James

Unfiltered thoughts on movies and other things sometimes

[PropKitchen 🧑‍🍳 @PropKitchen]

TNF PROP OF THE DAY ⭐️

🏈 NFL Dish #1 (9/24)
🍽️ 𝐌𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐰 𝐆𝐨𝐥𝐝𝐞𝐧 𝐎𝐕𝐄𝐑 𝟐𝟐.𝟓 𝐋𝐨𝐧𝐠𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐑𝐞𝐜𝐞𝐩𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧

Cooked w/ @FrannysPlays 🤝

LIKE IF TAILING ❤️

- Matthew Golden has quickly developed into one of Green Bay’s primary downfield threats, and his role has expanded dramatically to start 2026. Through two games, he has drawn 18 targets, caught 10 passes for 153 yards, and already posted a 42-yard reception in Week 1.

- Golden saw 12 targets with an 87% route participation rate, 31% target share and 12.2-yard aDOT in the opener. In Week 2, he ran a route on 32 of Jordan Love’s 34 dropbacks and saw another 6 targets. His longest catch finished at only 18 yards, but he was targeted multiple times downfield and drew defensive pass interference on some of those opportunities, so the vertical usage never disappeared.

- In games where Golden has seen 4+ targets and played at least 32% of the snaps, he has cleared this line in 6/8 games, averaging a 31.9-yard longest reception. We don’t need massive volume here. One of those 5 to 7 opportunities simply needs to turn into a chunk play.

Atlanta has already allowed several WRs to clear similar longest reception numbers through two weeks:

✅ Tetairoa McMillan: 28 yards
✅ Jalen Coker: 25 yards
✅ Xavier Legette: 55 yards
❌ DK Metcalf: 14 yards
✅ Michael Pittman Jr.: 28 yards

- That’s 4/5 comparable WRs over, and even Metcalf’s miss came with several legitimate deep opportunities left on the field. Pittsburgh targeted him repeatedly 20+ yards downfield, including a dropped deep ball and another vertical target that drew interference.

- A.J. Terrell has now been placed on IR, leaving Atlanta without its best corner. C.J. Henderson and Mike Hughes are expected to handle more work outside, and both gave up significant production against Carolina. Golden has been functioning primarily as a boundary receiver, putting him directly into those outside matchups rather than relying on occasional slot snaps to find Atlanta’s weaker coverage.

- Jordan Love is one of the better quarterbacks in football at giving his receivers a chance downfield. In 2025, he completed 43.4% of passes traveling 20+ air yards, while his off-target rate on those throws dropped to 26.4%. Golden doesn’t even need a true 23-yard bomb to cash this. An intermediate completion with room after the catch can get there just as easily.

- Green Bay’s rushing attack has struggled through two games without Josh Jacobs, producing 129 yards on 39 carries for just 3.3 YPC with 0 rushing TDs. Love threw 42 times in Week 1 and another 29 times in poor weather against New York, giving Golden plenty of chances to stay involved. Jayden Reed’s neck injury could further concentrate routes and targets if he’s unable to go.

- Golden’s 18-yard long in Week 2 doesn’t bother me much because the opportunity was still there. He ran nearly every route, drew 6 targets, saw multiple downfield looks and still finished with 58 receiving yards. That’s very different from a receiver being confined to short-area work.

- With Golden running a near every-down route tree, Love willing to push the ball downfield, Atlanta already allowing explosive WR plays and Terrell now out of the secondary, we like Golden to break off a 23+ yard reception against the Falcons.

Best Odds: -115 DraftKings

📊 Data via @PropsMadness
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#NFL #NFLPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX

[Ka$hy💰 @KashyLocks]

MNF Play of The Day🚨☢️🏈

Bo Nix “O” 21.5 Completions
#BroncosCountry

Collab W/@TheBettingFloor @SBAPicks 🤝📲

Nix has cleared this line in 9 of his last 10 games while averaging 25.7 completions per game. He is also over in 4 of his last 5 with an average of 23.4 and has cleared this number in 86 percent of his last 20 games.

His history against Kansas City makes this even stronger. Nix has gone over 21.5 completions in all 4 career meetings with 22, 26, 24 and 26 completions. That is an average of 24.5 per game and a 100 percent hit rate against this defense.

He has completed 98 of 134 passes against Kansas City for a 73.1 completion percentage. He also has 1013 passing yards with 7 touchdowns and only 1 interception in those matchups. He has looked comfortable against this defense every time he has faced them.

Nix finished last season with 388 completions on 612 attempts. That was tied for third most completions in the NFL. He averaged 22.8 completions during the regular season and 23 per game when including the postseason.

Kansas City allowed 340 completions on 509 attempts last season for a 66.8 completion percentage. Their defense can make quarterbacks work underneath and that fits the quick passing game Sean Payton runs with Nix. Screens, checkdowns and short throws all help us here.

Denver is also on the road as an underdog. If Kansas City gets ahead at any point, Nix should have to throw throughout the second half. He has averaged 33.5 attempts in his 4 games against the Chiefs and we only need 22 completions.

📊 -@propsbotai

KASHY50 for 50% off your first Month
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❤️IF YOUR TAILING

[WNBA @WNBA]

Napheesa Collier, Courtney Williams and
Olivia Miles were big factors in the @minnesotalynx's ninth straight win‼️

They each logged 16 PTS to help their team get the dub on the road.

