Yuki 雪ยูกิ❄️

A 23yo rookie of Wall Street, A Junior HR who trying to learn his new path | influenced by Darvas Box📦 Pivotal point📌 CANSLIM7️⃣ VCP📈 also Yuri lover

[Yuki 雪ยูกิ❄️ @hcykpp]

เธรดรวมแอปที่ใช้ในการตะลุยหุ้นเมกา จากมือใหม่ที่มีประสบการณ์อยู่ในตลาดมา 1 ปีถ้วน 😂
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เริ่มต้นที่ TradingView อันนี้เราชอบเอามาใช้ดูกราฟและเทคนิคอลก่อนเข้าซื้อ นอกจากนี้ในตัวแอปยังมีข้อมูลบริษัท งบการเงินต่างๆของหุ้นให้ดูด้วยอีกนะ

[Yuki 雪ยูกิ❄️ @hcykpp]

@iu2_2ui เคยมี แต่สาดออกไปละครับ55555

[degentrading @degentradingLSD]

Pre Mkt Thoughts - 29 Jun 26

Asia markets had some early jitters before coming back to almost unchanged. KOSPI, NKY both traded with very strong correlation, selling off early in the morning before inching back into the close.

Lets talk about the memory names. $285A had a dip to 82.5k levels before ending about -4% for the day. This represents a high r/r level for longs. $285A also has triggered some of the prior patterns i noticed in its price action. Meanwhile on the other side, news broke on $SAMSUNG and $SKYNIX planning to build 2 new massive chip fab sites in South Korea's southwest region as part of a "national project". Let's rerun back to Leopold's Situational Awareness article - the manhattan project. The early innings are coming through. Countries are treating this as existential.

The sovereign buildout thesis is manifesting in real time.

Aside, direct implications for Korea is that the rally in KOSPI should increasingly broaden out. I am keeping my eye out for Korea small caps. I believe that for small accounts, these can turn out to be some of the best opportunities. Personally, i am afraid of the illiquidity in those tickers and will probably sit it out.

Coming into the US session, i indicated in my Sunday note that for end of quarter rebalancing, there is about 165b of equities to be sold into the close. Some have asked, how i would allocate into such a situation. There is no right answer. It hinges on 2 key pivots. 1 - What is your risk appetite? 2 - How much do you think flows have been front run? For those who are aggressive, that could mean allocating into one clip right into the close on tuesday. For others, that could mean a 2 day twap into the markets.

I have been banging the drum in the last few notes that i see the best technical set up into July for longs. Let me take the time here to list it out again.

First of all, the fundamental picture looks extremely strong. We had 2 articles dropping over the week. First was news that $AAPL was lobbying for the white house to allow them to buy from $CXMT. While this might sound bearish for memory. Please remember that the memory market is global. Paraphrasing Semianalysis Dylan - "It literally doesnt matter? CXMT cannot satisfy chinese demand this decade". Next, let me emphasize that $CXMT is selling at ~5% discount. After you account for quality differences, there is almost no difference. So why is $AAPL doing this? It's not about price, its that the supply is simply not there. If anything, this is a direct affirmation that indeed...supply is simply not there.

Next, an article that $GOOG is capping $META's use of Gemini AI. How insane is this? $META cannot get enough compute that it is sourcing it from $GOOG. Crazier is that... $GOOG simply cannot meet the demand.

Look, the hyperscalers will not stop capex any time soon, even as their equity prices take a hit. Because they see the revenues on the horizon. CAPEX hits the bottomline on t0, revenues and backlog hit the bottomline in the future. As these revenues arrive, the hyperscalers will start making money hand over fist. Remember...Anthropic's gross margins on inference is ~70%. By building now, they are securing a moat for the future.

Where does this lead to? Again, the 2 themes i keep rehashing is compute (neos) and memory pooling. While i think memory will continue to be strong, the easy part of the rally and the valuation gap has been covered.

On compute, $NBIS stands out as the leader of the pack. $SHAZ is an interesting up and coming player backed by Situational Awareness. i am expecting a 13G to hit the timeline tonight. On memory pooling, tickers include $ALAB, $CRDO, $PENG, $MRVL. On $CRDO, friday's sell off was very much influenced by the Russell rebalancing (as per my sunday note), i think the 240s area offer exceptional value for risk reward.

In my notes last week, i talked about $BABA - I strongly think that now that even Burry has sold $BABA - sentiment cannot get worse than now. These levels also offer good risk reward. Sep calls especially are cheap.

Good luck!

[Yuki 雪ยูกิ❄️ @hcykpp]

lucky lucky ได้บัตรสตาร์บั้คฟรี ว่าแต่สั่งยังไงไม่เคยกิน 😔

[Yuki 雪ยูกิ❄️ @hcykpp]

@jrpj__ กำลังมีแพลนจะเปลี่ยนไอแพด จาก gen9 64gb (เมมกำลังจะเต็ม😭) ต้องหยุดเลย55555

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: South Korea’s stock market has been halted limit down after falling over -8%.

