Harm Bains

[Harm Bains @hb502]

@ActionAdvisors_ Mnf

[Harm Bains @hb502]

@B3ttingManiac Lets goooo

[Harm Bains @hb502]

@AndersPicks Football

[Harm Bains @hb502]

@Coach_Yac Same day as my daughter
#faithful

[Alex Rosen @iFightForKids]

Ralphie May on the LGBT community 20 years ago.

Still rings true today.

[Brandon @clickthatfollow]

Dear Kobe: From Allen Iverson

[𝔻𝕒𝕓𝕟’ 𝔸𝕝𝕝 𝔻𝕒𝕪 ✊🏾 @Inspector_Dabit]

Smashing through walls after this one.

[SAL VETRI @SalVetriDFS]

Every Bet I've Taken for the Super Bowl:

👉 Purdy OVER 0.5 INTs
👉 Kittle OVER 4 catches
👉 Kittle OVER 47.5 yards
👉 Kittle OVER 49.5 yards
👉 Kittle OVER 46.5 yards
👉 Kittle OVER 5.5 targets
👉 Deebo UNDER 5 catches
👉 Aiyuk OVER 62.5 yards (x2)
👉 Juszczyk OVER 0.5 catches
👉 Purdy OVER 1.5 passing TDs
👉 Purdy UNDER 11.5 rush yards
👉 Rashee Rice UNDER 9 Targets
👉 Deebo UNDER 15.5 rush yards
👉 Pacheco UNDER 3 catches (x2)
👉 Watson UNDER 1.5 catches (x2)
👉 Pacheco UNDER 67.5 rush yards
👉 Mahomes OVER 26.5 rush yards
👉 McCaffrey UNDER 5 catches (x4)
👉 Purdy UNDER 12.5 rush yards (x2)
👉 Kittle OVER 0.5 Total Touchdowns
👉 Kelce OVER 0.5 Total Touchdowns
👉 Valdes-Scantling OVER 2.5 targets
👉 Mahomes UNDER 261.5 pass yards
👉 McCaffrey OVER 18.5 rush attempts
👉 Elijah Mitchell UNDER 3.5 rush yards
👉 McDuffie UNDER 4.5 tackles/assists
👉 Rashee Rice UNDER 6.5 catches (x4)
👉 Valdes-Scantling OVER 18.5 yards (x2)
👉 Mahomes OVER 4.5 rush attempts (x2)
👉 Mahomes OVER 0.5 pass yards (promo)
👉 Mahomes UNDER 260.5 pass yards (x3)
👉 Edwards-Helaire UNDER 14.5 rush/rec yards

Best of luck to you and your bets! 😃🤟

[49ers & NFL News 24/7 @49ersSportsTalk]

Christian McCaffrey’s message to his #49ers teammates was absolutely beautiful. 🥹💯

You can tell how close knit this team is and how much fun they’re having. Got me so amped up for #SuperBowl Sunday.

Special team. Special year. It’s time to finish it RIGHT! #NFL

[SAL VETRI @SalVetriDFS]

20 Super Bowl Bets I Recently Took.

These lines are likely to get bumped before Sunday so you need to act fast:

1. George Kittle OVER 47.5 yards

Kansas City plays man coverage at a Top-5 rate and Kittle dominates man defenses this season averaging 22% more yards per game. Not to mention, all of Kansas City’s linebackers rank outside the Top-50 in coverage this year. I also took this at 49.5 and 48.5 earlier in the week…

2. Christian McCaffrey OVER 18.5 rush attempts

He handled the 49ers first 36 carries before injuring his head/shoulder at the end of the NFC Championship. This led to Elijah Mitchell earning the final 4 carries of the game. McCaffrey is now a favorite against on the Chiefs bottom-5 run defense. In similar spots this season, he averages over 20 carries…

3. Elijah Mitchell UNDER 3.5 rush yards

Mitchell had 0 carries in the first playoff game and was on his way to 0 carries in the NFC Championship before McCaffrey landed on his shoulder/head late in the game. As stated above in the McCaffrey breakdown, this led to Mitchell seeing the final 4 carries of the game. He earned 7 yards on these 4 touches. There’s a good chance McCaffrey earns 100% of the backfield carries in the Super Bowl...

