Just thinking out loud here...
This price feels gigantic tbh, especially when you consider the Sub On Play On.
👉🏼 Kristensen (Udinese) - to win a foul
• bet365 - £10 stake pays £26.25
• Sky Bet - ��10 stake pays £15
(And that's with no Super Sub as well btw).
Kristensen's average isn't good and I think that's where 365 are coming from with their pricing.
However I feel like there's elements of tonight's game they haven't factored in.
Verona have committed the second-most fouls in Serie A this season just behind Cagliari.
Also, Verona have the best fouls per 90 minutes average in the league at 16.5.
What's more is they should likely play a front three who are all good for fouls.
Gift Orban (0.97 fouls committed P90), Giovane (1.24 fouls committed P/90), and Amin Sarr (2.11 fouls committed P/90).
365 must be expecting Verona fouls on the Udinese defence. Kristensen's CB partners Kabasele and Solet are priced at 1.22 and 1.36 to win a foul.
So 2.62 for the man just to the right of them to win a foul seems generous.
Before I bore you all to death, Verona have played sides with a back 3 twice since the turn of the year.
They were Cremonese in their latest match and Napoli before that.
In those, the defender at right centre back of the three were fouled twice (Ceccherini - 2, Di Lorenzo - 2).
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Let’s see if we actually go for it in January, I feel like there’s more chance of pigs flying but we need to sign players and we need to sign them early ���🏻
Says it all, yes Andrew’s got the game plan wrong but I’m starting to think maybe these players have to start using some initiative and pulling their own fingers out. We basically played long ball against a 5 at the back 👍🏻
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