jonathan hester

father of two awesome boys, former eng at uber and doordash

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@nimsdai Incredible. Can you post the gpx so we can see all the stats?

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@SawyerMerritt Old lady made a left without yielding to me. FSD slammed on brakes instantly before I did going 50mph. My immediate reaction besides horn was thinking “get FSD!”. I predict society will become very intolerant to these human errors soon

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@sama dupuytren's disease

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@SawyerMerritt Tax on tires seems more fair than gas tax or one time fees if it’s for road repairs

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@TheCinesthetic

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@Jason I paid $1000, my two kids (under 5) were free and we skied 60 days mostly no lines, 3 different resorts. Killer deal

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@FuturamaKing @californiapost Yes, why wouldn’t you just defect from the grid? Panels, batteries and natural gas generator. It’s almost worth it at current rates without the big connection fee

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@JessePeltan Pretty wild call from 2016 when it was 0. Estimate is 240 twh of batteries needed for full transition. We currently produce ~1% of amount per year. Current estimates get us to 5% of that target annually in next 5-10 years, which means we’re < 30 years

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@krishnanrohit This is like uberblack taking taxi share. Just wait until the price wars begin

[Dr. Jon Slotkin @slotkinjr]

I have a guest essay in @nytimes today about autonomous vehicle safety. I wrote it because I’m tired of seeing children die. Done right, we can eliminate car crashes as a leading cause of death in the United States

@Waymo recently released data covering nearly 100 million driverless miles. I spent weeks analyzing it because the results seemed too good to be true. 91% fewer serious-injury crashes. 92% less pedestrians hit. 96% fewer injury crashes at intersections. The list goes on.

39,000 Americans died in crashes last year. More than homicide, plane crashes, and natural disasters combined. The #2 killer of children and young adults. The #1 cause of spinal cord injury. We’ve accepted this as the price of mobility.

We don’t have to.

In medicine, when a treatment shows this level of benefit, we stop the trial early. Continuing to give patients the placebo becomes unethical. When an intervention works this clearly, you change what you do.

In driving, we’re all the control group.

Cities like DC and Boston are blocking deployment. And cities are not the only forces mobilizing to slow this progress.

It’s time we stop treating this like a tech moonshot and start treating it like a public health intervention that will save lives.

Link to article below.

👀 this video of Waymo cars evading crashes with people and vehicles. I especially note the ones that require it having a 360° view.

My sincere thanks to Alex Ellerbeck and @acsifferlin for their wisdom and sure hand in editing this piece.

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@acekingspades @adamcarolla “Millionaires didn’t need PPP loans”. PPP was designed to save jobs, not owners. Eligibility was based on employees, not net worth. Dumb argument

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@adamcarolla Didn’t she have a podcast? 🤣

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@merket @kevinnbass @bgurley The non-group got the same score as the right and left groups. Group think used to get you a higher score. Eg should i eat this berry?

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@kevinnbass @bgurley His point is still valid. Whether it’s sharper reasoning for same side syllogisms or adaptive misinformation, one still performs remarkably worse on opposite side questions. I’d argue it shows group think is less important than it’s ever been

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@han64compuserve @Ryanb58 @Tesla @Tesla_AI Driving a motorcycle is definitely a risk. I wonder if some of that risk is mitigated long term because even when you drive a car, you still assume nobody sees you

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

I thought ‘Don’t Look Up’ was a metaphor for the environment. The national debt crisis works better though

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@MarketPalmer_ They would complain the most if there was talk of removing the mortgage interest deduction

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@ViktorBunin Not that hard

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@shellenberger What we need is the actuary analysis by the insurance companies. The sports handicappers know exactly how a player injury or new coach change the odds. What features are in their models and how do they change the likelihoods

[jonathan hester @hesterjonathan]

@evansammccann $500 for a season pass that gets me into resorts everywhere. 16 days this season with my 4 year old and never waited in a line more than a few minutes. It’s never been cheaper if you go non peak