4. Brandon Aiyuk OVER 62.5 yards

Aiyuk vs. L’Jarius Sneed might be the best matchup of the entire game. Aiyuk ranks Top-10 in the NFL against man coverage and Sneed ranks Top-10 in coverage grades. But here’s the deal, Kansas City will use man coverage for about 30-40% of this game. So that’s the most that we’d see Sneed on Aiyuk. But Sneed doesn’t shadow. This will probably breakdown to Sneed covering Aiyuk for 5-10 passing plays. Advantage Aiyuk…

5. Isiah Pacheco UNDER 67.5 rush yards

Joe Thuney is trending to miss the Super Bowl with a left pectoral injury. Even if he was to play, he would be far from 100%. Thuney missed the AFC Championship game and his back up Nick Allegretti had the worst run-blocking grade among all the Chiefs linemen. This led to Pacheco averaging a playoff low 2.8 yards per carry. Allegretti is trending to start again…

6. Travis Kelce OVER 0.5 Total Touchdowns

Kelce will face the 49ers zone heavy defense. He’s been the Chiefs best pass-catcher against zone this season, averaging 20% more targets per game. This is a great spot for Kelce in the redzone and downfield. He ranked 2nd with 21 redzone targets in the regular season…

7. Deebo Samuel UNDER 15.5 rush yards

He’s been under this in 14 of 17 games this season. He returned from injury earned 3 carries for 7 total rushing yards in the NFC Championship. His rush attempts are set at 2.5 for this game. So we can expect 2-3 carries for Deebo and he’ll face the Chiefs who allow just 4 yards per rush attempt to opposing WRs. The under stands out here…

8. Patrick Mahomes OVER 4.5 rush attempts

He was pressured on 33% of his dropbacks against the Ravens without Joe Thuney active. This led to Mahomes taking off and scrambling more. He had 6 carries in this game and he’s historically been great at avoiding sacks in the postseason, which leads to even more scrambles. We also get the benefit of kneel downs if the Chiefs are leading at the end of the game. Thuney was the #1 ranked guard this season and he's trending to miss the Super Bowl...

9. Patrick Mahomes OVER 26.5 rush yards

The same analysis as above applies to this play. I prefer the rush attempts if you were to choose one, but the yards are also appealing. Mahomes averaged 24 rushing yards per game in the regular season and over 5 yards per carry. If he goes over 4.5 carries, there’s a good chance he’s hitting 27+ rushing yards as well…

10. Isiah Pacheco UNDER 3 catches

Pacheco is under this in 60% of his games this season. And the majority of the games he’s gone over this number were in spots where Kansas City played from behind. This play correlates nicely with our Mahomes rushing bets. If Mahomes is scrambling more, it means he’s checking it down less to his running backs. Also, for what it’s worth, Jerick McKinnon *might* return for this game, which could take away snaps from Pacheco on obvious passing downs…

11. Christian McCaffrey UNDER 5 catches

Look this dude is the RB GOAT, but he’s only topped this number in 27% of his games this year. The way to attack Kansas City is on the ground, they rank bottom-5 at defending the run this season. That's why we took his over 18.5 rush attempts. With Deebo back there’s less target upside for CMC. We saw this in the NFC Championship Game where McCaffrey saw just 4 catches despite San Francisco trailing the entire game. CMC averages only 4.2 catches per game with Deebo active…

12. Justin Watson UNDER 1.5 catches

Watson has just 1 reception the past 2 games and recently lost playing time to Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Now he has to face the 49ers who use zone coverage at a Top-10 rate. More specifically, they use a lot of Cover 4 and Watson performs worst against Cover 4 earning 45% fewer targets per game. But it gets even worse,
over the 2nd half of the season, Watson has earned 78% fewer targets per game against Cover 4. This is one of my favorite bets…

13. Brock Purdy UNDER 12.5 rush yards

He’s topped this in both playoff games. However, he’s dropped back more than usual in these games due to trailing by multiple scores. More dropbacks means more opportunities to scramble. If this game stays close, Purdy will dropback to pass less, leading to fewer scrambles. In similar spots he averages just 7 yards. I also took this at 11.5 earlier in the week...

14. Kyle Juszczyk OVER 0.5 catches

He’s been involved this postseason running over 15 routes per game. But those were in games the 49ers were trailing, what about closer games? Well, in close games this season, Juszcyk earns 20% more snaps and averages 1.7 receptions. This game has just a 2-point spread, so expect it to be close...

