JR Haba

[JR Haba @javruidel]

@TheProfInvestor Amazing

[JR Haba @javruidel]

RT @alphaticaio: CPI receipts. Core came in cold (+0.2% vs +0.3%). The market sold off anyway. SPY -1.61%. QQQ -1.98%. Here's what the rese…

[Prof @TheProfInvestor]

There's a rule book that will improve your trading journey. Guaranteed.

This playbook helped me navigate 2015, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2025, and 2026 and other corrections.

1. When the market loses the 21EMA, your odds of winning shrink significantly.
The best looking setups will pop and drop with the indices.

2. Your position sizing has to respect the broader market.
Above 21EMA + trending up = size normal.
Below 21EMA + trending down = reduce size.

3. Reduce your trade frequency in weak markets.
If you normally take 10 trades a week, take 50% or less when indices are downtrending.

4. Tight stops in uptrends. Wider stops in downtrends.
In strong markets, dips get bought fast - tight stops work.
In weak markets, dips go deeper before reversing - tight stops trigger right before the bounce.

Different market environments require different rules.

[JR Haba @javruidel]

@TheProfInvestor Amazing Prof!

[JR Haba @javruidel]

@TRADERSITO73 Es posible, pero no antes de SpaceX. El mundial puede ser la excusa perfecto para ello

[Fernando @fernandowavesfx]

Btc 105 k next long any price
Nothing changed

[Ben Kizemchuk @BenKizemchuk]

Where do you suppose we are in the commodity cycle?

[JR Haba @javruidel]

@DefiWimar Not before Nvdia earnings for sure and VIX expiration

[JR Haba @javruidel]

@tortuga_trades Que aplicación usas para tus track records?

[Alphatica @alphaticaio]

"Low volume rallies are suspicious."

No they're not. We tested it.

22 years of SPY and QQQ data. Every day where volume dropped below 50% of the 50-day average, the quietest of the quiet. 268 episodes.

Forward 10-day win rate:
SPY: 70.6%
QQQ: 68.2%

Forward 20-day win rate:
SPY: 65.4%
QQQ: 69.7%

7 out of 10 low-volume days, the market was higher two weeks later.

Is the edge better than just being long? No baseline win rate is 62%, so the difference isn't statistically significant (p = 0.21). But the claim isn't that low volume is bullish. The claim is that "low volume is suspicious" and bearish.

The data says the opposite. Low volume days go up at a slightly higher rate than normal days, not lower.

The logic is simple:

If volume is low and price isn't dropping, sellers aren't showing up. That's not a fake rally. That's a market with no supply. Path of least resistance = up.

"21M in volume today. DEAD."

Dead volume, alive market. That's what 22 years of data shows.

$SPY $QQQ $SPX

[JR Haba @javruidel]

@JavierCrespoDM La proyección actual del sp es milimetrica con esta estructura. Distribución hasta final de mes antes del gran flush?

[JR Haba @javruidel]

@JLMarin_Trading Un rebote más que probable. Pero como ves el mercado si estamos ante el comienzo de un repunte inflacionario?

[JR Haba @javruidel]

@JLMarin_Trading If markets still have one more leg down, it is possible a final push down also in BTC

[JR Haba @javruidel]

@TraderJonesy Nice bear trap!

[JR Haba @javruidel]

@JLMarin_Trading 650 SPY coincide con la 200DMA

[JR Haba @javruidel]

@TraderJonesy If we are in a wickoff distribution pattern. This bounce today is aligned with UTAD test. Still some chopping movements around the current levels until final resolution lower

[JR Haba @javruidel]

@TriggerTrades Bullish seasonality has not worked this year at all, specially during Sep-Oct period so it might be possible that Xmas rally is already over

[JR Haba @javruidel]

@alshfaw There is a gap to be filled at 6.660. Coincidence? Or once again 666 by Opex expiration?

[JR Haba @javruidel]

@TriggerTrades One of the most accurate profile on X. Predictions very reliable

[JR Haba @javruidel]

@alshfaw Very low volume for a FOMC day. Bull trap maybe…