messaging.
Important: Lady Luck can be a bitch if you get arrogant about a winning streak and start bragging about it to everyone that will listen. Keep it to yourself , while staying humble and kind to everyone you encounter, especially your family members. If not, your on a path of returning to the 95% losing group like stepping in quicksand.
Kindly consider Muhammed Ali's wise and most profound words of wisdom that is the very core single statement of our advocacy. Extremely applicable to our younger generation of sports bettors willingness to apply your personal standars of WORK ETHIC toenter the 5% winning group, sooner rather than later and remain there for the rest of your life.
'A man who views the world at 50, the same as he did at 20 has wasted 30 years of his life.'
Every pick must have a writeup - otherwise it's the same as flipping a coin!
Sports Bettors Training Camp Day 10/21
Advocating for our younger generation of sports bettors based on @60minutes segment 'The Mis-Match' as reported by @jonwertheim in an effort to reduce their sports betting learning curve by 30 years. https://t.co/XbK3Mt1eZT
What nobody ever talks about or teaches to our new generation of sports bettors that are willing to change their sports betting behaviors and strat building a Culture laid in a foundation of WORK ETHIC in stone.
Etched in our mind , in stone, is the 'Tipping Point' turnaround of going from 0-30 winning years to winning 20/21 years of Sports Betting.
I was sitting in a Conroe , TX Hotel room after enjoying an early dinner after a sales call on a major Grocery Chain.
While surfing on my IPad, we came across '$20.00 Tuesday' at Playbook Sports website. Since I was bored in the hotel we made the purchase.
Unkown to me there was this ' WRITE UP as Proof Of Work,' which I had never seen before sent directly to my email inbox.
Since I had been sports betting for 30 years we understood all the info and could digest the ATS advantage in this particular game easily.
While I cannot remember if I won our lost this game, I consider it the 'Tipping Point' from going 0-30 winning years which would lead to winning the next 20/21 years.
So exactly why was this my profound tipping point in my decades long sports betting life?
Simply because I had never seen a ' high quality WRITE UP- AS PROOF OF WORK,' before. Never! Immediately in the moment our AWARENESS ANTENNAS got a hard on.
As a Retail Sales Analyst and Retail Strategy Manager by trade, 'WE KNEW WE HAD A DECIDED EDGE,' moving forward handing our bookmakers their collective DICKS!
The first thing that came to mind, after reading and evaluating this 'Write Up As Proof Of Work,' I was more than willing to give up all my bad sports betting behaviors such as Parlays ,etc.
We immediately knew we could Shove this 'Write Up As Proof of work, ' right up our Bookmakers Ass!
Grinning from ear to ear, this was my tipping point from 0- 30 to 20-1 that we will never forget. The very next Football season we signed up for @MarcLawrence Late Service and have never looked back.
We now had 'World Class Handicapping,' in our back pocket.
That said, we paid for this Late Play Service only the first year, after that my Bookmakers paid for the service out of our sports betting winnings the last 20/21 years.
It was years later before I started purchasing high interity Bet Splits from @brentmusburger @VSIN that became a sports betting tool we would always add and use diligently the rest of our sports betting life.
Back in the 70's we always said, if we could look in our local bookmakers black drop box and have that advantage we could filter more winners than ever.
Later in this Handicapping Aspects of sports betting we will expound further on Bet Splits. Word to the wise, all 'Bet Splits' are not created equal and some are 'bought and paid for,' to the top bidder, to throw naive sports bettors of the track for the benefit of the Sportsbooks that are willing to pay for the curve ball.
Never be to 'naive' to understand this happens and has for decades.
Later in this Sports Bettors Training Camp we will discuss these Betting Tools further that you will need to utilize since now fully understand you have a FULL TIME JOB and RESPONSIBILTY of staying in your lane, as a 'Bet Aplication Expert,' with your plays wrapped up in your muchly improved Game and Money Management skills, yes SKILLS, to elimiate 'Bet Application Mistakes.'
Lastly as we said to @TexDolly , ' we are selling nuthin, we are simply advocating for our youner generation of sports bettors with goal of eliminating the 30 years long sports betting learning curve that nobody ever talks about or teaches.
@JoeGavazzi @SportsCapper @NormHitzges @FezzikSports @spanky @JayKornegay @KWhiteyVegas @winlate @hawksfan27
"Straight plays" are King @jon_wertheim
Sports Betting Training Camp / Day 8 of 21
Advocacy project for our younger generation of Sports Bettors with goal of eliminating the decades long learning curve that nobody ever talks about or teaches.