15. Brock Purdy OVER 0.5 INTs

Purdy leads the playoffs with 5 interceptable passes and he’s only played 2 games. Now he takes on the Chiefs who have the best secondary this postseason. All 4 of their cornerbacks rank in the Top-10 in postseason coverage. Not great for Purdy…

16. Rashee Rice UNDER 6.5 catches

Rashee leads this team in targets since Week 12, earning 20% more than Kelce during this time. The rookie has been great, but this matchup will be a true test for him. Rice takes on the 49ers Cover 4 heavy defense and Rashee earns 30% fewer targets against Cover 4 this year. In similar matchups, he averages 5.5 catches per game…

17. Marquez Valdes-Scantling OVER 18.5 yards

He’s used all over the field. MVS plays about 33% of the time in all 3 WR positions (slot, X, Z). This allows him to find the beneficial matchup against the 49ers for at least part of this game. Valdes-Scantling is coming off a season-high in usage running 44 routes in the AFC Championship game. And now he faces the 49ers who primarily run Cover 3 and Cover 4 defense. This matters because MVS runs his most routes against these exact 2 defenses…

18. Patrick Mahomes UNDER 261.5 pass yards

This line is inflated by about 15 yards. Sportsbooks know that everyone wants to bet the over at their Super Bowl parties, especially on the best QB in the league. There’s a built-in edge on the under in my opinion. Plus, Mahomes averages just 239 yards since December because this team has leaned more on the run even when it hasn’t worked. Last game, Kansas City ran Pacheco 24 times for just 2.8 yards per carry. Andy Reid has been fine sticking to the run this postseason. I also took this at 260.5 earlier in the week...

19. George Kittle OVER 0.5 Total Touchdowns

Similar analysis as the Kittle yards bet. He’ll have a great general matchup against the Chiefs man heavy defense and a great individual matchup as well. Kittle will see the Kansas City safeties downfield. This means he'll get some looks against Mike Edwards who ranks 68th in coverage this year among all safeties…

20. Patrick Mahomes OVER 0.5 pass yards

This is a promotion going on at Prize Picks. Promotions are the best way to build your betting bank roll, so take advantage of this one…

Prize Picks will also give you $100 to play with when you sign up with code SAL10

Just check the link in my bio to get this offer now…

[SAL VETRI @SalVetriDFS]

If you're betting on the Super Bowl check this out...

These are 12 matchups you need to know if you want to win more bets:

1. Rashee Rice

He'll face the 49ers who use Cover 4 defense at a Top-10 rate. Rice averages 30% fewer targets against Cover 4. And the 49ers starting cornerbacks rank Top-10 in postseason coverage. Rice under 6.5 receptions stands out...

2. George Kittle

He takes on the Chiefs who play man coverage at a Top-5 rate. Kittle dominates man coverage averaging 22% more yards in similar matchups. And all of Kansas City’s linebackers rank outside the Top-50 in coverage this year. Kittle over 46.5 yards is appealing...

3. Christian McCaffrey

He faces the Chiefs bottom-5 run defense. Kansas City allows the 7th most yards before contact & McCaffrey ranks #1 in broken tackles this year. He’s in a nice spot to pick up yards before AND after contact. Over 18.5 carries & Under 5 catches is appealing...

5. Brandon Aiyuk

Aiyuk vs. L’Jarius Sneed might be the best matchup of the entire game. Aiyuk ranks Top-10 against man coverage & Sneed is Top-10 in coverage grades. But Sneed doesn't shadow, he'll be on Aiyuk for about 5-10 plays. Aiyuk OVER 62.5 yards stands out most...

6. Travis Kelce

He'll face the 49ers zone heavy defense. Kelce is the Chiefs best pass-catcher against zone, averaging 20% more targets per game. And he’s earning 9 targets per game this postseason. Kelce to score a touchdown is appealing...

7. Justin Watson

He struggles against zone defenses. He averages 45% fewer targets against zone coverage this season. Not to mention, he lost playing time to Marquez Valdes-Scantling last week. Under 1.5 receptions stands out...

