Jaya John John

Designs instrumentation @OxfordPhysics. @OxfordUCU rep. Member of @USSbriefs. #Grady4GS

[Jaya John John @jayajohnjohn]

@acupunctureUSS I hope it is really good for you. Take care mate!

[Jaya John John @jayajohnjohn]

@ArisKatzourakis current policy?

[Dr Duncan Robertson @Dr_D_Robertson]

Walk-in vaccination centres

> No appointment needed
> You do not need to be registered with a GP
>You don't need any ID

https://t.co/RF70I3h48p

[Dr Hosnieh Djafari-Marbini حسنيه جعفرى ماربينى @HosniehMarbini]

Oxford/Oxfordshire residents start your weekend at one of the walk in clinics below.

NO ID REQUIRED and open to all aged 18 and over.

The vaccine is
✅Safe
✅Effective
✅Free

Let’s keep ourselves and each other safe and well.

@DOTW_UK @migrantsorg @Medact

[Jaya John John @jayajohnjohn]

@lottieflying @Marillion555 @kiki_la_bulla @Dr_D_Robertson Also my understanding is the "assume a variant has no immune escape compared to Alpha/B.1.1.7" for these curves doesn't apply, as PHE evaluates a high risk that Delta causes reduced vaccine effectiveness compared to Alpha. Data is still coming in on this.

https://t.co/8p86S8xrtO

[Dr Duncan Robertson @Dr_D_Robertson]

VACCINES
RED risk
HIGH confidence (was moderate confidence last week)
"Epidemiological and laboratory evidence of reduced vaccine effectiveness There are now analyses from England and Scotland supporting a reduction in vaccine effectiveness for Delta compared to Alpha. ...

[Jaya John John @jayajohnjohn]

@lottieflying @Marillion555 @kiki_la_bulla @Dr_D_Robertson ...is, as @Dr_D_Robertson wrote, how high the 3rd peak of hospitalisations could be, depends on how transmissible Delta/B.1.617.2 is compared to Alpha/B.1.1.7, and there isn't yet consensus about this.

https://t.co/UieBclB616

[Dr Duncan Robertson @Dr_D_Robertson]

Back to the chart

*If* Delta is 40% more transmissibile per Matt Hancock, it could be taken that the Government is working on the basis that the next wave will be lower than the 1st or 2nd peaks (but large)

However, this 40% claim doesn't *appear* (publicly) to be a consensus.

[Jaya John John @jayajohnjohn]

@Marillion555 @kiki_la_bulla @lottieflying @Dr_D_Robertson There is a 95% probability the outcomes lie between the higher shaded curve (which is easy to see) and the lower shaded curve (which is quite hidden).

The peaks of the 1st and 2nd waves are the grey horizontal lines on the plot. (2/2)

[Jaya John John @jayajohnjohn]

@Marillion555 @kiki_la_bulla @lottieflying @Dr_D_Robertson From the Warwick modelling (https://t.co/nuU2wviSKg):

"Solid lines show the mean, shaded areas are the 95% prediction intervals."

The model is run repeatedly, giving a range of outcomes. The average is the solid lines. (1/2)

[USSbriefs @USSbriefs]

🚨NEW BRIEF ALERT🚨 #USSbriefs106

New razor-sharp analysis by @Sam_Marsh101

🧐The unreasonable assumptions...

😠...and unacceptable consequences of @USSpensions valuation

🤦🏽The mindset that got us here...

🔮...and what happens next

👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽

https://t.co/pxPgPAkr10

[Jaya John John @jayajohnjohn]

@daniel_passport @BAG_OFSP_UFSP Hallo, vielen Dank für all diese Karten.

Ein Update, für Norwegen liegen die Kriterien jetzt bei 25 Fälle/100k Einw./14 T. und < 4% Positivität im Durchschnitt pro Woche in den letzten zwei Wochen.

Quelle: https://t.co/BCjelFfM0j

[Jaya John John @jayajohnjohn]

@x_jaydn @firefoxx66 Hello, Dr Hodcroft wrote about this in another reply thread, please see this for details: https://t.co/XhboeKXtUS

[Dr Emma Hodcroft @firefoxx66]

@shadysbeats The first sequences appeared in September, but at that point nobody had any reason to suspect they were anything other that the normal variation we see every day in SARS-CoV-2. Unfortunately we do not know 'from day 1' what genetic changes may cause differences in the virus.

[Prof. Tracy Daszkiewicz @TracyD_PH]

This is a brilliant illustration by @mugecevik This shows that if you mixed on Christmas Day and have been exposed to Covid, you may not know you have it, but will be most infectious NY eve/day. Limiting human contact will stop the spread. Protect each other #nopartiesthisyear

[USSbriefs @USSbriefs]

📢🚨📢: Democracy Alert. 🔢Ballot papers are in the post 📯and on their way to you for the @UCU Vice President Election. The Vice President will chair HEC for two years and, when President, NEC for a year. Be sure to vote for the democratically elected leader of your union.

[USSbriefs @USSbriefs]

🚨🔢🚨: @ucu Vice-President Election News 📯USS Briefs endorses Dr. Gareth Brown, @Gareth_S_Brown, of the University of Leicester and strongly recommends him to UCU members for your number '1' vote. Website at: https://t.co/PBEjZVNH2i #Gareth4VP

[Jaya John John @jayajohnjohn]

@YuanfenYang @jburnmurdoch @FT @tmitchpk Congratulations Yuan! Great to hear this.

[Philip Garnett @prgarnett]

Thoughts on why the #UK strategy to limit the spread of #coronavirus could be high risk from perspective of complexity theory.
https://t.co/97JtC6tmf3

#COVID_19uk #COVID19 #CoronavirusPandemic #coronapocalypse

[Felicity Callard @felicitycallard]

Now behavioural scientists mobilise re 'behavioural fatigue':

'If “behavioural fatigue” truly represents a key factor in the gov's decision to delay high-visibility interventions, we urge the gov to share an adequate evidence base' #histpsych https://t.co/vJSBaFDT3H #COVID_19uk

[USSbriefs @USSbriefs]

🚨🚨🚨BRAND NEW BRIEF #USSbriefs92🚨🚨🚨

Reputation over responsibility: UKHE & the #Covid_19 crisis

by @WarrenPearce @felicitycallard @gailfdavies @aechitty1 @prgarnett

#coronavirus #CoronaOutbreak #coronavirusuk
https://t.co/yyl9IouybL

[[email protected] @tomstafford]

Hey UK universities, you're about to require a war-effort from staff in restructuring around remote learning & all the money you spent on fancy buildings will benefit you not one jot. If only there was something you could do to rebuild all that squandered good will #UCUstrikes