Based soley on @60Minutes segment
'The Mis-Match' as reported by @jon_wertheim
https://t.co/XbK3Mt1eZT
TRANSITIONING TO APPLYING YOUR NEW SPORTS BETTING CULTURE WITH YOUR NOW ESTABLISHED MENTAL TOUGHNESS TOMATCH UP WITH A TOUGH SPORTS BETTING BUSINESS
READ: What you willing to give up to enter and remain in the 5% of longterm winning sports bettors group for the rest of your Sports Betting Life?
Geez Loise, do we have some examples of what you will need to mentally give up.
Sure we have a few memorable good stories, but the bad sports betting behaviors far out weigh the good stories or we would not have gone 0/30 our first three decades of sports betting journey, then 20/21 winning sports betting seasons.
Will you give up betting every single dollar in Sports Betting website each week?
We can remember vividly if I had $5K cash line of credit with my Illegal Bookmaker 5K in my Offshore Sports Betting account, I would lay every SINGLE dollar each and every week.
No knowledge nor culture of establishing Sports Betting Bankroll guidelines of Game and Money Management.
Let's put the math to this next example of what our younger generation of sports bettors must be willing to sacrifice.
Leo's Losers Lounge - No straight bets allowed, no Mental Toughness required.
Folks, this place is real, not fictional.
We played Poker here on Saturday nights with friends and we have done so for years and years. One Saturday night I was sitting right next to Leo himself at our Poker game.
I whispered to him, 'How many Parlays and Teasers do you bet each week?
Leo replied, '10 on Saturday CFB, 10 on Sunday NFL , for $100 bucks each.
Then I ask Leo, ' Do you every place a Straight Play?' Without saying no, Leo had this ' shit eating grin on his face from ear to ear which was a definite no, without actually admitting a Straight Play never entered his mind.
Then I ask Leo,' how ofter do you win?' At this point, I got another shit eating grin. Which told me he had not had a single winning week since only the good Lord knows when.
Now lets do the decade math for Leo.
*20 parlays at $100 each = $2,000 per wk.
*$2,000 x 18 weeks = losing $36,000 during each football season.
Factoring in a blind squirrel finds a nut every now and then at 10% = + $3,600.
$36,000 - $3,600 = $324,000
Leo's $ losses per decade betting Parlays and Teasers = $324,000.
Let that # sink in.
Doing the math, it should be a very easy question to ask, ' are you willing to give that up?'
When it comes to building your newly found Daily Habits, into a determined mindset, forming your new Sports Betting Culture that will allow you to not only survive, but thrive by matching up your MENTAL TOUGHNESS in a Tough Sports Betting business , ask yourself this question, 'Are you in or out.'
@GamblingHarmOrg @SportsCapper @NormHitzges @FezzikSports @winlate @JayKornegay @KWhiteyVegas @spanky @hawksfan327
Sports Bettors Training Camp Day 7/21.
Based soley on @60Minutes segment 'The Mis-Match' as reported by @jon_wertheim
https://t.co/XbK3Mt1eZT
Advocacy project based on ' reducing your sports betting learning curve by decades,' allowing you entry into the coveted 5% of longterm winning group of Sports Bettors the very first year.
What nobody ever talks about or teaches. The built in - advantages for sports books.
There is a fundamental truth in the world of sports betting that rarely makes it into the mainstream conversation. It is a reality the odds makers understand implicitly, but the 95 % of losing sports bettors never see.
When you look at 'Risk Managers' running these operations they are not SCARED.
They are not losing sleep over the 95% of the losing sports bettors that walk through the front doors. There is a reason for that stability. The reason for that confidence. It is not because these operators have a crystal ball.
READ: It because they understand 'Human Behaviors.' They know regardless if your a novice sports bettor or a seasoned veteran sports bettor who thinks they have the entire system figured out, 95 % of these customers make 'Bet Application Mistakes' when placing their wagers.
The math always dictates that the 'Bet Application Mistakes,' will always, systematically favor the house more than you could ever imagine.
In poker it would be called, 'a stacked deck.'
Train yourself to be a skilled 'Bet Application Expert.' There is no doubt about it, becoming a 'Bet Application EXPERT,' an a operational skill requied , to enter the 5% winning group of long term sports bettors.
READ: 'A Bet Application Expert,' is defined by, one who has the knowledge, has the mental capability and mental toughmess to survive is a tough sports betting business by drastically reducing and even eliminating 'Bet Application Mistakes.'
Again, exactly what is a 'Bet Application Mistake? : Any type of bet other than a Straight Play, not wrapped inside your Game and Money Manangement skills.
We discussed on Day 3 of Sports Betting Training Camp. The 95% losing group must stop the 'self inflicted' leaks in their bankrolls.
The 'game inside the game,' is to see how many weeks you can go without making a Bet Application Mistake.
Key: Log and track your 'Bet Application Mistakes,' so you don't make the same mistake again.
