Just wanted to let you all in on something I like the look of tonight.
It's Sweden's right sided centre back Gustaf Lagerbielke to be fouled v the Netherlands.
You can get 1.91 on Paddy Power and it is as low as 1.22 on William Hill.
Sweden will play with pretty much the exact same set up as Japan.
Three central defenders and then Bernhardsson and Gundmundsson on the flanks as wing backs.
When Japan faced the Netherlands, their central defender Taniguchi and Watanabe to the right of him were both fouled.
That makes me eye up Hien and Lagerbielke tonight, particularly the latter. Both them were fouled in Sweden's first match v Tunisia.
Lagerbielke plays for Braga in Portugal domestically. He averaged 0.94 fouls drawn per 90 minutes in the league this season and that average rose to 1.05 fouls drawn Per90 in the Europa League.
He drew six fouls across the two semi-final matches against Freiburg. Two in the first leg, four in the second.
Looking at his World Cup qualifying performances for Sweden, he was fouled in four of the five starts that he made, and he was hauled down twice against Kosovo. He's seemingly no stranger to drawing multiple fouls, 1.91 for one is big.
In terms of Netherlands' style of play. It's a 4-3-3 shape with high pressure out of possession.
When their opponents possess the ball in their own defensive third, the attacking three of the Netherlands jump high in unison to press and stop them playing out.
These attempts to turn over the ball quickly are great for fouls on a centre half.
To help paint a picture Lagerbielke's direct opponent is Cody Gakpo. He committed the joint-most fouls for the Netherlands during World Cup qualification, averaging 1.11 fouls committed per90.
In the Premier League this season, he averaged 1.38 fouls committed per 90.
Lagerbielke is my favourite pick to win a foul at 1.91. And if you're feeling brave, the higher lines offer value.
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🗣️ "If one of those is going to win a Gold Cup, I still think it's Grey Dawning."
Steve Mellish on the Cotswold Chase
Spillane's Tower also gave Grey Dawning a kick art the start in the Cotswold Chase 👇🏻
I don’t care if I get banned … every single one of you cunts that go waving your terrorist supporting flags and placards with a tea towel round your neck have blood on your hands, your actions support these horrific acts of terror, don’t kid yourselves that it doesn’t. CUNTS.
A job advertised by the DWP for a 'Shariah law administrator'.
I've formally questioned the DWP on what the hell they are playing at...
We live in Britain - we do NOT have, or want, Shariah law.
This is grim.
Things you need a passport for in Britain:
Access Pornhub.
Watch a protest in Leeds on X.
Things you don’t need a passport for in Britain:
Entering the UK on a small boat.