[Yuki 雪ยูกิ❄️ @hcykpp]

คนเราตายได้สองรอบ รอบแรกคือตายจากโลกนี้ไป รอบสองคือคนสุดท้ายที่จดจำเราได้ตายจากไปอีกคน ก็จริงแฮะ

[ลงทุนDiary @longtundiary]

งบ $MU รอบนี้ตัวเลขก็ดี แต่อันที่ผมว่าสำคัญกว่าคือวิธีขายของมันเปลี่ยนไปแล้ว

Micron เซ็นสัญญายาวกับลูกค้า 16 ดีล ลากยาวถึงปี 2030 เป็นสัญญาแบบสั่งแล้วต้องจ่าย ไม่ว่าสุดท้ายจะรับของหรือไม่ (เขาเรียกว่า take-or-pay)

แต่ของเด็ดอยู่ที่ราคา สัญญาพวกนี้มี "ราคาพื้น" คือราคาต่ำสุดที่ลูกค้าการันตีว่าจะจ่ายให้

เซอร์ไพรส์คือ ต่อให้ราคาวิ่งลงไปชนราคาพื้น มาร์จิ้นของ Micron ตรงนั้นยังสูงกว่ามาร์จิ้นช่วงพีคที่ดีที่สุดในทุกรอบ cycle ที่ผ่านมาอีก

แปลว่าพื้นนี่ไม่ได้ปกป้องคนซื้อจากขาลง มันปกป้องมาร์จิ้นของ "คนขาย" ต่างหาก

ผู้บริหารบอกว่าสุดท้ายครึ่งนึงหรือมากกว่าของรายได้ทั้งบริษัทจะมานั่งอยู่ใต้สัญญาพวกนี้ ของที่เคยขึ้นลงเป็น commodity เลยเริ่มขายเหมือน infrastructure ที่ล็อกราคาไว้แล้ว

ที่ผมจะตามต่อคือ พอสัญญาหมดอายุแล้วต่อรอบใหม่ พื้นมันยังอยู่สูงเท่าเดิมไหม ถ้าใช่ memory มันก็อาจไม่ใช่หุ้น cycle แบบเดิมอีกแล้วจริงๆ

[Yuki 雪ยูกิ❄️ @hcykpp]

🎶💃

[Yuki 雪ยูกิ❄️ @hcykpp]

@jrpj__ โปเกม่อนนนนนน

[คือผมต้องทราบไหม 🐈‍⬛ @pizad_sura]

อวสานวัยรุ่น gen z หมดสิทธิ์ผ่อนชาไข่มุก เหตุแบงค์ชาติ เข้าควบคุม

[Jukan @ ICML @jukan05]

South Korea Preliminary Exports (June 1–20)

- DRAM (including modules): +342% YoY, +3% MoM
- Flash Memory (NAND): +336% YoY, +28% MoM
- SSD: +405% YoY, +25% MoM
- MCP (HBM): +209% YoY, +51% MoM

[peoplewish @Peoplewish]

The simplest risk-on / risk-off indicator I've found is also the easiest to explain and, in my experience, more consistent than many alternatives, including Follow-Through Days.

Prev week MACD 6/20 fast EMA > slow EMA = Risk On
Prev weekMACD 6/20 fast EMA < slow EMA = Risk Off

That's it.

No subjective interpretation.
No debating whether a follow-through day "counts."
No guessing.

Just follow the trend of the weekly MACD and let the market tell you when conditions have changed.

p.s. working on dtrp indicator stuff and this convo came up... so figured id share the thought again 😎 happy Juneteenth

[stockbee @PradeepBonde]

If you want to be a profitable trader increase your surface area of luck.
You can work very hard but there are also chance encounters which can give you the breakthrough you need at right time. The more connections you build in the trading community more your surface area of luck will increase.
Someone else has already found a solution to the problem you are facing and if you know more people you will find those solutions.
After repeatedly giving up open profits in initial years and getting frustrated, I found a solution while having lunch with another trader. When I vented my frustration he said he had same problem and he just sells in to strength and keeps a runner. Bingo problem solved.
The trading issues you are facing are not unique and there are solutions available with someone, find that person through networking.
Study the concept of surface area of luck.

[Mark Minervini @markminervini]

The biggest winners in the market often share similar characteristics before they make their biggest moves.
My proprietary Behavioral Analytics were built as an early detection system to identify true market leadership.
Put the Minervini process on your desktop—and the probabilities in your favor. Minervini Markets 360 https://t.co/JXzFFTmMtn

[Trade Whisperer @TradexWhisperer]

Be careful everyone. It's a trap.

[narsa.🪺 @rathor7_]

Why aren't Football teams trying this technique to score easier goals.. Are they stupid?

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

🚨 NASDAQ-100 CHANGES

ADDITIONS
$CRWV CoreWeave
$NBIS Nebius Group
$RKLB Rocket Lab
$TER Teradyne
$ALAB Astera Labs

DELETIONS
$CHTR Charter Communications
$VRSK Verisk Analytics
$ZS Zscaler
$CTSH Cognizant Tech Solutions
$INSM Insmed

[SundayBoy @SundayBoyInvest]

เดทแรกก็ถามได้เลยครับว่าเทอต้องการจะขับเคลื่อนเศรษฐกิจและสังคมไทยให้รอดพ้นจากวิกฤตอัตราการเกิดชะลอตัวคืนนี้เลยมั้ย ลองดู ถ้าเค้าโทรแจ้งตำรวจ แปลว่าเค้าอาจจะยังไม่สนใจเราตอนนี้

[hrdk @hrdktwt]

Someone on Reddit built a game where you ride a dirt bike on top of any company's stock chart.