The chart below shows the effective capital gains tax rate facing a business owner who invests $250,000 upfront, holds for 10 years, and then exits at different valuations. The result is striking: under Labor’s proposed CGT changes, Australian founders and investors would face an effective tax rate of up to 46% — roughly double the burden faced in most comparable markets, including the US, UK, Canada, Germany, Japan and New Zealand. And this is not just a founder problem. The same logic applies across all small, medium and large businesses, and any asset, including listed equities, property, private equity, venture capital and crypto. If these changes proceed, Australia will become one of the least attractive places in the developed world to build, invest, take risk and realise gains. The one major asset still sitting outside this tax net is the owner-occupied home, which remains CGT-exempt. That creates a powerful distortion. If investment properties, businesses, shares, commercial property and other assets are hit with materially higher effective CGT rates, capital will rationally look for shelter in the family home. The likely result: less capital for startups and productive enterprise, lower productivity, more pressure on rents as investors retreat from housing, higher inflation and interest rates, weaker demand for risk assets, and even more money being recycled into owner-occupied property — the last great tax haven in Australia. In short: this is not just a profound increase in the tax burden, with zero consultation in the name of giving imprudent politicians more money to waste. It is a major repricing of risk-taking in Australia. It is not reform: it is highly regressive, as it seeks to punish entrepreneurial success, which is the key driver of long-term jobs, incomes, growth and prosperity. It does not boost productivity: it destroys it by actively discouraging innovation and business creation. It will not lower the cost of living: it will lift it by boosting rents and making us much more inefficient. It will not reduce interest rates: alongside rampant and reckless government spending and record migration, it will pressure the RBA to raise our mortgage repayments. What is perhaps most shocking is that only 12 months ago this government was elected on the basis promising to never make these changes...
GitHub Copilot pioneered AI coding assistance. First to market. 20 million users. Then Claude Code & OpenAI Codex launched in mid-2025. Within six months, Copilot's daily installs peaked & declined while competitors surged past 100,000 combined.
The sword didn't fall on a laggard. It cut the early leader. If Microsoft can lose share in six months, no one is safe.
I analyzed 374 quarterly NDR observations from 25 public software companies. For years, the decline looked gradual. Net dollar retention fell from 125% in 2022 to 112% in 2025. Quarter by quarter. No cliff when ChatGPT launched. No acceleration when enterprises adopted Copilot.
Then came 2026.
The 25th percentile fell from 106% to 101% in a single quarter, now touching the breakeven line. The weakest companies are bleeding first. Zoom sits at 98%. Asana at 96%. The bottom quartile is now contracting.
The companies in the bottom quartile face different threats, but they share one trait: products simple enough to replace. https://t.co/l7TNzZXCWI (94% NDR) serves SMBs depressed by macro conditions. Zoom (98%) faces near-free alternatives in Teams & Google Meet. Asana (96%) offers task workflows that competitors & AI agents can replicate.
Macro pressure. Commoditization. Competition. AI. Each blade cuts differently. The bottom quartile will see accelerating losses. Some may tip into outright contraction. The sword of Damocles hangs by a single horsehair. For simpler products in competitive categories, that horsehair is fraying.
https://t.co/YYjmOqCpvb
🚀 Marvel Fusion Secures 60 Million Euro Series B Funding 🚀
In addition, we are honored to have been selected by the @EUeic Accelerator program with additionally up to 17.5 million Euro.
@HV_Capital@EarlybirdVC
The VC backlog is clearing. IPO pipeline is filling (both upround and downround IPOs) and M&A is on 🔥 - both strategic deals at great valuations and distressed deals where VCs getting 50% to 100% of $$ back. The 2 year lag to the public market correction is here. 🙏🏼👊
Super excited to announce l've accepted a new role as an Investment Manager at @PossibleVC!
With a focus on early-stage startups, Possible Ventures is dedicated to harnessing frontier tech - that’s deep tech, life sciences, and software platforms (dw that includes blockchain!)
Proud to announce that Marvel Fusion & @ColoradoStateU are collaborating on a $150M Laser Facility!
This public-private partnership marks a turning point in laser-based fusion development and accelerates our goal of commercializing fusion energy.
https://t.co/GTCzogUaLF
👀@handelsblatt interview w @MarvelFusion's Heike Freund:
-Only fusion company w a customized & power plant-ready laser facility
-Implementation w @ColoradoStateU accelerates validation
-Public-private partnerships help #deeptech companies & universities
https://t.co/81vPlg5FzW
Thanks @misssaxbys & the @Siftedeu team for the write-up on our journey @PossibleVC. It's a great reminder of some early successes & shines a light on our everyday obsession to uncover & invest in the next paradigm-shifting startups in frontier tech💪🚀
https://t.co/2EobI7kwXM
To things into perspective: All 40 Dax comps are worth just the equivalent of $1.66tn, less than Apple at $3tn or Microsoft at $2.53tn. And the Dax suffers from obsolescence: The average Dax company is 109 years old, the avg S&P 500 company only 42yrs.
If you're an SMB, managing identity and access to SaaS apps is no cakewalk. Oh wait, now it is. Cakewalk's design-first approach is empowering businesses and transforming app control. Join the beta and check it out today!
https://t.co/UjhEZtQEij
Congrats to the team at @BioNumber8 on securing $1.8M in pre-seed funding! We're proud to back such a game-changing mission. Revolutionising feed conversion ratios and reducing methane emissions is the future of sustainable agriculture! 🌱🐄💪
Thrilled to invest in #Aquila, innovators using light-based tech for energy transformation. Exciting step towards an 'Internet of Energy'. Read all about it in Billy's awesome write-up. The future is bright! 🌞🌍🚀 #EnergyTransition
US/China relation setback: In a headline reminiscent of 1962, WSJ is reporting that China will build an electronic eavesdropping facility in Cuba. Beijing will pay cash-strapped Havana several billion dollars for the facility. (via @knowledge_vital) https://t.co/HfGbk3pdLk