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Cloudflare CEO, Matthew Prince, on AI and Jensen Huang's scandal:
"There's also been a little less engineering and more financial engineering over the last little bit, and you see people who've done deals where they are effectively selling 1 dollar for 50 cents and that doesn't play well over the long term. I think what we're experiencing right now is figuring out where is the real ROI for companies in Al, and the companies that figure that out are the ones disciplined, and the ones focused on cost, are going to be the huge winners over the long term. The ones running around with Uncle Jensen's crazy credit card just buying things like crazy, they maybe aren't going to be ones that last too long."
"Jensen is an incredibly complicated character...I think the longer term question for Nvidia is going to be some of the things they've done to really cement their position. They've done a lot to control access to memory, they've done a lot to control access to data center space. They've used that in order to leverage their position where they are in the marketplace. I think in the process of doing that, have funded a lot of this, maybe it's not overbuilt but built at a price which isn't the right price that is sustainable over the long term business."
"The longer term of whether Jensen is the hero or villain in this story is going to be, what were some of the things Nvidia did in order to cement their market position, were those helping us actually get the most out of Al or were those just financial engineering?"
Via @CNBC
$NET $NVDA $GOOGL $META $MSFT $AMZN
Note, GS PB highlighted US Info Tech net allocation (as % of total US net MV) now stands at 14.4%, approaching multi-year lows in the 1st/1 st/3rd percentiles on a 1-year/3-year/5-year lookback. Semis positioning has now almost fully roundtripped in 2026. GIR note calling the sector "clearly oversold" garnere attention this AM with a few compelling risk/reward
Stan Druckenmiller: Knowing When to Stop Analyzing Is the Biggest Mistake We Make
I think it's the biggest mistake in our business. At some point, the analysis becomes counterproductive. That's one thing I've learned, and it's greatly to my advantage. Speed matters now. With AI and email and everything else, if you sit around and analyze a company for four months and you're not willing to operate with 15% or 20% of information, you'll often miss just a big move and then you're afraid to buy it because it has moved.
That to me is a core belief. Sometimes when the opportunity is so big and you just kind of know it, you've just got to plunge in without the proper information, do the work, and if it doesn't work out, it doesn't matter whether you're a profit or loss.
FCF surprises are generating larger stock reactions than EPS surprises. Separate operating strength from cash conversion, incremental capex and the return on AI spending in 2028.
Volatility arrived,we were prepared and capitalized!
Another great week in the books! Some highlights from room: 🔥SPX 7500 puts 5.2-98! 1800%
🔥NVDA puts layers up to 8X hilyas
🔥NVDA 180s swing 400% hy6 🔥GLD calls 670% hy6 🔥TSLA puts 460% simo 🔥MU calls up to 4X dersh hy6 🔥GOOGL calls 3X hy6 🔥SPCX puts 3X Rviz
🔥MU puts 11-83 654%
🔥SPCX buy up 13pts bottom tick
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Top of the Democratic agenda on day 1 needs to be a pause on advanced AI development, regulation of this out of control industry, and a ban on artificial superintelligence.