Jack Ro₿son

⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️⚡️

[Jack Ro₿son @jackhasrackz]

House got burgled last night and they took my laptop but jokes on them my laptop is from 2009 and crashes when you plug the charger in

[Newcastle United @NUFC]

It was always Newcastle United. 🖤🤍

[Serenity @aleabitoreddit]

Kevin Warsh is the next Federal Reserve Chair.

Markets may confuse him as a "Hawk".

His actual stance in 2026 is nuanced.

Here's his policies and how they affect the markets:

1. AI/Semis ( $NVDA, $MU): Extremely Bullish
2. Metals (Silver, Gold): Extreme Bearish
3. Crypto ( $BTC, $CRCL ): Paradoxically bullish
4. Banking & Financials ( $JPM, $BOA ): Bullish
5. Housing & Real Estate: Mixed/Uncertain
6. Renewable Energy: Bearish
7. Small-Caps ( $RUT ) : Bullish
8. Foreign Stocks (Japan, Korea): Resilient
- Emerging Markets (EM): Extremely Bearish
- China & Hong Kong: Bearish
- Europe ( $VGK, $EZU): Cautious

1. AI/Semis ( Nvidia to Micron ): Extremely Bullish

Warsh is an AI Bull.

In late 2025, he argued that AI is a powerful dis-inflationary force. He believes AI-driven productivity gains will allow the economy to grow rapidly without triggering inflation.

This "productivity boom" gives him the intellectual "cover" to support rate cuts even if the economy remains strong. (The Federal Reserve’s Broken Leadership, November 16, 2025 WSJ)

This is much different than his earlier stances where markets expected him to be a rigid inflation hawk (someone who wants higher rates).

He is advocating for cuts and wants to accelerate AI development.

2. Metals (Silver, Gold): Extreme Bearish

Investors use gold as a hedge against a weak dollar and "money printing." Because Warsh wants to shrink the balance sheet and turn off the "printing press," the primary reason for holding gold is diminishing. A stronger U.S. Dollar is making metals more expensive for international buyers.

That being said the 33% intraday silver drop was mainly from other factors such as cascading liqudation from margin changes, though the new Fed chair likely played a minor role.

3. Crypto ( $BTC, $CRCL ): Paradoxically bullish

He famously stated, "If you're under 40, Bitcoin is your new gold." He views Bitcoin as a legitimate store of value and a generational shift away from physical metals.

He views the blockchain as "the newest and coolest software" and believes the U.S. must lead in this space to remain economically competitive against global rivals.

However; The "Paradox": Why Prices are Dropping:

The market is realizing that while Warsh wants lower interest rates, he also wants a smaller Fed balance sheet.

Investors are terrified that we are entering an era of "Rate Cuts without QE." You might get cheaper loans, but you won't get the massive "wall of money" that usually sends $BTC to all-time highs.

So we have a guy bullish on the technology of crypto, but his monetary discipline might hurt short-term liquidity.

4. Banking & Financials: Bullish

Warsh is a favorite of the banking sector due to his experience at Morgan Stanley and his vocal criticism of "mission creep." He is expected to roll back complex bank capital requirements (like Basel III). Analysts see this as a major win for regional and small-cap banks, as it frees up capital for lending.

5. Housing & Real Estate: Mixed

He wants to cut the Federal Funds Rate aggressively. This would immediately lower the cost of Adjustable-Rate Mortgages (ARMs) and construction loans.

However, the bear case is that Warsh is a fierce opponent of the Fed owning $2 trillion in Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS). Many economists warn this could push the 30-year fixed mortgage rate higher (potentially toward 7% or 8%) even as the Fed is cutting other interest rates.

6. Renewable Energy: Bearish

He intends to withdraw the Fed from global climate groups (like the Network for Greening the Financial System) and end "climate stress tests" for banks.

Under Jerome Powell, the Fed encouraged banks to consider climate risks in their lending. Warsh wants to end this, which effectively removes the "regulatory nudge" that made it easier for green projects to get favorable loan terms from major banks.

7. Small-Caps

Warsh has explicitly stated that he wants the Federal Reserve to focus on the "true drivers of the economy", small businesses and entrepreneurs, rather than just the "pampered princes" of Wall Street.

Warsh is expected to lead a significant rollback of complex banking capital requirements. This is strongly bullish for small caps. He intends to broaden access to capital for small firms by reducing the regulatory burden on the small and regional banks that do the majority of small-business lending.

