Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺

anti-imperialist automobile abolitionist
☭ ⓥ ⚣ ✌︎

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

@TrueSlazac I’ll add that I do think there is one major problem with my leg-to-pres comparison: ENS is weaker in these places, which are poorer than centrist strongholds

I could see wealthier centrist voters (esp in Hauts-de-Seine/Yvelines or PACA) being more RN friendly than the ‘24 sample

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

@TrueSlazac It's still very hard to believe that an overwhelming supermajority of ENS voters could vote LFI over RN in a legislative 2nd round and <10% would do the same in a presidential 2nd round

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

Two different polls for different far-right media groups; both are manipulation & you are falling for it

The poll still shows 46-21 (not 70-30) with most centrist voters abstaining

But when faced with a choice between LFI and RN, they do not actually abstain and most choose LFI

[New Left EViews @NewLeftEViews]

For the vitriolic quotes and replies: this was the runoff poll in September.

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

@TrueSlazac I mean he had long been a Jeune Garde activist and placed on security watchlists at the time of the election, and this was covered pretty extensively by media in Avignon

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

@TrueSlazac 4 is fair, but in three years the electorate has also lost millions of old anti-Mélenchon voters and gained millions of young pro-Mélenchon voters...

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

@TrueSlazac Is Mélenchon significantly less popular than Raphaël Arnault among PS (Pascal was PS-PP backed) and ENS voters?

And as opposed to now, where there is no sense of urgency because RN isn't expected to win a majority?

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

And tbh we should aim to run serious primaries in all of these districts

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

DSA needs to field cadre candidates for every congressional district, senate seat, and state legislative seat nationwide in 2028

National, chapter, caucus leadership should coordinate on this instead of endlessly bickering about endorsing a capitalist for President

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

Paper candidates are fine! But there must be a universal socialist option to establish our legitimacy, gauge our support, and emphasize our intent to govern

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

@DespoticInroad @leap_dog 48 MLP - 24 JLM is very different than 67 MLP - 33 JLM

Polls show a majority of centrist voters abstaining, with Le Pen slightly favored among decided voters in this group...

...but when faced with a choice between LFI and RN, they do not actually abstain and most choose LFI.

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

Elabe’s late October poll last cycle…

For the most part, they weren’t wrong because the electorate substantially changed, they were wrong because they were lying.

[Europe Elects @EuropeElects]

France, Elabe poll:

Scenario: Philippe (HOR-RE) and Villepin (LFH-*) run

Presidential election

Le Pen (RN-PfE): 32.5%
Philippe (HOR-RE): 16.5%
Glucksmann (PS/PP-S&D): 15.5%
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 15%
Retailleau (LR-EPP): 7%
Zemmour (REC-ESN): 3.5%
Tondelier (LÉ-Greens/EFA): 3%
Dupont-Aignan (DLF→ECR): 2.5%
de Villepin (*): 2%
Roussel (PCF-LEFT): 1.5%
Arthaud (*): 1%

Fieldwork: 14-16 October 2026
Sample size: 1,701

➤ https://t.co/ZxqeUs7HjW

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

CSU + FW would only have 91 seats here (of 180), if Linke hits 5% they would be well short of a majority

Change from January
AfD, Grüne +2
Linke +1
Sonstige -2
CSU -3

[Wahlrecht.de @Wahlrecht_de]

Sonntagsfrage zur Landtagswahl in Bayern • Infratest dimap / BR: CSU 36 % | AfD 21 % | GRÜNE 15 % | FREIE WÄHLER 9 % | SPD 8 % | DIE LINKE 4 % | Sonstige 7 %
➤ Verlauf: https://t.co/FjDf8Cid6T
🗓️Nächste Landtagswahl: vsl. Herbst 2028 #ltwby

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

Laure Beccuau, the public prosecutor requesting the prison sentence and ineligibility for Rima Hassan, was appointed by Presidential decree in 2021

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

Macron aims to imprison LFI's most prominent MEP and strip her of her office for opposing the occupation and genocide of her people.

The streets will respond in kind.

[Le Figaro @Le_Figaro]

Le parquet a rappelé la «responsabilité» en tant qu’«élue» de la députée européenne, jugée pour un post, supprimé depuis, où elle citait l’un des auteurs de l’attentat de 1972 à l’aéroport de Tel-Aviv, qui avait fait 26 morts. →https://t.co/NY4KFHnGrt

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

@atk825 @LinkofSunshine @nikicaga That's poor politics, not poor policy

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

@atk825 @LinkofSunshine @nikicaga Not even 10% in most of the US. So why is it forbidden to replace that 10% with more of the 90%?

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

@VyrntTelecm @LinkofSunshine @nikicaga How exactly do you think transit agencies are financed? Funding for service is not proportional to usage

[Jack 🇵🇸 🇨🇺 @jacktymac]

@GZidrik @LinkofSunshine @nikicaga I have an ivy league degree in urban planning, what are your qualifications on the topic?