JC

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[JC @j69777]

@NickGibbsIAG Sell-off looking very minor, we'll see if it holds. What's happening is everybody is greedy so market is holding up. Probably need a major capex reduction announcement for larger drops.

[JC @j69777]

@smdcapital I think not. We'll see. Could get a minor pump, then back to the downside again.

[JC @j69777]

@TheAutonomyGuy @Mr_Derivatives Probably scale back capex big time in 2027, then tech is cooked. You think money just grows on infinite trees. There is a limit and when profits don't come in and loans increase, borrowing costs keep increasing. But some might scale back earlier because of worse free cash flow.

[JC @j69777]

@TheAutonomyGuy @Mr_Derivatives Capex will run out way before 3-4 years.

[JC @j69777]

@JOBhakdi I'd advise to take profits in tech if you can. If bought at the top, good luck. Market rotation seems like it will continue.

[JC @j69777]

@legen_eth Going well, huge portion of portfolio currently in $SGOV. Not pulling the trigger yet.

[JC @j69777]

@juiceboxlines @KinggTrades Who cares, always something else to buy. FOMO can work but also increases chances of you getting wrecked. But doesn't matter if your risk tolerance is a casino.

[JC @j69777]

@KinggTrades Same, $MU maybe a buy at under $400. My approach is if I'm taking higher risk with individual stocks, then I need more upside. Otherwise I'll stick with ETFs.

[JC @j69777]

@clintoptions Profit taking, exit door is tiny. FOMO chasing is risky business.

[JC @j69777]

@TJTheWheelDeal Screw 5 years from now, need profits every year. Love trying to time the market. Fear isn't even close to max yet. Only thing worth buying right now is defensive sectors.

[JC @j69777]

@0xcoked Nope. Crash will be when they announce tech Capex pullback since free cash flow gone and can't afford the higher rates to borrow. Everybody acting like there is infinite cash to keep building the AI story. However, if money keeps rotating out of tech, maybe a softer crash.

[JC @j69777]

@amitisinvesting More circular financing does not instill confidence in AI stocks. Bearish news.

[JC @j69777]

@GerberKawasaki Why stop there? Have all companies make everything in the US.

[JC @j69777]

@BULLOFBRITAIN Overall helps to speedrush AI if this alleviates bottlenecks with memory and TSMC. However, it's questionable how long the AI CapEx spend can continue. Everybody going for broke. Get rich or die trying.

[BULL OF BRITAIN @BULLOFBRITAIN]

South Korea’s government body is planning to invest $64B a year, for 10 years minimum through Samsung and SK Hynix.

Themes specifically mentioned

- Semiconductors
- Data Centers
- Physical AI

They are announcing a 10 year bet on this, with the downside being their entire financial market.

Samsung / Hynix make up 57% of KOSPI. If the industry fails, Korea is financially going back to the stone age.

This is either maximum Korean degeneracy or an insight into how the government bodies are seeing this play out.

U.S. is all in. Taiwan is all in. S.Korea is all in.

[JC @j69777]

@sp3cul8r Forget about Strait of Hormuz.

It's the Strait of Memory.

[JC @j69777]

@CKCapitalxx Yes keep raising prices, demand won't fall. Spend everything you have on memory. Nothing else matters, no other opportunity cost. Memory is best.

[JC @j69777]

@LukeSimpleDiv Not enough people are crying yet, that's when I deploy dry powder.

[JC @j69777]

@ThetaEvan @GrindeOptions Do you mean companies and consumers won't dig through their couches to find money to pay for memory price increases? Can pawn valuable items too.

[JC @j69777]

@yunqstpatrik @GrindeOptions Sure. Quadruple the price, blame it on memory prices. Consumers will understand.