8. Foreign Stocks

Warsh is expected to createa a divide between countries that benefit from a strong U.S. economy and those that are vulnerable to a stronger U.S. Dollar and tighter global liquidity.

Japan/Korea (Samsung, SK Hynix, etc): Japan and Korea are "fine" because they own the physical bottlenecks of the AI and robotics trades that Kevin Warsh believes will save the U.S. economy.

Usually, a strong USD is bad for foreign stocks, but for Japan and Korea, it’s a competitive weapon:

- Export Boost: Since most of their AI and robotics contracts are priced in USD, a stronger dollar means their revenue (when converted back to Yen, etc.) is massively inflated.

- Cheaper for the U.S.: Warsh’s "Strong Dollar" policy makes Japanese robots and Korean chips cheaper for American companies to buy. This accelerates the "Productivity Boom" Warsh wants while padding the profits of these foreign tech giants.

China: A stronger dollar puts pressure on the Yuan, making it harder for the PBoC (China's central bank) to cut their own rates to stimulate their struggling economy.

Emerging Markets: A stronger U.S. Dollar makes it much more expensive for emerging countries to service their dollar-denominated debt.

Europe: Dollar recovery could push the Euro lower, which helps European exports but increases their energy import costs.

_

On Friday, markets sold off sharply on Silver/Gold crashing, and hedging pulled liquidity out of the system.

Markets might confuse Warsh as a historical hawk.

However, recent statements show he's near term dovish and supports lower rates, accelerated by AI.

Markets are currently pricing in the possibility of simultaneous rate cuts and balance sheet reductions but generally, many trades from AI to small cap growth are expected to continue.

[Newcastle United @NUFC]

Our German Geordies 🫶🇩🇪

[Francis @FrancisChipp]

BREAKING🚨⚫️⚪️: Harvey Barnes' goal against Union Saint-Gilloise means he and his father, John, are the first father and son to score for the same team in Champions League history.

[ToonDeepDive @ToonDeepDive]

Matt Targett promised his partner he’d do the baby celebration when he next scores. His son turns 8 tomorrow.

[Football on TNT Sports @footballontnt]

Jason Tindall in Eddie Howe's absence:

2 games
2 wins
9 goals scored
1 goal conceded

Thriving on the touchline for Newcastle 👏

[Newcastle United @NUFC]

Jason Tindall has been sent off during the half-time break and will watch the rest of the game from the stands.

[1-0] 49'

[Great British Getty Images @shitbritishpics]

Obafemi Martins arrives at Newcastle International Airport and is met by Newcastle manager Glenn Roeder in Newcastle-upon-Tyne, England. (2006)

[Sky Sports Premier League @SkySportsPL]

Harvey Barnes, that is SENSATIONAL! 🤯

[Newcastle United @NUFC]

The lads. 😎

📸 @brunoog97

[Transfer News Live @DeadlineDayLive]

🚨 Steve Bruce is in talks to become the new head coach of Jamaica. 🇯🇲

(Source: @MailSport )

[NUFC Gallowgate 🏆 @NUFCgallowgate]

#NUFC

[sam @uglyblender]

its been 6 years since anthony bourdain died, and today i'm thinking about the way he respected palestinians like very few other western journalists ever did. this is from a 2013 episode of parts unknown where he went to the gaza strip.

[Jack Ro₿son @jackhasrackz]

@LiamEltringham_ @JackAdams66 Oxo cubes are great mate seasoned my spagbol with one last night

[Ashok Kumar @comrade_kumar_]

700 bodies now discovered at Nasser hospital alone (1,500 uncovered at Al Shifa), patients, some with catheters still attached, children, with hands still bound, doctors and nurses, still wearing their scrubs, many shot in the back of the head at point blank range execution-style

[Newcastle United @NUFC]

🇧🇷🎶 He’s Brazilian 🎶🇧🇷

[Newcastle United @NUFC]

Joelinton Cássio Apolinário de Lira. 🇧🇷

The story continues... ✍️

[World Central Kitchen @WCKitchen]

We are aware of reports that members of the World Central Kitchen team have been killed in an IDF attack while working to support our humanitarian food delivery efforts in Gaza. This is a tragedy. Humanitarian aid workers and civilians should NEVER be a target. EVER.

[Newcastle United @NUFC]

Unbelievable from @harveybarnes97! 🤯🏹

[Newcastle United @NUFC]

So good. 😮‍💨

@brunoog97 🇧🇷