fuad

really into finance

[Bagus P. Perdana @BagusPerdana_]

Fun fact Bruh, EIDO down 39 pct Ytd, tapi instead of outflow YtD dia Inflow US$140Mn, possible explanationnya ;

1.Factor hedge market neutral Fund, krn by factor screen pasti kita flash di Value dan Quality. Tanpa ribet risiko idiosyncratic at stok level best expression ya ke eido post buang ampas.

2. Asymetric valuation bet, Deep Value Territory (decade level value percentile), again yg udah masuk via basket berarti pegang base case never going to fall to frontier.

3. Arbitrage in size, reason 1-2 combined tp pusing masalah size/investability. Sell the stock, buy the basket. No FF-UBO disclosure hassle.

in a way, kau yang mem"buang" kau juga yang me"nyerok" is truth

[Pink Bourbon @pinkbourbon8898]

Menurut gue,

MSCI acknowledge apa yang udah dilakukan regulator kita: disclosure pemilik di atas 1%, klasifikasi investor lebih granular, framework HSC, plus roadmap free float minimum 15%.

Yang mereka mau skrg adalah pembuktian.

Mereka tekankan di bagian implementasi. Mereka mau lihat kalau HSC dan aturan 1% itu bukan omon-omon. “Consistent implementation” dan “sustained effectiveness” mereka sebut dua kali. Artinya yang dinilai bukan ada-tidaknya aturan, tapi apakah aturan itu beneran dipakai, konsisten, dan bertahan.

Kalo tanya gua, sampai Oktober-November kita bakal lihat beberapa nama masuk HSC lagi. Dan kemungkinan besar dimulai dari yang baru IPO, karena di situ frameworknya paling gampang diterapin sejak awal.

Yang harus dilihat sekaragn bukan hanya nama yang masuk HSC doang, tapi apakah angka free float-nya beneran berubah atau hanya gaya gayaan doang. Karena ujung-ujungnya itu yang MSCI ukur.

In the mean time, berbahagialah karna Penaldo bisa cetak 2 gol pagi ini (:

[fuad @honzayte]

@jaefhyuq beda minf w/ nominfoll apa deh kak

[fuad @honzayte]

gaada yang jualan X followers kah ges #zonauang

[fuad @honzayte]

@jaefhyuq berapaan kaa

[Cassandra Unchained @michaeljburry]

I have found the key to happiness is gratitude. The thankful are by nature humbled by the grace of others and cognizant of the miracles that surround us every single day.

[Algo Research @algo_research]

🇮🇩 JUST IN: COO of #Danantara confirms that the newly established institution (DSI) will not directly sell commodity exports and only to monitor export pricing to address under-invoicing.

This is in-line with our thesis that the overhang with DSI has been priced in, at least until 2027.

[Febri 👻 @fbrreds]

Demo di Bundaran HI ini unik, karena biasanya demo ke lembaga pemerintahan tertentu

Tapi bundaran HI itu sumber traffic: masyarakt dan sosial media

peluang media ngeliput naik
peluang sosmed divideoin orang juga naik

orang aware-> tujuan demo terpenuhi dengan cara baru

[Jeffrey Currie 🆔++ @CommodMkt]

The real reason oil is below $100/bbl. It isn’t fundamentals. It’s capital aversion. Policy uncertainty has made oil too volatile to hold. Investor VaR has collapsed by c.$5B. Open interest is at the lowest level in years. Global oil stocks are still drawing 5-6mb/d; however, investors say they don't care.

Start with investor VaR - the best measure of how much capital is willing to engage with oil. It has collapsed to $1.4B (see chart). Not forced out by rising rates, sanctions or external margin calls. Investors are simply choosing not to hold. The policy noise - deal on/off, attack, not attack - has made the carry uncompensable.

VaR compression has one direct consequence: it drains open interest. Contracts are closed. Market depth disappears. 2026 YTD open interest decline is the worst on record. Unlike 2022, there’s no rates shock or sanctions forcing the exit. This is capital aversion.

Managed Money VaR and YTD OI Change

[Ricky Ho @rickyho_1989]

The next major headache for the Indonesian government may not be foreign portfolio outflows. It may be Chinese investors quietly looking for the exit.

Reports of Tsingshan considering Madagascar, Lygend looking at Tanzania, and renewed interest in New Caledonia should not be dismissed as isolated developments. They are signals. Capital rarely leaves overnight. It leaves gradually, one project at a time.