Trust us, 'Game and Money Management,' while eliminating Bet Application skills is hard work requiring 'work ethic.'
Vital: What You Save Is What You Earn, by eliminating 'Bet Application Mistakes.'
Don't beat yourself with DAILY Sports Betting. This is like shooting yourself in the foot.
PJ Fleck: Trained Behavior becomes boring habits, boring habits become elite instincts.
https://t.co/RKY08dKLik
@GamblingHarmOrg @gambling911 @SportsCapper @NormHitzges @FezzikSports @winlate @JayKornegay @spanky @KWhiteyVegas @DougUpstone @hawksfan327
great writeup, this is what separates winners from losers
Sports Bettors Training Camp Day 6/21
Advocating project for our younger generation of sports bettors with goal
of eliminating the decades long learning curve that nobody ever talks about or teaches.
Based soley on @60Minutes segment 'The Mismatch' reported by @jon_wertheim
https://t.co/XbK3Mt1eZT
Core Operational Oversight
Every successful business must balance Operations and Marketing.
Over a half cenury of experience we have learned that strong Operational oversight must always come before Marketing.
You cannot let Marketing dictate your core operational believes and strategy. The same applies to sports betting. You must make good operational decisions to survive. This also applies to sports betting with goal of entering and remaining in the 5% longterm winning group. Lose the Casino Games. Select Sports Books without Casino Games.
You cannot lose on what you cannot see. Reasoning : True long story short, friend won $6,500 playing Casino games on his cellphone. Sold his current car, planning to combine with his Casino winnings and by a better car. Unfortunately he lost the $6500 back and the $ from his original car. Now, he has no car at all. If you are playing Casino Games at your Sports Betting App, you got no shot at entering the 5% group of longterm winners. This reflects lack of mental discipline required to survive in a tough sports betting business. Identify Fair Odds Bookmakers and Utilize Multiple OUTS First of all , avoid Square Sports books like DraftStinks and FanDummy. They are simply predatory brainwashers actively identifying the 95% losing group, then limiting the 5% winning group. Casino games criteria above eliminates both anyway. Do your homework determing if the website is a square with higher prices on Favorites and Overs - since they already know that is where the 95% losing group of new sports are headed. Simply compare betting lines and juice, diligently. Make your operational decision before partaking with websites you have determined by inspection are using square odds and higher juice. If your playing with a corporation avoid taking any Roll Over bonuses as they generally require a 30 x initial deposit action before any pay outs are made. Just another way to force you into more 'action' with goal of never paying you. Local Bookmakers generally use a square website they 'Pay Per Head' for each bettor. These illegal sports betting websites have odds heavily tilted to protect the illegal bookmakers best interest. You could also be playing with an illegal syndicate and not know it, or just a guy looking to hustle your money. As soon as he figures your Sharp and he cannot make any money off you he will cut you off anyway. Always work your Bookmakers, before they work you using your hard earned experience & expertise driven by your work ethic. Give your bookmakers a bit of their own medicine
Line Value Matters Never underestimate the value of a twig. Twigs will come back and take a chunk out of your bankroll over time.
Consider this example: Your square sports book had Cowboys at -3.5, your fair odds sports book at Cowboys - 2.5. If game lands on Cowboys winning by 3, you just lost twice on a single bet. You lost at 3.5, missed the push at 3, and lost at 3.5.
@sportscapper @GamblingHarm @stevefezzik @normhitzges @6texastornado
Day 5 / Sat. -Sports Betting Training Camp
Advocating for our younger generation of Sports Bettors based soley on @60Minutes segment 'The Mis-Match' as reported by @jon_wertheim
https://t.co/XbK3Mt1eZT
Building Daily Habits and Mindset for a STRONGER WINNING CULTURE
Winning in sports betting always starts with a fundamental culture change.
This transformation relies entirely on your willingness to build a strict routine into your daily habits.
Over time, these habits shape your mindset. When you combine a disciplined routine with the daily habits and right mindset, you create a powerful new culture to live by.
Daily habits always begin by executing the exact same tasks in the exact same order every single day.
For the younger generation of bettors, this structured approach is the necessary step ladder for real change.
In your very first year, this shift will open the door for your entry into the exclusive 5% sports betting winning group.
Looking back, this necessary path magnifies how previous generations could not see the forest for the trees. The blueprint was right there in plain sight, yet nobody ever talks about it or teaches this path in regards to sports betting for our new generation.
Embracing this vital culture change allows you to build genuine discipline into your wagering strategy. It also helps you minimize and eventually eliminate dreaded bet application mistakes. Fewer Bet Application mistakes leads to fewer leaks in your bankroll, which is the absolute heart of your sports betting improvement.
