“Xi Jinping opened the Chinese Communist Party’s twice-a-decade National Congress on Sunday by pledging to never renounce using force to take control of Taiwan while championing a clampdown on Hong Kong’s pro-democracy movement”
https://t.co/KulCR3n22W
During Xi's second term as president, Chinese stocks plunged more than 50% - the worst returns in the world. Wall Street is expecting his third term will usher in a more benign investing environment, but don't get your hopes up. With @RChoongWilkins
https://t.co/FXjgyT5aFV
NY Fed President John Williams: Monetary policy is working. Financial conditions have tightened. Spending will slow.
Commodities prices are falling. Supply chains are improving. But that won't be enough because underlying inflation is high https://t.co/pe8tHVbiC6
One more thing. Only when Fed’s monetary policy is restrictive, leading to Fed funds rate above interest rates, Fed pivot = new bull market. Still, far from that level.
Historically accurate. When not heading into recession, Fed pivot = new bull market. If EPS recession ahead (or housing doesn’t bottom) the pivot rally fades (in equities, but not bonds) and the bear market continues. Looks like we are both in the latter camp. #macro#HOPE
GOLDMAN: Our year-end S&P target is 3600, but “if investors price a recession, we expect 2023 EPS would decline by 11% and S&P 500 would fall to 3150.” [Kostin] $SPX
Surging energy prices are starting to hit people in emerging countries. Jokowi has made a decision to substantially raise subsidized fuel prices. Consequently, there are protests against the fuel price increases in Indonesia.
https://t.co/Lg5Fo9iniY
According to the majority of leading academic economists, they believe the fed fund rates of this tightening cycle will peak between 4 percent and 5 percent and the US central bank will hold the rate there beyond 2023.
https://t.co/o7wG3Aj5B2
This is crap. The reason why the dollar is strong is that the us has a money printing machine which absorbs liquidity of other currencies when do rate hikes go into effective.
https://t.co/wKsVpcagPc
To the Republicans complaining about the billions the US is sending to Ukraine
I’m going to share with a private opinion from a knowledgeable European official I know
Basically, he starts off smiling and saying the US are “absolutely ruthless” with regard to the Ukraine war
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