itscrazybro

Digital Asset Investor since 2013 | Focused on finding bets with outsized returns.

[itscrazybro @itscrazybro_]

The risk segment of my portfolio is positioned for the AI Revolution!

$NVIDIA - Sells the chips that will power the upcoming AI Revolution

$Tesla - Two of the largest AI Applications via Robotaxi and Humanoids

$THINK - Ownership/Decentralised AI

$Root - Captures the coming explosion of Content via Generative AI and provides it with ownership via Blockchain and interoperability.

You are not a victim to AI, you can both harness it and bet on it being the future and changing our world as we know it.

If you were dropped into the early days of the Industrial Revolution then the smartest thing you could have done is bet in the direction that the world was heading - not the old world order. This is as big if not bigger than the Industrial Revolution, don't miss the opportunity.

[eric @econoar]

Way too mean bearish targets like $100 for HYPE. Flip targets:

TRX: $150
SOL: $215
BNB: $430

Don't see an issue with flipping any of these

[shaunda devens @shaundadevens]

HYPE >$50. Some thoughts:

Asset prices reflect the last trade in a market’s continuous auction. While this is often treated as “fair value,” only a small share of supply actually changes hands. As a result, price usually reflects the most aggressive buyers and sellers, and the premium or discount they are willing to accept relative to the recent price range. Still, over time, slower-moving supply and demand respond, and the market starts to re-equilibrate.

Therefore, while there are many ways to value an asset, the best way to contextualize its current value is:

1) What do short-term flows and asymmetries look like?
2) Where are longer-term buyers and sellers likely to step in?

For HYPE, short-term aggressive flows are clearly asymmetric to the upside. ETF access has started ($14.1M volume on May 19th), DATs are buying (Hyperliquid Strategies has $100M left), and the Assistance Fund continues to purchase $10M–$15M a week. On the market side, we are seeing tons of positive catalysts: Circle / Coinbase likely bringing in >$100M of stablecoin-related revenue for Hyperliquid, pre-IPO markets like SpaceX and potentially OpenAI from TradeXYZ bringing outsized TradFi attention, RWA open interest at $2.6B (up 2x from two months ago), and most recently regulatory momentum around tokenized stocks.

This leads to the second question: where do longer-term holders sell into this demand? HYPE spent nearly a year auctioning between $20 and $40, rotating supply into a new holder base. My bias is that much of this supply now sits with less price-sensitive holders: Deployers, the Assistance Fund, DATs, and stakers. If motivated sellers already had repeated exits around $38–$40, how much is left to sell above $50? Instead, we may see a reflexive dynamic where investors waiting for lower (e.g HYPE’s $8 Solana moment) are forced to rotate in.

My view is that flows and demand have already pushed many TradFi equities into extremely stretched valuations, while HYPE, despite being crypto’s clear winner, has remained relatively anchored to fundamentals. This break above the prior range, along with clear improvements in fundamentals (regulation, diversified revenue, 0-1 pre-IPO / 24/7 markets) and access (ETFs and DATs), could create an environment where price discovery turns reflexive and HYPE grinds much higher, detaching from traditional valuation anchors in the same way many high-growth L1s have in past cycles.

Hyperliquid

[Ryan Watkins @RyanWatkins_]

The more I think about this Coinbase partnership, the more I believe it is Hyperliquid’s biggest announcement all year.

Stablecoin yield is the largest revenue source in the industry next to trading fees and Hyperliquid is now the first blockchain to internalize both.

This is a fundamental transformation of Hyperliquid as a business.

Yield sharing enables Hyperliquid’s revenue to scale more directly with deposits, rather than just trading volume. And because deposits tend to be stickier than volumes in downturns, this could make Hyperliquid’s buybacks more resilient across cycles.

For example Hyperliquid stablecoin deposits are currently only down 15% from ATHs compared to monthly volumes down 55%.

Zooming out, there’s currently ~$80B in stablecoins deposits on Binance, Okx, and Bybit compared to ~$5B on Hyperliquid.

