Ignacio Garrón

Father of two. 🇧🇴🇪🇸✝ #Forecasting #Econometrics.

[Ignacio Garrón @ignacio_garron]

First PhD chapter published! Very happy to share my research joint with H. Chuliá and @JorgeMarioUribe in the International Journal of Forecasting @IIForecasters @ubeconomics.
Daily growth at risk: Financial or real drivers? The answer is not alw... https://t.co/M7R61xwv0c

[Jesús Fernández-Villaverde @JesusFerna7026]

Is Bolivia’s total fertility rate below the U.S. rate?

In a new data release, the National Institute of Statistics of Bolivia reports the country’s total fertility rate at 1.56 in 2026. The U.S. will be around 1.57.

This is NOT my estimate. I am just copying and pasting a table from https://t.co/9mfk2R2Eec (Appendix 1, page 68). Can I say it again? This is the official data.

If I had been told 10 years ago that, by 2026, Bolivia’s total fertility rate would be below the U.S. rate, I would not have believed it. I would have happily bet $1 against $1 million that it would not happen. In fact, I look at the table, and I still need to pinch myself. Bolivia was around 6.5 in the mid-1980s and around 3 in 2010 or so.

I don’t know. Sometimes I wish I were a better writer, so I could express what I am feeling right now. More than anything, the sense that ten years ago I missed a fundamental change in humanity. What else can I be missing now?

Thanks to @LibCarlos for the link and the information..

[Gian Pietro Enzo Bellocca @GBellocca]

📢 New draft available
“FARS: Factor Augmented Regression Scenarios in R”

🧾 Paper: https://t.co/Ge2xqgEnAF
📦 Package: https://t.co/JBVVosaB0I

A complete framework for factor-based stress-testing in R.

Here’s what it offers 👇

[Gian Pietro Enzo Bellocca @GBellocca]

🚨 Just released: FARS (v0.1.0) – Factor-Augmented Regression Scenarios in #rstats

📊 Model & forecast economic scenarios with multilevel factor models
🔬 Beta release – we’d love your feedback!
📦 https://t.co/9FF3obtl92

#EconTwitter #CRAN

[Ignacio Garrón @ignacio_garron]

@vrodriguezcab Muchas felicidades Vladimir!

[Ignacio Garrón @ignacio_garron]

@RealBenjizo b. Dad

[Ignacio Garrón @ignacio_garron]

@AdolfoGarronV Gracias Adolfito, un fuerte abrazo 🤗!

[Ignacio Garrón @ignacio_garron]

@JoseEGomezGo @JorgeMarioUribe Mucha gracias Jose por aceptar formar parte de mi comité de defensa. Me quedo muy contento de que te haya gustado la tesis y la presentación. Asimismo, tendré muy en cuenta tus comentarios y sugerencias a futuro. Un abrazo!

[UB School of Economics @ubeconomics]

Friday's #Thesis #defence: 'Essays on Tail Risks in Macroeconomics'

🎙️@ignacio_garron (@UniBarcelona)
⏰12:00 CEST
📍Hybrid. Sala de Graus, 690 Building
🔗More information: https://t.co/8ssLr29QOU
🗃️Thesis defence
#EconTwitter

[Marcelo Claure @marceloclaure]

Que orgullo. Juan Carlos Prado 🇧🇴 #1 en en ranking junior del 🎾 mundial. Lo quiero ir a ver a #wimbledon2023 y quiero conocerlo para aprender de él.

[Giuseppe Cavaliere @CavaliereGiu]

Hi #EconTwitter!

Exciting news🎉:

@robtibshirani-@daniela_witten-James-Hastie-Taylor have released the #python version of the influential 𝐄𝐥𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐋𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠!

Course, datasets, notebook (and more) included. 📚📊

Don't miss out!

[Giuseppe Cavaliere @CavaliereGiu]

Hi #EconTwitter!

My compilation of #Econometrics-related books & notes is now live!

Explore if you need:

General Econometrics 📊
Time Series Analysis ⏰
Causal Inference 🔍
Financial Econometrics 💰
Stats, Prob & Machine Learning 🧠
Coding 💻

Comments/suggestions welcome!

[CEMLA @CEMLA]

Alcaldía finaliza trabajo para elaborar un plan destinado a gestionar deudas https://t.co/SRK9O64xPC

[CEMLA @CEMLA]

Las capacidades cognitivas influyen positivamente en la educación financiera | BBVA https://t.co/6v8AtUTjAV

[Annamaria Lusardi @Dr_AnnaLusardi]

María José Roa Garcia of @CEMLA analyzes the effects of cognitive characteristics and #FinLit on financial decision-making #CBFinEd2017

[Gobierno Autónomo Municipal de La Paz @LaPazAlcaldia]

Las cebras invitan a @iamjohnoliver a ser #CebraX1Dia y conocer #LaPazMaravillosa
#JustAddZebras

Cc. @LastWeekTonight

[Gapminder @Gapminder]

Sad to announce: Hans Rosling died in Uppsala this morning. Memorial info later. https://t.co/wW4udLFBak

[The Economist @TheEconomist]

These countries are net importers and exporters of primary commodities http://t.co/a7X7mRQQ19

[Xavier Sala-i-Martin @XSalaimartin]

Bellísima sentencia del Supremo de los EEUU (escrita por el juez Kennedy... y traducida por Google). #LoveWins

[Innovations for Poverty Action @poverty_action]

El miércoles IPA y J-PAL presentarán en La Paz el Seminario "Mejorando políticas públicas con evidencia en Bolivia" http://t.co/7k3qn3zumH