8. Marquez Valdes-Scantling

He's used all over the field. MVS plays about 33% of the time in all 3 WR positions (slot, X, Z). And he runs his most routes against Cover 3 & Cover 4 defense, which the 49ers use the majority of the time. Over 18.5 yards is appealing for MVS...

9. Isiah Pacheco

He has another difficult matchup this week. The 49ers rank 6th in tackling & 3rd in yards allowed before contact. But San Francisco has struggled this postseason allowing 5.3 yards per carry to opposing backfields. Pacheco's rushing yards are set at 67.5, but under 3 receptions stands out more...

10. Brock Purdy

He leads the postseason with 5 intercerptable passes. But he’s also tied with Mahomes for the most big-time throws. Purdy now faces the Chiefs man heavy defense & Brock earns 55% more passing yards in similar matchups. His line is set at 247.5 yards but his under 12.5 rushing yards is most appealing...

11. Deebo Samuel

He takes on the Chiefs #1 playoff secondary. Kansas City uses both man coverage & Cover 4 at a Top-10 rate. Deebo ranks 6th in the NFL against Cover 4 & he's solid against man coverage. Deebo to score a TD is appealing...

12. Jauan Jennings

He runs 60% of his routes out of the slot. Jennings will face cornerback Trent McDuffie in the slot. McDuffie ranks Top-10 in playoff coverage allowing just 40 yards per game. Jennings under 1.5 catches stands out...

Bonus: Patrick Mahomes

He has a playoff high 5 big-time throws & a playoff low 0 turnover worthy plays per PFF. His passing yards are set at just 0.5 yards on Prize Picks. That's right, 0.5...

Prize Picks will give you $100 to play with when you sign up with code SAL10 (Link in bio to get this now)

Bookmark this for reference later in the week! Best of luck gang! 😀👊

[KNBR @KNBR]

On repeat until Sunday

🎥@49ers

[Science girl @sciencegirl]

rubik's cube secrets
https://t.co/jXcxvYDh18

[San Francisco 49ers @49ers]

Ain't come here to talk it out, let's get into it.

#DoItForTheBay x #FTTB https://t.co/P6IEYJhunE

[Inferam @InferamAI]

Grandpa taught me this

[SAL VETRI @SalVetriDFS]

10 NFL Bets I recently took that demand your attention.

Grab these lines before they vanish:

1. Sam LaPorta OVER 47.5 yards

He’s coming off a massive 9 catch game. LaPorta has a tougher matchup this week against the 49er’s linebackers, but LaPorta is basically a receiver. He won’t just run routes in the middle of the field, he’s used on the outside often where he averages over 12 yards per catch. This number is too low…

2. Brock Purdy OVER 29.5 pass attempts

He’s averaging 33 attempts the past month of the season. Detroit allows the fewest rushing yards per game this year, the way to attack them is through the air. In similar matchups against strong run defenses, Purdy averages 31 attempts…

3. Isiah Pacheco OVER 66.5 rushing yards

He’ll face the Ravens who allow the 6th most yards before contact. This is great news for Pacheco who ranks Top-12 in broken tackles per game. Translation: he’s in a great spot to pick up yards before AND after contact. Pacheco is averaging over 20 opportunities per game this postseason…

4. Aiyuk + Josh Reynolds OVER 0.5 Combined TDs

With Deebo banged up, Aiyuk has the best chance to score against the Lions bottom-5 secondary. They allow the most TDs this year to outside WRs. Then there’s Josh Reynolds who’s been targeted in the endzone in back-to-back games and is running 38% more routes in the playoffs…

5. Nelson Agholor OVER 16.5 yards

He’ll take on the Chiefs secondary that plays man coverage at a Top-5 rate. Agholor is actually the Ravens best pass-catcher against man coverage this season, averaging 51% more yards than Mark Andrews. In the Divisional Round, Agholor played ahead of Odell Beckham from start to finish. He’s now played on 72% of the passing plays since Week 16…

6. Zay Flowers UNDER 4.5 catches

Believe it or not, Zay is the Ravens worst receiver against man coverage. In similar spots, he averages under 4 catches per game this season…

7. Justice Hill OVER 32.5 rushing yards

He led the backfield in snaps & carries last week. Gus Edwards left late with a hand injury. Before leaving, the backfield was split evenly between the 2. Hill now gets a Chiefs team that ranks bottom-5 at defending shotgun runs and the Ravens use shotgun runs at a Top-5 rate, according to @SharpFBAnalysis. Hill averages over 5 yards per touch this year, it’s a strong spot for him. This was also taken at 30.5 yards earlier in the week and posted to Twitter as well…