It doesn’t take crazy share gains or sector wide growth for the revenue numbers from yield sharing to get crazy for $HYPE.

Think $300M - $500M in incremental run-rate revenue from yield sharing is achievable within next 12 months, and billions in the years beyond as the cryptoeconomy reaccelerates.

Hyperliquid.

[Farzad 🇺🇸 🇮🇷 @farzyness]

Uber is dead in a world of autonomous vehicles at scale.

Especially vs Tesla.

It’s as obvious as the sky is blue.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: The S&P 500 closes at its highest level on record, now up +19% since the March 30th bottom.

That's +$11 TRILLION in market cap in under 7 weeks.

[Ryan Watkins @RyanWatkins_]

Massive Coinbase x Hyperliquid partnership that could bring $135M - $160M in revenue for $HYPE from USDC yield sharing.

Big positive surprise to now have the largest U.S. regulated crypto business aligned with Hyperliquid.

[Jeff Dorman @jdorman81]

hyperliquid:native gained $2.2 bn today in outstanding market cap today (570mm tokens of outstanding supply x $4 gain). That's 15x the add'l ~$150mm of earnings HYPE will earn via the new USDC / Coinbase / Circle deal.

The market is assigning a 15x multiple to the new income stream for HYPE, yet the business as a whole trades at 27x ($22 bn on $800mm revenue), and $CRCL somehow trades at 30x earnings, even though they are losing $150mm of earnings from this since they keep paying it all to Coinbase and now Hyperliquid.

Wild stuff

[@jason @Jason]

Honestly, fuck almonds

[MONK @defi_monk]

The Hyperliquid team are absolute sharks.

There is no other protocol that has made a deal as favorable as this with Circle. The only thing that compares is Coinbase’s.

Attaining these terms was no doubt a function of USDH becoming a bigger point of focus prior to this announcement.

This also helps derisk the platform for institutional Hyperliquid users and concentrated investors in HYPE. Coinbase and Circle are now the trusted counterparties for USDC quoted pairs.

Great show of confidence from the two largest US based crypto companies who are now aligned with Hyperliquid’s success. Bodes incredibly well for Hyperliquid’s path towards legalization in the US.

Great move from circle/coinbase to mark its presence on the leading onchain trading venue.

Just a huge announcement and my immediate takeaway is that this is an incredible win.

[Überrenditen @Uberrenditen]

Der 100-Jahre-Plan für den Aktienmarkt

Wenn du dir die letzten 100 Jahre anschaust, siehst du ein klares Muster: Der Markt wiederholt immer wieder die gleichen Zyklen. Seit der Großen Depression 1930 gab es drei große Abwärtsphasen und drei Aufwärtsphasen .
Wir stecken gerade mitten im dritten großen Bullenmarkt.

Die schlechten Zeiten (Bärenmärkte)
Diese Phasen dauerten meistens etwa 9 Jahre (die Weltwirtschaftskrise von 1930 war mit 12 Jahren eine Ausnahme). Ein typisches Zeichen war, dass der Markt zweimal oben und zweimal unten „anklopfte“, bevor es wieder aufwärts ging. Oft krachte der Kurs bis zu einer bestimmten langfristigen Linie (dem 300er-Schnitt im Monatschart) und startete von dort aus neu durch.

Die guten Zeiten (Bullenmärkte)
Die ersten beiden großen Aufwärtsphasen dauerten jeweils 24 und 25 Jahre. Das Spannende: Sobald der Markt einmal Fahrt aufgenommen hatte, fiel er fast nie unter eine bestimmte grüne Linie (den 100er-Schnitt). Die blaue Linie (50er-Schnitt) war dabei immer die beste Chance, um günstig nachzukaufen, wenn es mal zwischendurch ruckelte.

Warum steigt der Markt so extrem?
Hinter jedem Bullenmarkt steckt eine neue Technologie:
Früher waren es industrielle Durchbrüche.
Dann kam der Internet-Boom.
Heute erleben wir den E-Commerce- und Social-Media-Boom.

