Taco Salamanca

[GEX Edge @GEXEdgeIO]

$SPY premarket 7/6

Decision point, but GEX is still supportive.

Spot 747.67
Flip 746.78
Pin 750
Net GEX +$3.74B
Range 741.57–753.78

749/750 = upside test + magnet
746.8 = bull/bear line
744 = must-hold support

Above 749 and holding → 750/751 in play.
Below 746.8 → structure softens.
Lose 744 → bear case opens.
Until then: 747–750 chop/pin.

[Taco Salamanca @holve_jason]

@ChainboxApp In

[Jonah Lupton @JonahLupton]

I spent some quality time today with the $TMDX team at their HQ in Andover, MA.

I’ll share some deeper thoughts over the next few days including my bear case, base case, bull case and super bull case for the next ~6 years… ie through 2032 which is when they expect to hit 30,000+ OCS cases.

Waleed said there’s upside to those targets if several important catalysts play out as hoped/expected… not to mention their 2028/2030/2032 targets of 10k/20k/30k cases don’t include CHOPS which gives them a shot at the ~50% of organ transports/transplants that are still happening with cold storage/preservation.

I came away from today’s meetings even more bullish because my long term investment thesis is even stronger now. I have a better understanding of the catalysts and the European growth strategy as well as the upside potential of becoming an OPO.

It’s pretty clear the market doesn’t fully understand the current/future opportunity to revolutionize organ procurement, transportation and transplantation through OCS, NOP, CHOPS and potentially becoming an OPO.

I also think the market is sleeping on the upside with OCS 2.0, OCS Kidney and OCS 3.0 (which should provide a nice boost to margins through better operational efficiencies).

I have investment models through 2032 for my bear case, base case, bull case and super bull case.

Here are their respective CAGR's through 2032:
Bear case: +17%
Base case: +31%
Bull case: +38%
Super bull case: +48%

I'll consider sharing all the details from these models which includes # of cases in 2032, average revenue/price per case, net income margins, P/E multiple, outstanding share count, net cash/debt and target price (which you could easily reverse engineer using the respective CAGR's that I shared above)

fwiw, my base case implies that $TMDX hits the current 2032 target of 30k cases which should be considered conservative since it doesn't include anything from CHOPS or the upside from $TMDX becoming an OPO.

Too many investors are focused on the short term margin compression while overlooking why it's happening and the growth opportunity it's unlocking for the next 5-10 years.

I'm definitely feeling some pain on our $TMDX position but I'm willing to be patient... because I'm highly confident that we'll be rewarded for that patience over the next 5+ years.

NFA.
DYOR.

*I own $TMDX personally and we have a position at @FirstWaveFund which we added to today after the HQ meetings.

[Banana3 @Banana3Stocks]

$CEVA

NEW 52 WEEK HIGH!!!!!!!!

CONGRATS ALL SUBSCRIBERS 🍇💜💜💜

THIS DEEP RESEARCH LINKED BELOW, AND ANALYSIS IN THE LOW $20’S FOR MY SUBSCRIBERS WAS A LOT OF WORK AND IT HAS PAID OFF!

Much love!💜🍌🍌🍌

[Alex Desjardins @PrimeTrading_]

$QQQ PRICE ACTION

Weekly in a UPTREND ABOVE RISING 10wma-structure.
Daily in a UPTREND ABOVE RISING 21dma-structure. 3.42xATR-21ema, so ST extension remains,

This market just won’t stop… solid uptrend above a rising 21dma-structure, and it seems that it defies that ST extension by just keeping pushing higher. Those stress tests of last week and this week show that buyers are there to support each dip, and they really want to keep pushing it even higher.

Don't fight the trend - buyers are strong & aggressive even at these levels.

[Anthony Sandford @AnthonySandford]

Current Market Tide — 2/05 (9:53 AM)

$SPY: 677.42 • Vol: -730K • NCP: -93M • NCP (OTM): -142M • NPP: -19M • NPP (OTM): 11M

Overview
This update reflects sustained bearish control, with downside pressure intensifying rather than stabilizing. Call premium continues to deteriorate rapidly, volume has expanded further to the downside, and OTM call liquidation has accelerated. While near-the-money put premium remains muted, the growing OTM put premium confirms increasing tail-risk awareness.

The key development is deepening call-side liquidation paired with expanding negative volume, confirming active bearish participation rather than a temporary flush.

Premium Structure
Calls
Aggregated call premium has worsened to -93M, with OTM calls collapsing to -142M. This confirms aggressive and ongoing liquidation of upside exposure, especially in speculative strikes. Traders are decisively exiting upside bets rather than hedging selectively.

The continued deterioration in OTM calls signals bearish conviction, not noise or repositioning.

Puts
Aggregated put premium remains modest at -19M, but OTM put premium has flipped positive to 11M. This shows that while near-the-money protection demand is still restrained, traders are beginning to add farther-out downside protection, increasing asymmetry in the structure.

This combination allows call-side weakness to dominate while tail risk builds.

Volume Context
Total aggregated volume has expanded further to -730K, confirming accelerating downside participation. This is a meaningful increase from earlier readings and validates the premium deterioration as active selling pressure, not low-liquidity drift.

Rising negative volume alongside worsening call premium reinforces bearish momentum.

SPY Price Structure
Price is trading near 677.42, holding below prior levels with continued downside pressure. While there are minor intraday bounces, price remains aligned with the options structure, reflecting controlled but persistent selling rather than capitulation.

The lack of meaningful rebound attempts confirms bearish follow-through.

Interpretation
Calls
-93M NCP and deeply negative OTM calls confirm upside exposure is being aggressively reduced.
Puts
Near-the-money put premium remains muted, but positive OTM puts show rising tail-risk hedging.

Volume
-730K confirms expanding bearish participation and strengthens downside continuation risk.

Overall
The Market Tide remains in active bearish expansion. Upside participation continues to unwind, downside participation is growing, and volume confirms conviction. While the absence of heavy near-the-money put buying suggests this is not panic-driven, the structure strongly favors continued downside pressure and weak, sellable bounces.
Unless call premium stabilizes and volume meaningfully contracts, the path of least resistance remains lower.

[Taco Salamanca @holve_jason]

@vulturetrades Trade

[💎 Diamond Trades 💎 @sparkle6193920]

@_bwatts_

[Taco Salamanca @holve_jason]

@vulturetrades Ready

[Taco Salamanca @holve_jason]

@vulturetrades Trade

[Taco Salamanca @holve_jason]

@vulturetrades 11 flips

[Taco Salamanca @holve_jason]

@vulturetrades 11 flips

[Taco Salamanca @holve_jason]

@vulturetrades 11 flips

[Taco Salamanca @holve_jason]

@StockOptions888 Algo

[Taco Salamanca @holve_jason]

@vulturetrades 10 flips

[Taco Salamanca @holve_jason]

@GhostOptions_ Tesla

[Taco Salamanca @holve_jason]

@vulturetrades Trade

[Taco Salamanca @holve_jason]

@vulturetrades Trade

[Taco Salamanca @holve_jason]

@matt_kohrs What a regard!

[PharmD_KS @PharmD_KS]

@eliant_capital @outbreakupdates Oh boy