8. Jahmyr Gibbs UNDER 21.5 receiving yards

Gibbs has improved as a pass-blocker, but the Lions still trust David Montgomery more in these situations. That’s part of the reason why Gibbs is playing only 37% of the snaps this postseason, compared to 55% for Montgomery. There’s a good chance Gibbs comes off the field on more 3rd downs against the 49ers stud defensive line. This would lead to less targets for him…

9. David Montgomery OVER 5.5 receiving yards

The Gibbs analysis is exactly why we want this Montgomery over. He should be on the field more to pass-protect, and this increases the upside of some checkdown passes for Montgomery. He’s ran 35 routes this postseason, 45% more than Jahmyr Gibbs…

10. Patrick Mahomes UNDER 25 completions

This is a correlation play with our Pacheco over. If Pacheco is having success running the ball, there’s an increased chance Mahomes is passing less. Similar to last week when Mahomes had just 17 completions. This Chiefs offense is better suited to run the ball in this matchup. The under is the way here…

I took these as 5-Pick Flex plays on Prize Picks (screenshots below).

Prize Picks will give you $100 to play with when you sign up with code SAL (link in my bio to get this offer)

Best of luck ladies and fellas! 😃

[David Mendelson @DMendy02]

I’m getting my FAVORITE #playerprops out early this week. I’m ready to take the books to the cleaners:

LIONS @ 49ERS

💥Jahmyr Gibbs O 23.5 rec yds

💥Christian McCaffrey O 86.5 rush yds

💥Jameson Williams O 28.5 rec yds

💥Sam LaPorta O 4.5 rec

💥Brandon Aiyuk O 79.5 rec yds

[SAL VETRI @SalVetriDFS]

7 Anytime Touchdown Bets I Recently Took for This Weekend:

We are 10-5 on these plays this season so let’s keep it going…

1. Starting with Mike Evans OVER 0.5 TDs

Evans faces the Lions bottom-5 secondary and Detroit plays man coverage at a Top-10 rate. This matters because Evans ranks 4th at beating man coverage this season and in similar matchups he scores a TD nearly 70% of the time…

2. David Montgomery OVER 0.5 TDs

The Lions are 6-point favorites against the Bucs. In 3 similar spots this year, Montgomery averages 99 total yards and he’s scored a TD in all 3 of these contests. Tampa allows the fewest rushing scores this season, so something has to give here. Detroit is projected to score 28 points, this bodes well for Montgomery’s TD chances…

3. Christian McCaffrey OVER 0.5 TDs

McCaffrey is a 10-point favorite this week. He’ll face the Packers who had the worst run defense in the regular season. You can bet Kyle Shanahan is planning to expose these Green Bay linebackers in space. As a similar sized favorite, McCaffrey averages 119 total yards and 1.5 TDs…

4. Amon-Ra St. Brown OVER 0.5 TDs

The Lions pass-catchers have an elite matchup this week. They’ll face a Bucs secondary that allows the 4th most production to WRs. Tampa Bay uses Cover 3 at the 8th highest rate in the league. Amon-Ra has scored his most touchdowns against Cover 3 this season…

5. Gus Edwards OVER 0.5 TDs

Dalvin Cook signed with the Ravens, and I expect him to be involved, but this is still Edwards backfield in the redzone. He’s earning the far majority of the redzone carries and practically all the goal-line touches in this offense. It would make sense for the Ravens to lean on him in their most important game of the year, over newcomer Dalvin Cook. The Ravens are 9-point favorites and project to score 27 points. It's a good spot to bet an Edwards TD at increased odds...

My final 2 touchdown plays are taking both Rachaad White and Jahmyr Gibbs NOT to score. Both guys are heavy favorites on other sites not to score and we can add them to a Prize Picks entry at even money. It’s a no brainer. Credit to @AlexMonahan100 for letting me know about these two…

I took these as 5-Pick Flex plays only on Prize Picks. (screenshots below).

Prize Picks will give you up to $100 to play with when you sign up with code SAL

Best of luck this weekend ladies and fellas! 😃🤘

[Linemate @yourlinemate]

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