PROTECT YOUR BANKROLL, like it was your grandmother.
Cultivating Mental Toughness to Thrive
This culture change directly leads to building the MENTAL TOUGHNESS required to match up with a brutal sports betting industry. With the right mindset, you will not only survive, but thrive for the rest of your betting lifetime.
For context, this exact path is what fueled our dramatic transition from 30 consecutive losing years to winning last 20 of 21 years.
Building MENTAL TOUGHNESS requires deep awareness and unwavering dedication.
This daily discipline is where the rubber meets the road.
It is the ultimate tool for reclaiming your edge from square sportsbooks like FanDuel and DraftKings, allowing you to bypass their aggressive marketing and brainwashing.
To succeed, you must stay fiercely committed to your goal of entering the coveted 5% winning group.
A vital rule to remember is that you have to learn 'how not to lose before you can start winning.' The ultimate objective is to consistently stack winning years on top of each other.
Your Bet Application Process
consistency requires practicing before heading to place any wagers, you must physically write down your bets and rigorously review them against your strict bet application guidelines.
Avoiding execution errors requires intense focus and hard work, which is the precise reason you must keep your entire Bet Application process simple.
You will experience immediate growth in your bankroll the moment your AWARENESS ANTENNAS help you stop bankroll leaks.
Your new culture will fundamentally transform you into a different type of player.
@chriscollinsworth of SNF often point out certain players were just different.
By mastering these habits and utilizing the specific sports betting tools that discussed later in this series, you will become ' a different player' at your sports book.
Turning the tables on the big sports books is an incredibly rewarding journey that pays out in cold, hard cash.
Earn your success today by holding yourself entirely accountable, is WORK ETHIC!
OWN YOUR SPORTS BETTING OVERSIGHT, AND YOU WILL OWN YOUR BRAINWASHING DRAFTKINGS AND FANDUEL BOOKMAKERS!
@GamblingHarmOrg @FezzikSports @NormHitzges @MarcLawrence @JayKornegay @KWhiteyVegas @6texastornado @6texastornadoUK
Sports Bettors Training Camp - Day 3
Based soley on @60Minutes segment 'The Mismatch' as reported by @jonwertheim
https://t.co/XbK3Mt1eZT
Our advocacy goal is to benefit our younger generation of sports bettors by greatly reducing their Sports Betting Learning curve, so they can start winning the very first year.
Muhammed Ali said it best, 'A man who views the world the same at 50 as he did at 20, has wasted 30 years of his life.'
The Foundational Secret of Sports Betting
The foundational secret to success in sports betting is not handicapping.
It is Game & Money Management and maintaining the WORK ETHIC to apply it properly at all times.
We all know the story of Billy Walters.
He is, by any metric, the undisputed GOAT of sports betting, the very cornerstone of the Sports Gambling Hall of Fame in Las Vegas.
But Billy didn't start out at the top. In fact, he once lost his house in a poker game. He did not become a winning sports bettor until his great friend, the legendary poker player Chip Reese, sat him down for what we would assume was a stern talking to.
Chip taught him a basic, vital lesson: you have to manage the number of games you bet, and you have to manage your money.
From that point on, something clicked. Billy took those two essential skills, applied his legendary work ethic, and he never looked back.
That is how Billyโs sports betting foundation was poured in concrete for the rest of his career. So let's take a page from Mr. Walters' playbook. Educate yourself and master the foundational skills of game and money management before diving into the deep waters of sports betting by keeping it simple.
Game Management:
Simply the number of games bet in a single betting session.
We prefer a โtwo game straight play strategy.โ
The goal here is to keep it simple: Go 2-0 more than 0-2, and as we say down in Texas, โ1-1 ainโt too bad.โ
You can add a second set of a two-game straight play strategy as needed, provided you have access to world-class handicapping and THE GOODS in your back pocket.
By looking at it this way, you will always have your footing with game management.
Money Management
Simply put, this is the percentage of your total dollar bankroll risked in a single session.
Now, most new bettors, they do not want to take the extra step of figuring the money management percentage of their bankroll every betting session.
(Hint: you can use Google AI in 30 seconds.)
Keep it simple, and always apply this vital step of Money Management.
You can also use โFLAT BETโ amount for each wager in line with your total dollar bankroll amount throughout the entire season as needed to make it simple. The more simple you make it, the more likely you will consistently apply it.
Use your Work Ethic to embrace the boredom of consistency.
It is accountability to yourself.
Words of wisdom from the imcomparable
@CoachTomlin
@GamblingHarmOrg @ABVPVoice @spanky @betbash @FezzikSports @NormHitzges @JayKornegay @KWhiteyVegas @6texastornado @KingCreole1 @MarcLawrence
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