Jason Powell, CFA

Finance 📈📉 | Value investor | @valueportal

[Jason Powell, CFA @jasonmopow]

@RealKidPoker Amazing!

[Jason Powell, CFA @jasonmopow]

@WBDsports @WSOP Unreal!

[Asif Suria @AsifSuria]

Alphabet $GOOG is a winner on the consumer side is what I picked up from this short conversation with the CEO of $IBM

[Jason Powell, CFA @jasonmopow]

@ClarkSquareCap $MICC market leader in ice cream with Unilever retaining a large stake - vote of confidence. Ripped out of last earnings but down quite a bit from initial spin off date. 30% upside left by my estimates.

[Jason Powell, CFA @jasonmopow]

@ClarkSquareCap Looks awesome!

[Asif Suria @AsifSuria]

https://t.co/6CJfUmEboI

[Dalius - Special Sits @InvestSpecial]

Nice industry breakdown from $WMG CEO.

Covers everything from AI risk to music publishing economics to the long-term growth outlook and overall moatiness of the space.

Good read: https://t.co/XTKkxy6RPv

[Daily Chartbook @dailychartbook]

"AI related stocks have accounted for 75% of S&P 500 returns, 80% of earnings growth and 90% of capital spending growth since ChatGPT launched in November 2022."

-JPM Cembalest

[ISABELNET @ISABELNET_SA]

🇺🇸 Valuations

Several long-term valuation metrics indicate that the S&P 500 is significantly overvalued. Historically, elevated valuations like these have typically led to below-average long-term equity returns
👉 https://t.co/14i5SQVCfd

h/t @dailychartbook $spx #spx

[Bespoke @bespokeinvest]

The Nasdaq 100 $QQQ has had five straight down days since Bullish $BLSH began trading on 8/13. Go figure.

[Mostly Borrowed Ideas @borrowed_ideas]

a quick follow-up on AI ARR chicanery

[Jason Powell, CFA @jasonmopow]

@MarkRitchie_II I feel like PTJ is pretty spot on with his predictions, but this seems to be the consensus. Tough to be bearish with all of the positive breadth indicators flashing right now.

[Mostly Borrowed Ideas @borrowed_ideas]

I make the case that Big Tech shareholders (including me) should perhaps indeed be at least slightly concerned about the deteriorating earnings quality. Full post below.

[Dividendology @dividendology]

A Dividend King is a company that has increased its dividends for at least 50 consecutive years.

There were 2 new additions to this list in 2024:

- $ADP
- $ED

And 3 companies were removed:

- $MMM
- $LEG
- $WBA

You can see the full list of 2025 Dividend Kings here:

[Jason Goepfert @jasongoepfert]

Something odd is brewing.

In nearly 100 years of history, this has never happened before.

The S&P 500 is within spitting distance of a high yet fewer than 39% of its stocks are even above their 50-day moving averages.

🧵

[SentimenTrader @sentimentrader]

The Nasdaq Composite has gone 480 days since its last low.

Only four other times did the Composite last this long since a low and was within 5% of a record high. Unfortunately for bulls, every single one witnessed losses in the index over the next few months. #Momentum

[Jason Goepfert @jasongoepfert]

There have been more declining than advancing stocks in the S&P 500 $SPY for 7 straight days.

The index is less than 3% off its peak.

That's happened twice before in the past 25 years.

[Jason Goepfert @jasongoepfert]

The S&P 500 hit record highs for the past 3 days.

It also had more stocks decline than advance each day. That's only happened 3 other times in almost 100 years.

Even 2 days in a row is highly unusual. $SPY

[Jesse Felder @jessefelder]

'Record numbers of US executives are selling shares in their companies. The ratio of insider sales-to-insider buys has hit a record high for any quarter in two decades.' https://t.co/w74DWELBIA

[Jason Powell, CFA @jasonmopow]

@stewbaggins Chabot = Cabbage