Napheesa Collier: 16 PTS | 5 REB | 2 AST | 2 BLKS | 2 3PM
Courtney Williams: 16 PTS | 5 AST | 3 REB
Olivia Miles: 16 PTS | 3 REB | 2 STL

#WNBASeason30

[PropKitchen 🧑‍🍳 @PropKitchen]

WNBA IS BACK ‼️

⛹️‍♀️ PK Dish #1 (7/28)
🍽️ 𝐍𝐚𝐋𝐲𝐬𝐬𝐚 𝐒𝐦𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐎𝐕𝐄𝐑 𝟏𝟎.𝟓 𝐏𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐬

Cooked w/ @picksbyangel (4-0 on WNBA collabs) 🤝

LIKE IF TAILING ❤️

NaLyssa Smith draws a favorable matchup against Portland, which ranks 13th in defensive rating while allowing the 5th-most points in the restricted area. That zone accounts for 55% of Smith’s scoring.

The Fire also allow the most transition points, 2nd-most putback points, 4th-most post-up points, and 4th-most free throws. Those play types account for roughly 60% of Smith’s offensive production, creating an excellent stylistic matchup:

📈 Restricted Area: 55% of her scoring / Portland allows the 5th-most points
📈 Transition: Portland allows the most points
📈 Putbacks: Portland allows the 2nd-most points
📈 Post-Ups: Portland allows the 4th-most points
📈 Free Throws: Portland allows the 4th-most

Las Vegas has already faced Portland twice this season, and Smith cleared this line in both meetings while averaging 14.0 PPG on 10 field-goal attempts.

At home against teams ranked in the bottom seven in defensive rating, Smith is a perfect 5/5 over this line while averaging 18.4 PPG on 9.2 field-goal attempts.

Shot volume has been one of the strongest indicators of her success. When attempting at least eight shots this season, Smith has cleared this number in 8 of 10 games while averaging 16.6 PPG.

Between the elite stylistic matchup, her previous success against Portland, and her strong track record when receiving adequate shot volume, this sets up as one of Smith’s better scoring spots of the season.

Best Odds: -115 FanDuel

📊 Data via @PropsMadness
Use code PROPKITCHEN for 25% off your first purchase!

📣 Turn notifications on for daily prop bets!

#WNBA #WNBAPicks #SportsBetting #PlayerProps #GamblingX

[RACKEM SPORTS CONTENT(RACK) @RACKEMSPORTS]

🔥🔥 PLAY OF THE DAY 🔥🔥

OLIVIA NELSON ODODA OVER 24.5 FANTASY

#POTD #PLAYOFTHEDAY #PrizePicks #playerprops #DFS #pp #mlb #NFL #NFLPRIZEPICK #nfltwitter #nbatwitter #NBA #nbaplayoffs #NBAFinals #WNBACommishCup #tiktok #NBAprizepick #WNBACommissionersCup
#WNBAPicks #nbaespn #wnba #NBACup #nbaprop #nbaplays #WNBATwitter #WNBAProps #wnbabets #nbabets #WNBA #nbapickstoday #Gambling #GamblingX

[WNBA @WNBA]

A full day of hoops starts here📍

Two of the W's top teams square off as the @valkyries have won four of their last five and the @LVAces have won seven of their last eight.

Will Las Vegas stay unbeaten in the season series, or can Golden State get one back?

📺 4pm/ET | CBS & Paramount+ | WNBA Pride presented by @Coach

[𝐏𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐏𝐥𝐮𝐠 @1PropPlug]

Efficient hoops on display

Energy in MSG is INSANE 🤯

📸 with @ReactLive

BEST live research tool out 🔨

[Gabby Shirley @Gabby_Shirley_]

this woman has never been to a hockey game but, because of Raddysh and the @TBLightning, she will be getting tickets to a game next season … she plans to take her husband, her daughter, her son-in-law, and her granddaughter

absolutely precious 🤍

[Chalkboard @ChalkboardHQ]

🔥 SPEED TEST 1/5 🔥

On your marks, get set, GOOOOO!!

To enter:
👍 Like + repost this post
📲 Reply with:
- A screenshot of you following us on Instagram
- Your username

First 5 people to do it win $50 🚀

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[𝑭𝒓𝒐𝒔𝒕 @Frost_Props]

💰 BANGGGG 💰

Cash the POTD sweat free and we move to 63-19 on the POTD record 📈🔥

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#NHL #POTD #Gambling𝕏 #PrizePicks

[James @jameseyescinema]

@ChalkboardHQ

[Chalkboard @ChalkboardHQ]

🔥 SPEED TEST 1/5 🔥

Ready? Let’s see who’s fast 👀

To enter:
👍 Like + repost this post
📲 Reply with:
- A screenshot of your Chalkboard level
- Your username

First 5 people to do it win $50 🚀

[James @jameseyescinema]

RT @LilGilTrill: idc how i look to anyone im a fully transparent gambler on X

rough one today, but that’s gambling and we do better, i do…

[Oyasumi @OyasumiBetz]

Well, damn, we take those! 🫴🏾💰

LOCK TF IN. We are so hot rn 👇🏾
https://t.co/e1jvYcji7p

Kent clutched up in 3P as CBJ attempted to rally. 😈

#PrizePicksProps | #PrizePicks | #NHL | #NHLProps | #GamblingCommunity | #GamblingX | #GamblingTwitter | #Gambling𝕏

[James @jameseyescinema]

@austinsprops @ChalkboardHQ Cinemastinger

[James @jameseyescinema]

@OPQRajanay Ez day

[James @jameseyescinema]

@OPQRajanay Let’s collab been following you here for a minute I usually go 5/6 or 6/6 ..

[James @jameseyescinema]

@tornadopicksdfs How do you see the combos on prop professor?

[James @jameseyescinema]

@GlohProps

[James @jameseyescinema]

@GlohProps