@edgarrmcgregor I recently addressed this with a couple on air mets who said i was wrong. Forecasts have not improved in the last decade imho. Especially mid term.
@SteveNomadic You think 1 to 3.8 miles away suggests it separated at altitude in the storm or on the way down? Kind of close but that plane came down pretty straight.
@RyanWeather Suppose this data is only available via grib. grib is the reason i quit even trying to map anything. Why can't getting an xarray of HR 6 Lat Y to Y2 lon X to X2 be just a bit simpler without 15 libraries?
@Wxandgardenguy@RyanWeather There's a few running wrf core for micro forecasts, but pretty sure they don't give it away. A decent Linux machine and some AI help you could run your own for free for local stuff. WRF core is open source.
@mattlanza I used 12K NAM parameters for a 24 hr supercell composite for a few years that did a great job overall. Didn't need huge data requirement. High enough res for a basic picture. Was a good tool. I'll miss it nostalgia wise.
@SteveNomadic@Turbinetraveler Hate to be blunt but pretty sure we already know what happened here. They flew into an updfraft and literally froze their tail off.
@mattlanza You're a straight shooter so..
My take: Forecasts are not significantly better today than 15 years ago. I might be biased, also don't follow as closely as i did. Your take?
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