Vincent J. Carchidi

Defense analyst @ForecastIntl, specializing in military electronics. Background in critical & emerging tech policy.

Opinions expressed here entirely my own.

[Vincent J. Carchidi @j_carchidi]

"went rogue" here just means they did what they were supposed to do but without safeguards. So the opposite of rogue.

[Financial Times @FT]

OpenAI and Anthropic models went rogue in cyber tests, UK watchdog says https://t.co/yyrCGtboTt

[Vincent J. Carchidi @j_carchidi]

This is making the rounds but it's based on a stat put out by a website that seems to be mostly AI generated. It's garbage.

[First Squawk @FirstSquawk]

ENTRY-LEVEL JOBS ARE VANISHING: NO-EXPERIENCE HIRING PLUNGES 73% IN JUST 4 YEARS

[Vincent J. Carchidi @j_carchidi]

@NateWitkin That hasnt changed IME since late 2024 / early 2025.

[Vincent J. Carchidi @j_carchidi]

@NateWitkin I'm sure you've done this, but if you try to evaluate a paper with any of the frontier models, before long it becomes clear they don't have a stable sense of the arguments. There's a real there, there, but it doesn't seem like the abductive reasoning you might be alluding to.

[Vincent J. Carchidi @j_carchidi]

@BlackHackOfDoom I think he did tbf, it's somewhere out there.

[Vincent J. Carchidi @j_carchidi]

@hamandcheese They've all been doing some version of this since 2023. If anything it's slightly less loud these days.

[Vincent J. Carchidi @j_carchidi]

I read this recently, and I think it's an excellent take on what accounts for both much of the cross-talk on LLM productivity gains, and why there remains a mismatch between capability and real-world impact.

[Nathan Witkin @NateWitkin]

Hot off the NASDAQ's tumble, I give you ~7300 good ol' human-generated tokens on 'AI's Reliability Gap.'

https://t.co/CEUVyg569w

[Mohammed Soliman @ThisIsSoliman]

Grateful to see West Asia climbing the Amazon charts 📚
#2 in Political Science • Top 20 in Asian Politics • Top 40 in Middle Eastern Politics
Thank you to everyone reading, sharing, and debating these ideas.
https://t.co/zupblkeWjH

[Vincent J. Carchidi @j_carchidi]

I shared some thoughts with @ThinkChinaSG in a personal capacity on why the stakes of AI competition between the U.S., China, and Gulf states are real, but misdirected and inflated. US engagement with the Gulf is not akin to outsourcing its capabilities.

https://t.co/BBwb9JGNud

[Vincent J. Carchidi @j_carchidi]

Very happy to have contributed to this issue in a personal capacity:

https://t.co/qpNzaaaueO

[Philosophy Now @PhilosophyNow]

JUST OUT: The theme of Issue 168 (June/July 2025) is Digital Philosophy, including AI, virtual worlds & machine consciousness. There's an interview with Stephen Fry on AI & literature, and an article by Slavoj Zizek on the Liar Paradox in society and politics. Link in comments.

[Cairo Review @CairoReview]

“We should not be tempted by a dichotomous view of U.S.-China competition in which the ‘winning’ state gobbles up the Middle East’s ambitions,” writes defense and technology policy analyst Vincent J. Carchidi, @j_carchidi .

https://t.co/r8hlQnjfMR

[Vincent J. Carchidi @j_carchidi]

https://t.co/Srtf2SSThQ

[Vincent J. Carchidi @j_carchidi]

My latest with the @NewlinesInst is a major report on why American AI Leadership Should Not Be Defined by Machine Learning.

Part of an expert compendium on U.S.-China competition.

Link below

[Mohammed Soliman @ThisIsSoliman]

While there’s some talk that DeepSeek might have underreported GPU usage—possibly using restricted H100 chips to bypass export controls—I personally think the more likely explanation lies in their technical ingenuity.

[Mohammed Soliman @ThisIsSoliman]

🇨🇳 Huawei Mate 70’s chip was deemed “impossible” under U.S. export controls. Some say those controls supercharged China’s chip ambitions. I disagree. Export controls were never about stopping China—they were about buying time for 🇺🇸 industrial policy to pull us ahead in the race.

[Orion Policy Institute @OrionPolicyIns]

Learn more from our website in the article 'AI Policy Under Trump 2.0: Continuities and Curveballs from Trump to Biden and Back Again' from our Non-resident Fellow @j_carchidi!

#AI #AIPolicy #CyberTechnologies #Trump #Administration

Visit:
https://t.co/ZuMzu2tuMO

[Middle East Institute @MiddleEastInst]

As the #US competes with #China in the global race for AI supremacy, regional players like the UAE and Saudi Arabia are emerging as key partners in shaping the future of #AI innovation. MEI's @j_carchidi and @ThisIsSoliman offer recommendations on how the US can strengthen its strategy by leveraging these alliances and securing a competitive edge in AI development.

[Vincent J. Carchidi @j_carchidi]

New policy brief out today with the @OrionPolicyIns on what to expect of AI policymaking under Trump 2.0 based on his first administration and the (perhaps downplayed) expansion of Trump-era policies under the Biden administration.

https://t.co/8WUYzEhcT2

[Orion Policy Institute @OrionPolicyIns]

New #PolicyBrief! Our latest article, 'AI Policy Under Trump 2.0: Continuities and Curveballs from Trump to Biden and Back Again,' by our Non-resident Fellow Vincent Carchidi (@j_carchidi), is now on our website!

Visit:
https://t.co/ZuMzu2u2Cm

#ArtificialIntelligence