The concern is not that existing operations will suddenly shut down. Billions of dollars have already been invested and those assets cannot simply be picked up and moved elsewhere. The bigger issue is future capital allocation. Once investors begin directing incremental investment toward alternative jurisdictions, the long-term growth trajectory changes.

The timing is particularly concerning because Indonesia’s broader investment momentum is already slowing. Foreign direct investment reportedly declined 6% in 2025 after growing 19% the previous year. Mining investment peaked in 2024, while new investment into base-metal refining appears to have plateaued. That should command policymakers’ attention.

[Agnesius @primagnesius]

capital rotation into emerging markets is coming. don’t get left behind. 8,400 is inevitable.

[Michael Fritzell (Asian Century Stocks) @MikeFritzell]

Monopsonies in Indonesia: a brief history

[Premier League @premierleague]

He made it.

[Algo Research @algo_research]

🚨 🚨 IHSG: Market rumor is circulating that Indonesia is reportedly preparing to announce the creation of a new state-linked export body that would centralize exports for selected commodities including coal, CPO and minerals.

Under the proposed structure, exporters may be required to sell their products to the new entity, which would then handle exports directly, raising market concerns over potential pricing control.

[NoLimit @NoLimitGains]

OMG HIS PORTFOLIO JUST WENT LIVE

THIS IS THE GUY WHO TURNED $225M INTO $5.5 BILLION IN 12 MONTHS

[Steve Hanke @steve_hanke]

Commodity market guru Jeff Currie on the shadow that commodity shortages will cast on the equity markets.

"For example, helium doesn't matter to GDP, but when you're out, [you're out]. Where are you going to produce... chips?"

TO PRODUCE CHIPS, YOU NEED HELIUM.

[Robert Friedland @robert_ivanhoe]

A VERY IMPORTANT READ!

Jeff Currie @CommodMkt was formerly the Global Head of Commodities Research at @GoldmanSachs.

He is one of the world’s smartest commodity market strategists. He outlines why the crowded investment into AI has created the most asymmetric trade of our modern era… and why the smart money is investing in the physical assets AI requires to operate.

You can’t print molecules…

Jeff is also on the board of @abaxx_tech , @IPulseGroup and @bluesparkenergy some of the most important and disruptive technology companies.

[manggitgaris | Your Technical Analyst @manggitgaris]

Hammer Candlestick on IHSG
Opo masute mas??

A Thread of Technical Analysis Series
by manggitgaris RTA | Your Technical Analyst

Jangan lupa like, komen dan ritwitt yess

[dedewizard @dedewizard19]

Banyak yang tanya soal settingan RSI yang saya pakai. Ini settingan pribadi saya (Length 10), bukan default 14. Bedanya apa? Ini jauh lebih cepat buat nangkep momentum.

Jangan dijual, dan jangan sok-sokan self claim seolah ini kalian yang cari tahu sendiri.

Saya bagikan gratis buat teman-teman belajar, tolong hargai itu. Silakan di backtest.

[Sarjana Eksu @SarjanaEksu]

Tidak separah 1930?????

Itu rupiah menguap dalam setahun

Gw di Mei 1998 stuck di jalan tol dalkot 10 jam padahal traffic saat itu jauh lebih rendah drpd taun skrg

Bokap gw kerja di siang hari dan siskamling pas malamnya biar gak kena jarah

Sampe nulis “RUMAH MILIK PRIBUMI” biar gak dijarah

Ngeliat langsung bank rush orang2 antri di bank

Saham Bluechip di Indonesia banyak yang ekuitas negatif di tahun 1998-1999, dah kayak BUMI sebelum kuasi, karena lossnya sangat dahsyat

Penjarahan, mall dibakar, insiden trisakti, dll

Pernah gak lu hampir setengah temen di kelas lu bapaknya jadi pengangguran dalam beberapa bulan?

Cicilan rumah naik 5-7x dalam setahun

Disitu titik balik industrialisasi Indonesia. Klo lo ngobrol sama boomers yg skrg jadi supir taxi atau apapun banyak kisah mereka itu dlu pegawai pabrik yang kena PHK trus pabriknya tutup dan arah ekonomi indonesia gak manufacturing lagi dan tergantikan oleh anak muda jadi mereka kehilangan pekerjaan mereka for good

Gw gak ngalamin krisis 1930 di US tp gw gak akan berani bilang klo 1998 itu gak separah great depression.

Jangan pernah TAKE FOR GRANTED kalau kita berhasil bounce back stronger dari krismon 1998