Career stats
Jayden Reed 40 games
138 rec, 2167yds, 18TDs
Christian Watson 48 games
133 rec, 2381yds, 22TDs
Reed contract $50M
Watson contract $110M
Make it make sense.
@MikeTheHump_@BrettKollmann@ikenyonFB@SumerSports At some point you need to produce though. Decoys don’t deserve $27M a year. I just don’t understand why Packers fans try to hype this guy up like he’s Randy Moss. Y’all can say he’s a solid receiver without the ridiculous hyperbole that he’s getting unprecedented coverage etc
@MikeTheHump_@BrettKollmann@ikenyonFB@SumerSports Lots of fast guys in the league who draw coverage. The best ones are fast and still produce big numbers against tough coverage. Watson may be fast and demand coverage like many, but he doesn’t produce against that coverage (comparatively) as shown by his career high 600 yards.
@KyleHouser88@Peter_Bukowski In the NFL, he’s not had a season with the yards/game needed to cross 1100 yards, even if we extrapolated the yards per game to 17 games. To say he’s a virtual lock to average 64.7 yards/game in a 17 game season when he has never even done it in a lesser # of games is hilarious
@MikeTheHump_@BrettKollmann@ikenyonFB@SumerSports There are very few teams that do not utilize 2 safeties most of the time, Watson on the field or not. The Lions are one of the few teams who are more likely to use only 1 deep safety, but they are vulnerable deep b/c of that against any fast guy, not just Watson.
@mhodson520 I don’t think he’s not important to the O. I just don’t buy he’s providing something super extra special that another fast guy couldn’t provide. Take your generic fast guy, have him run deep, the CB will follow him and there will be a S back there too. Thats not unique to Watson.
@mhodson520@BrettKollmann@ikenyonFB@SumerSports For ex, the Rams were good in 13 personnel last year IIRC. If their EPA/play spikes in that grouping when they bring in their 3rd string TE, does that mean their 3rd TE is the driver of their offense? Of course not. But that’s what these numbers would show.
@mhodson520@BrettKollmann@ikenyonFB@SumerSports #’s mean nothing without a comp to other players and correlation =\ causation. For ex, GB might be better in certain personnel groupings and Watson is more likely to to play in that grouping. These metrics are mostly nonsense and you can always find a stat to fit your agenda.
I asked @SumerSports to look into this and I was actually dead wrong.
The packers offense is more productive when Watson isn’t running deep, whether he’s targeted or not.
They get more out of him when he’s doing all the other stuff. I’ll have to dig into the film to see why.
@AustinKrueger_ And rate stats done mean much when one guy has so much more volume. Efficiency is harder to scale with more volume. And Jamo was top 10 in totalepa last year and top 20 in 2024. Watson wasn’t higher than 38th in that time span.
@AustinKrueger_ Jamo doesn’t have great hands for sure. That being said, he runs a more diverse route tree than Watson does which is why he’s able to be on the field for most of the game unlike Watson.
And lol at 17.2 vs 17.5 yards per catch when the 17.2 guy had like 500 more yards.
@Droid66@Peter_Bukowski@CertxfiedPicks The evidence is in the fact he wasn’t given more snaps and targets. Just like Jamo wasn’t in year 1 or 2 because Jamo wasn’t good or reliable enough yet. Maybe that has finally changed for Watson, we’ll see.
@Droid66@CertxfiedPicks@Peter_Bukowski Doesn’t that kind of tell you a little bit about Watson though? Both the coaching staff and QB preferred Doubs as the #1 guy. I would imagine it has to do with Watson’s limitations as an overall route runner/ receiver
@AtoZ_Payton If they make the move I will never call the the Chicago Bears again. They will be forever known as the Gary Bears, Hammond Bears, or Indiana Bears.