Klar, irgendwann platzen diese Blasen immer, weil die Leute übertreiben. Aber die Technik bleibt! Das Internet ist nicht verschwunden, nur weil die Kurse im Jahr 2000 abgestürzt sind – es wurde zum Fundament für alles, was wir heute nutzen.

Der KI-Boom
Wir sind jetzt im zweiten Teil des aktuellen Aufschwungs, und der wird von der Künstlichen Intelligenz getrieben. Wahrscheinlich wird diese Blase um das Jahr 2034 platzen. Das wird wehtun, aber danach wird KI das feste Rückgrat unserer gesamten Wirtschaft sein.
Im Grunde sind die letzten 100 Jahre eine Kette von Erfindungen, die die Kurse immer höher treiben. Die Abstürze zwischendurch sind nur dazu da, die heiße Luft rauszulassen und Platz für neues Geld und die nächste Technologie zu machen.

Was bedeutet das für dich heute?
Wenn dieser Zyklus so läuft wie die letzten beiden, könnte der S&P 500 bis auf 17.000 Punkte steigen.

Es wird zwischendurch immer wieder Korrekturen geben. Der Zoll-Crash Anfang 2025 war so ein Moment, hat aber die wichtige blaue Linie nicht ganz berührt.

Schau auf den RSI-Anzeiger. Wenn der unter 30 fällt, ist das eine Chance des Jahrzehnts. Das ist in 100 Jahren erst sechsmal passiert – und jedes Mal war es der perfekte Zeitpunkt zum Kaufen.

Liken, Folgen, Speichern, Kommentieren, Teilen.
Danke für den Support 🫶😊🫶

[Teslasti Basti @BastianBraun121]

🚨Austin is about to hit 100% unsupervised as well.

It’s happening fast.

[Nic Cruz Patane @niccruzpatane]

This is the automotive world’s BlackBerry to iPhone moment.

[Ejaaz @cryptopunk7213]

it looks like an AI alliance is gradually forming between SpaceXAI, anthropic, tesla, google and cursor.

its incredibly beneficial to all parties involved:
> google gets cheap access to space + infinite energy
> anthropic gets 300MW of inference compute
> spaceX gets $5-10B between anthropic and cursor deals
> cursor gets a leading coding model from the compute

both google and anthropic have now publicly announced intentions to use SpaceX to launch ai data centers into space in the last week

Google owns 7% of spaceX and 14% of anthropic so it makes sense

[Marko Slavnic @Markoslavnic]

The quality of animation you can create on your own is truly amazing. We really are just limited by our imaginations at this point. Go tell your story!

Made in @runwayml in a few hours and a handful of gens.

[Chris Camillo @ChrisCamillo]

Everyone wants the shortcut. Stocks remain undefeated long term.

[🐧 @Pentosh1]

Have said this for a year now. But if you aren’t trading stocks you’re doing yourself a huge disservice.

There’s going to be a few big boom and bust cycles. It’s going to be volatile so be warned. but AI is going to revolutionize every part of our lives. From agriculture and health/medicine, to general businesses , space travel, defense, robotics and anything you can possibly imagine. We are only in year 2 of this. It’s like finding crypto in 2014 in some ways.

[Farokh @farokh]

Checking in on the doomers????

[Jeff Lutz 🔋 @thejefflutz]

Very big headlines this morning for $TSLA including massive April China sales 36% growth and hiring for China Robotaxi! 🚀 Best April Germany sales ever.

[Peter Mallouk @PeterMallouk]

Great chart on bull and bear markets from Charles Schwab.

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

Just as SpaceX launches hundreds of satellites for competitors with fair terms and pricing, we will provide compute to AI companies that are taking the right steps to ensure it is good for humanity.

We reserve the right to reclaim the compute if their AI engages in actions that harm humanity.

Doing our best to achieve a great future with amazing abundance for all.

We will make mistakes, as to err is human, but always take rapid action to address them.