NFL analytics, betting insights, fantasy football analysis, game picks & props using advanced predictive models & data from Warren Sharp l betting on @novig
Lineups lock at 1 p.m. ET. Rich Hribar's full Week 2 DFS breakdown is in this thread.
Core plays
Tournament plays
Game and team stacks
Start with the hub. One free play from each article, full reasoning included:
https://t.co/4HvyQn0nuB
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Two hours to kickoff. Everything you need to bet Week 2 is in this thread.
Best bets
Player props
Same game parlays
Touchdown scorers
Injuries that move lines
Weather
Referee assignments
Start with the odds board, every line at every book:
https://t.co/R7QxkHyOI6
The Texans defense did not look like the Texans defense in Week 1.
7.9 yards per play allowed, their most since 2021
They never allowed even 6.0 in any 2025 game.
Blip, or does Joe Burrow make it two straight?
https://t.co/oGpMxm4zlg
The Saints could not stop the run in Week 1. Bad timing.
Saints: 48.5% success rate defending the run, a league low
Ravens: 10+ yards on 29.7% of snaps, a league high
How does New Orleans slow this down?
https://t.co/ITOpxEXz48
Tampa Bay sent the house in Week 1 and nobody got home.
Blitz rate: 45.9%, 2nd
Pressure rate: 21.6%, a league low
Now comes a Browns offense that went 1 of 8 on third down, also a league low.
Which one breaks first?
https://t.co/x2RdH7LLLP
The Packers threw it all over the yard in Week 1.
76.2% of completions went for a first down or TD, best in the NFL
Only 15.8% of their yards came on the ground
Jets: 17:32 time of possession edge, largest in Week 1
Can New York keep the ball away?
https://t.co/ud9ADN0UpY