Jeffrey Kowarsky

Investor/Owner

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

@TCMLLC $DOCN OEH JT. Golly software 🤦‍♂️

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

When I first started trading I thought dip buying $Meta would be a good idea. Now I wouldn’t buy it with your money. Lots of distribution.

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

@OptionsHawk Such a beast. You were spot on with this one.

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

@LeifSoreide Yup $400 decent spot.

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

$DOCN $NBIS 👀

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

@TCMLLC @amphtrading Thanks fellas. Appreciate you 🐒🐒

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

@TCMLLC good morning my friend hope you are well. I was wondering if you had a tool where you could combine power earnings gaps, 3 weeks tight bases with a trend of 2 or 3 OELS within certain time frames?

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

@OptionsHawk Sorry to hear about this. People change things happen. Best of luck to both of you.

[Patrick OShaughnessy @patrick_oshag]

My conversation with Alex Sacerdote, founder of Whale Rock Capital Management.

Alex runs more than $17B and has been one of the best performing tech investors for years, though he keeps a low public profile.

As you'll hear, he is singular in how he thinks about investing through technology cycles.

For over 25 years, he has built his entire investment framework around a single idea, the S-curve.

We discuss:
- The AI L-Curve
- When to buy into an S-curve and when to sell out
- The de-commoditization of data center hardware
- Why he went net short software
- His two models for tech adoption
- Finding alpha

Enjoy!

Timestamps
0:00 Intro
9:55 AI's L-Curve
19:31 Whale Rock's S-Curve Playbook
26:14 Spotting Inflection Points
32:02 Finding AI Winners
40:04 AI vs Software
48:13 The Hardware Renaissance
58:04 Why Investors Miss AI
1:05:18 Whale Rock's Research Machine

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

This played out for nice r/r short

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

$MSFT gap up over $456 (200 MA) looks like that gap gets filled tomorrow below 200 MA. Not a good look but maybe needs some rest.

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

$ORCL = advanced money destroyer

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

@RichardMoglen Good spot

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

Lies

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

MARKET DESKS WARN OF SHARPER EQUITY UNWINDS AFTER FRIDAY ROUT

Goldman Sachs and Barclays traders warn Friday’s selloff may signal deeper fragility, not a one-off move. They cite crowded momentum positioning, weak market breadth, and higher-for-longer rates as factors increasing the risk of abrupt factor unwinds. Goldman says such positioning can amplify volatility beyond index moves, while Barclays warns volatility-control funds may need to cut US equity exposure after the rout. Systematic strategies remain vulnerable, with AI, rates, and inflation risks seen as key triggers for further downside.

[Alex Marenco @AlexMarenco1]

Top 15 IBD50 stocks, a gage of what the high-octane names are doing. #money #stocks #investors #IBD50 #FFTY

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

@801010athlete Wouldn’t be surprised to see the market up on Monday. May take a few days but you never know.

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

$AAOI inside day on Friday holding the 20 EMA. Call buyers active. Looking for a close over $205 for confirmation.

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

@saxena_puru What happens Monday? Gap down with buying demand 🙏

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

$DELL one of my favs out there right now holding $400. Good.

[Jeffrey Kowarsky @homelandcom]

@DeItaone Crash 💥 JK

[JT @TCMLLC]

Shout out to TickerMonkey @DonShrein who is a constant student and has dove deeper into the DeMark work in recent months.

I was looking at these 3 spots today on /NQ and this afternoon Don replied to me with :

"This is actually a 9– 13–9 sequence.

A 9–13–9 is one of the more important — and more misunderstood — DeMark Sequential patterns.
It is essentially a second exhaustion signal occurring shortly after the first one.
Think of it as:
Exhaustion → failed reversal / renewed trend → second exhaustion
DeMark viewed this as potentially a higher-confidence reversal condition because the market has exhausted itself twice."

While I didn't circle the 13 on the daily /NQ this afternoon here it is on the daily $QQQ

These require confirmation with a close below, and as has been seen in this Power Trend that never occurred.

7wk rule with 10ma is on watch as well.
Get any of those things and we may finally get some rest/consolidation.