open sourced it
if you're trading 5min @Polymarket markets, this might change the way you trade and make your life much easier!
feedback welcome
@PolymarketDevs
Working on a terminal CLI for trading the 5min BTC markets on @Polymarket these days.
Building it first for myself, fast, simple, with real edge. If it actually becomes useful for trading these volatile markets manually, I’ll open source it here.
Still early, but getting there.
@hmalviya9 great analysis,
I think Bosnia is very tough team to beat , even for big teams(like Italy lost in play-offs), I personally going for Canada "No" bet. lets see
@hmalviya9 yeah agreed totally with you,
and you know when I read it I thought maybe I saw these things in manifesto in real life already, maybe in Bitcoin and Ethereum , and contents of manifest seemed very new like May wrote them today, amazing.
@hmalviya9 yesterday, inspired by your post about information markets, I read the crypto anarchist manifesto, and now I can say it change my view about crypto in a positive way. thanks bro
Prediction markets seems like a gambling to the major part of collective the same way how it looked like when people shilled you alts in 2016 and you were never interested to listen. The time has changed now but we have seen the whole timeline of making generational money meanwhile. Same gonna happen again at 10x scale, hope you don’t get sidelined again, also hope you learn the nuances behind the purest form of crypto anarchy before calling it names out of your own ignorance because you are not simply ready to understand the the maths and philosophy behind one of the greatest financial instrument of past 100 years.
open sourced it
if you're trading 5min @Polymarket markets, this might change the way you trade and make your life much easier!
feedback welcome
@PolymarketDevs
Working on a terminal CLI for trading the 5min BTC markets on @Polymarket these days.
Building it first for myself, fast, simple, with real edge. If it actually becomes useful for trading these volatile markets manually, I’ll open source it here.
Still early, but getting there.
why i am so bullish on crypto, in "defense of the ideological"-
i recently watched the video of the first public appearance for jensen and elon together, which was at GTC 2015 more than ten years ago. by this time, jensen had already made his iconoclastic bet on parallel graphics processing for over twenty years, and on CUDA since 2006. musk had his hassabis moment in 2012. yet openAI was not yet founded (would be ~9 months later), and GDX-1 would be announced at GTC the following year too
this is that narrow window where a revolution is visible to some but not others, in which both of these geniuses had early inklings of recognizing AIs pervasive potential, but the broad public was not yet made aware. it would take another 10 years for it reach mainstream applications of course
i broadly think of the crypto industry being the same place today. just as there were brilliant minds who understood the revolution that would come from the GPU paradigm, there was simply no large scale consumer demand that required its objective superiority for decades to come. instead, it was picked up by hobbyists (ie gamers) who enjoyed a sense of self-determination by pushing the boundaries of their passion, tinkering, sharing, and researching. in a rather strange way, gamers subsidized AI's development, just like early defi subsidized the institutional tokenization development.
during the GTC 2015 interview, elon tells jensen something interesting: the 0-10 mph autonomous driving is very easy to solve because the car can be stopped. the 50+ mph zone is also easy to solve because there are rules of engagements at that speed that dont have as many randomness. the hardest part to solve is actually the 10-50mph, what i call the "the middle game" where a car in an urban setting with bikes, children, cones, manholes, create all kinds of need for precision and speed that sensors today need to develop further. it's fundamentally solvable, but this is the most challenging portion of fulfilling the dreams of autonomous driving
this is where crypto is today. the 0-10mph was easy because people can understand why permissionless money is useful from a practical sense to start developing. the 50mph+ will also be really easy because by that point, onchain capital markets is going to be so obvious that you could never go back with all the benefits of self custody, capital efficiency, money velocity/rest optimizations. but its the 10-50 thats hard, where money in a pre-internet financial infrastructure is hitting AML/KYC, offshore capital conduits, discretionary bank risk models, lagging reporting regimes create all kinds of need of need for precision and speed that institutional infrastructure today needs to develop further. its fundamentally solvable, but this is the most challenging portion of fulfilling the dreams of onchain capital markets
i love bitcoin. but contrary to some opinion, i believe its possible to love crypto too, because bitcoin is a monetary experiment enabled by the evolution of technology, while most of crypto is the inverse: a technology experiment enabled by the evolution of money. they are fundamentally solving different problems, though rooted in one ideal: to make its access as much of a public good as possible
this is why crypto is going to be such an important force for the future during this "narrow window" for those can can see it. and while most early pioneers got into the game because of the ideology behind decentralization, it's time to admit that the winning ideology is technological financialization: it is hyperfinancialization with elements of decentralization that exports sovereign finance as a public good, decentralizes agentic rails for humanity as a public good, promote self-determination as a public good.
this is worth fighting for, and im excited to recommit my focus to these ideals that began my crypto journey. this "middle game" period will be remembered as the most critical juncture for the industry and for anyone who is doubting the industry at this time, i hope reading this helps you reanchor your beliefs for what you are actually fighting for, and more importantly, know that you can play a meaningful part in the revolution too
the future belongs to those who recognized it was always ideological
Major areas where the financial system still needs an update:
1. Tokenization of real-world assets - Real estate, stocks, bonds, funds, etc. onchain for instant settlement, fractional ownership & massive distribution.
2. 24/7 Global trading - Pooled global liquidity, every asset, every person, with great leverage and capital efficiency.
3. Next-gen payments - Near-instant, low-cost global transfers using stablecoins, including for Agentic payments.
4. AI-powered risk, credit, compliance, and advice - Better decisions, less fraud, and broader access to capital. Everyone gets access to a great financial advisor.
5. Innovation friendly regulation - Move from one-size-fits-all to risk-based rules that encourage innovation and competition instead of stifling it.
6. Expanded access - Open protocols that reduce middlemen and self-custodial wallets to expand access to everyone with a smartphone.
7. Capital formation - Low cost and turnkey for anyone to raise money for a good idea, increasing the number of startups.
8. Sound money - A refuge from inflation, when discipline is lost in fiat money.
Jobs not done until we get these working for all.
Will require lots of tech innovation and policy work to get there.
ANNAPURNA, 365.
365 pieces. one for every day a body eats.
food → microbiome → vagus → cortex, mapped through real data (USDA, Phenol-Explorer, DII) and ancient wisdom.
every retreat week blooms gold.
every grief week turns ash.
every festival burns cinnabar.
the gut-brain axis as a kingdom you can hold.
WL: like + RT, comment BADGUT.
minting soon.