@tom_username_ Honestly, I think Russia's victory here will be beneficial to the West as well, and to the US in particular. The NeoCons *must* lose, they must lose *completely*, and the general American public be confronted with the abject failure of their psychotic foreign policies.
@BiankaB12 Bruh, you killed 7 people on a random bus in Donetsk literally TODAY. You killed 21 school kids in their dorm literally last week. When you bombed Moscow a few weeks back, you hit a ton of residential buildings. The list goes on.
@BentleysAsshole@GreekNME@mtracey Export ban is does not necessarily imply shortage. Could also just be strategic thinking, especially given the situation in the Middle East.
The (civilian) fuel shortage in Crimea is not due to refineries, but do Ukrainian strikes on (civilian) fuel deliveries along the E105 HW.
@gideonstorytllr@GreekNME@mtracey I've seen that claim being made by ISW, and they've failed to show any place where it's actually true for any length of time.
@BentleysAsshole@GreekNME@mtracey What has been their actual material impact? The Russians whine about the 'ecological disaster' caused by these attacks, because that's the only damage they actually inflict.
@IAPonomarenko Everything in war costs money: feeding troops, maintaining logistics, firing weapons, taking hits, repairing damage; it's endless. A strike like this is a rounding error in budget.
Meanwhile, Konstantinovka is about to fall into a cauldron, and summer is barely started.
@IAPonomarenko What was the actual material (not PR) damage inflicted here? A corvette already in dry dock and a couple of oil tanks, total cost maybe $5-10 million? A standard Russian strike package with five dozen missiles and five hundred drones literally costs more than that to execute.
@mtracey Being able to land hits, and mostly symbolic hits at that, does not in any way imply a path to victory. For every Ukrainian drone that finds a target, Russia delivers literally an order of magnitude more punishment, with greater frequency. This is PR for another funding round.
@mtracey A few flashy hits on oil tanks in St. Petersburg don't change the actual math on the ground.
In 2022, Ukraine was able to execute offensives that took, and kept, ground.
By 2024, Ukraine could launch limited offensives, but not keep the gains.
By now, they can't even do that.
@OTregub So the exact same as the number of teenage girls Ukraine killed in a single strike on a single college dorm in one town (Starobelsk)?
One Ukrainian targeted strike vs. a massive Russian strategic bombing across the entire country yielded the same number of civilian casualties.
@GeraldoRivera Geraldo, Ukraine killed more Russian civilians in two separate attacks (one on a college dorm and another on a long-haul bus) than Russia did in a massive strategic bombing run involving almost a thousand warheads. You tell me which side "targets civilians".
@McFaul No, Michael, Russia in NATO is a credible security guarantee for Russia, something it was specifically denied, even as the "alliance" crept up to Russia's borders by hook and crook.
@TheBabylonBee Bruh, we are the ones that killed their negotiations team, and their leaders, in the middle of negotiations, twice. I’m surprised they’re talking to us at all.