hedgopia

Stocks, macro, technicals, derivatives. RTs/Favs not endorsements. Joined in earnest in 2014. @seeitmarket contributor.

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI https://t.co/SE22UHd4Z3

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

Markets beginning to barely price in softer #economy, equities, hanging in there, remain vulnerable in due course. $RUT $NDX $SPX https://t.co/bYhgNctls3

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

Non-commercials' net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures at 7-week low. After losing 7600+ last week, cash (7377) falls apart this week to try to stabilize above 200DMA (7325). In due course, likely to gravitate toward major breakout retest of 7000, which it broke out of in Apr. $SPY

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

Post-#FOMC, fewer hikes priced in by end of next year. Possible downward pressure on #stocks ahead could tighten financial conditions. $RUT $SPX $NDX https://t.co/pVSd0quYI2

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI https://t.co/kSJySACbyG

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

Non-commercials cut net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures, but exposure remains decent. Cash (7580) sees big reversal last 2 sessions, with index up 1.8% through Wed high but ends week down 0.6%. Crucial support just north of 7600 breached. Ditto w/ 50DMA (7697); 200DMA at 7310. $SPY

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

Equity indices trying to rally from decent support, but hurdles remain. $TNX $RUT $SPX $NDX #FOMC https://t.co/y1QOpY7kTh

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI https://t.co/S1kwN3kVmQ

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

Non-commercials continue to maintain decent amount of net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures. Cash (7624) reverses hard from Wed high 7770, again losing 50DMA (7700) and ending week right on make-or-break 7600+, which is being tested for over 2 months. Breach probably imminent. $SPY

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

Sep margin debt up $26.2bn m/m to $1.48tn, near Jun's record $1.5tn. Investor willingness to take on leverage has provided a big tailwind to the bull market in #stocks. That said, y/y % change in margin debt has decelerated the last four months, which $SPX is yet to catch up to.

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

Bulls' failure to capitalize on breakout opportunity on $SPX and $NDX last week probably emboldens the bears. $RUT $TNX https://t.co/TfAyM5L7OD

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI https://t.co/wkjbQRK03k

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

Non-commercials' net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures at 3-week low. Cash (7659) positioned well for possible breakout, but bulls, having already spent a lot of buying power, failed to even save 50DMA. 7600+, which was kind of tested with Fri's low 7632, likely to breach soon. $SPY

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

In right circumstances, $SPX and $NDX have room to decisively break out. $RUT $TNX $WTIC https://t.co/IVKGZWleW0

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI https://t.co/p7argB8eGU

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

Non-commercials' net longs in #Nasdaq mini futures highest since Jun '17. $NDX, after last Fri's feeble breakout past Jun '26 high, builds on it this week w/ Tue tagging 31361 but only to end week at 30883, for weekly doji and not too far away from Jun high 30762. $QQQ

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

Non-commercials raise net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures to 16-week high. Cash (7812) broke out to new intraday high 7845 on Tue, although bulls not quite able to hold on to it. That said, index is positioned well for a clean breakout in sessions to come. $SPY

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

Equity bulls Fri hail a lack of job creation last month -- a thesis that cannot be sustained for too long. #Fed $SPX $NDX $RUT $TNX https://t.co/tpmoNnu0UM

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

How #hedgefunds are positioned in futures. $TNX $TYX $SPX $RUT $NDX $VIX $GLD $EUR $USD $WTI https://t.co/rmGVO795aT

[hedgopia @hedgopia]

Non-commercials' net shorts in e-mini $SPX futures at 15-week high. Cash (7723) had bulls defending 50DMA (7658) and breakout retest at 7600+, w/ Thu ticking 7617 in a dragonfly doji session. Fri's doji high 7757 had sellers show up at trendline resistance from Jun 2 high. $SPY