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Silver bulls. You're unlikely to see anything happen until 2027.
Silver (in a bull market) likes to go on these 20-30 week blowoff moves and then spend 12 to 18 months backfilling, in preparation for the next blow-off.
Where as gold is generally the more consistent gainer.
#Bitcoin – What’s Next?
The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know
🚩 TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown:
I can't believe that many are now calling that the bottom was in and the bear is over, or even worse that a new ATH is coming. To make it clear, Bitcoin remains in a strong bear market and what we see now is a relief rally within the bear market. Do you know that during the bear market in 2022 Bitcoin went from 68k to 33k almost straight down, then Bitcoin went up from 33k 45% to 48k before crashing down to 16k. Some people with a small IQ, and those who can't understand time frames can't understand this, this is why you notice a lot of comments such as "Weren't you bearish all the time?" "Now you are turning bullish". In fact, I have been calling for 79-84k since the 60s region, and always said it's not off the table and if the market allows to visit it I will short! So we entered spot at 68k once, and a long at 71k another time. If your brain struggles to hold two different timeframes at once, that is not a market problem! Bitcoin is moving within its box I shared in February 2026. Remember the line "Interested to Short here"? We are coming close to this area! And on top we are in a long since 71k and aiming for the targets of 79-84k region! Now I will add something new to the set-up and it's very important to understand this well:
I am placing new long orders at 70k region in case market allows to visit, due to Monday open volatility. This order remains valid and becomes invalid once we hit 79-84k first. In case 79-84k is not hit first, the long order at 70k region remains valid.
I believe that we are within a strong bear market and my shorts from 115-125k remain fully open and I am looking for target 3 which is between 50-56k region! I am confident that we will hit this target in the next 1-2 months! Market makers are preparing a trap, to make the markets look healthy and strong, and are doing everything possible to increase the price with futures rather than with spot purchases. The volume clearly shows a future-driven increase rather than a spot-driven increase, another sign of strong manipulation, and we don't complain but use this as an indicator for our own favor.
The region of 79-84k is very interesting, and within the last 1-2 weeks the region of 82-85k became more interesting as well, and this doesn't change anything in our short orders but it changes the % of how much I am placing at each area, and again education is important and I hope it's understandable for all. Let's take an example of a budget with $100,000 and in this case I would place with a x5 leverage.
$5,000 at $79,250
$5,000 at $80,250
$5,000 at $81,250
$5,000 at $82,250
$10,000 at $83,500
$20,000 at $84,250
$30,000 at $84,500
$20,000 at $85,000
This is an example and shows approximately how aggressive and in what region I am willing to add what, and how much at each region. Also its clear that I am going to close my 71k longs in the same method (Amount) as mentioned above. Many don't understand trading with orders and how you can target an entire area rather than one specific number. In the example shown above you will notice that the region of 84-85k is targeted with most of the aggressive orders, and before with only 30% of the capital. Most are not ready for whats coming and during these days my focus is on the SP500 as well! I am preparing the big short on SP500 and have shorted it from 6400, 6800 and 6900! Planning to add more shorts in the coming days as I believe the big downside move for SP500 is coming soon! And this is when Bitcoin will react and we will see the strong and next leg down. I see the SP500 crash to happen within this quarter, during this times I will keep adding shorts on SP500!
The next weeks will be very important and many will miss out on real time updates and thats where premium is worth everything. It costs $59 / month and thats less than some of the trading fees you are paying! I cant repeat it more often but premium offers insights you are getting no-where else. Join here: https://t.co/Ice9n2tMya
I'll buy 100% guaranteed
1) Trump steps back/Gets impeached/Removed/Dies
2) BTC goes to $40k - I think that's hilariously cheap
3) Epstein perpetrators get revealed/leaked and people associated get charged
Until then I'll play it day by day and just go off of gut feeling
In the HISTORY of the #Bitcoin chart Top Goon X has given a sell approaching alert 4 times(red X)
All 4 times $BTC has bounced once more and then dropped at least 60% from the highs
This was all you needed
Make sure to follow me so you don't miss the alert in next bull market
Well, that couldn't have gone better!
First Low Band of the Bear Bands achieved (63k) in the expected time frame (January - March 2026).
The heavy liquidity just above was also completely cleared (69 - 74k).
Next points of interest are the second low band at 44k (August - October 2026) and the cycle bottom band at 28k (November 2026 - January 2027).
$BTC update:
Lucky to have held off on buying
Bulls need to reclaim the old range high ($71k) for the bull case to be rescued
Waiting for that reclaim or at the lower support ($44k) makes loads of sense to me
Anything in between sucks structurally
Here's this year's Bitcoin bear market lined up with others (2014, 2018, and 2022).
The common thought is that the bear market drawdown is decreasing each cycle, and that's been the trend so far. -86%, -84%, -77%.
Bitcoin is even ahead now of where it has been at the same point in other cycles. Current drawdown from the cycle top is - 32%, while other cycles have been 43 - 61%.
But... there's a point in the bear market that percentage drawdowns unify right before the end, meaning that only the final drop really seems to matter. The unification point is in September 2026 at 35k.
Based on previous timelines, the cycle bottom would be between October and November 2026. The Halving Cycles Theory projects November 2026 - January 2027.
A cycle 1 bear market copy is 17k, a cycle 3 bear market copy is 28k.
The bear market is about 30% complete time-wise.
@BowTiedDetektiv Yes I just sold some physical silver and had to sign a contract, I won’t get my money for 2 months since the wholesaler is overwhelmed!
When $GOLD tops, the stock market rallies. Last time the price of Gold peaked, we went onto a 9 year long bull market that tripled. Gold went on to a 9 year long bear market.
$SILVER - Up another 46% from when everyone told me it was topped.
Now over $100 and on its way to the forecasted target of $170-$175.
Still showing a lot of strength but watch for $110-$115 zone around the 2.618 as that zone can give some decent resistance and profit taking.
$BTC
5 out of 6 of my scales have now been hit.
My current average entry sits at 95,673.
After careful consideration, I’ve decided to close 25% of the position at a loss. This effectively wipes out the gains from the initial move I caught from 94K > 90K. That said, I believe this is the most prudent decision overall.
By doing this, I’ve pushed my liquidation level out to 112K. I said multiple times in the 110–120K region that I believed BTC had topped. After months of getting mocked for that view, the thesis played out. I captured roughly a 30% drop from the 123K swing shorts, which were posted publicly.
The reason for extending my liquidation to 112K is simple: I believe we still have a few more weeks before a meaningful reversal fully plays out. Call it aggressive if you want, but this is how I structure my swing positions.
With my current average at 95,673, my realistic target is 63K, which still offers close to a 2R:R setup. To me, that is far more attractive than positioning for further upside at this stage.
Using cross margin allows me to position this way. And no, I’m not risking my entire net worth. My liquidation represents only a percentage of my total assets. In the worst case, I’m essentially giving back profits from the previous 123K swing short, which I’m completely fine with.
As always, this is not financial advice. My swing system works for me, but it won’t work for everyone. Yes, we could retrace back to my entry and I could wait to break even, but risk management comes first.
So my invalidation (liquidation) level is 112K.
Come get me, market makers.
BTC REVIEW AND DISTRIBUTION UPDATE
Its Christmas Eve 🎄
Wanted to give a comprehensive update on the current price action, plus some insight on the 1W and 1M timeframe
As of right now, we are stuck within a 5% swing since November 17th, which explains why everything is so boring. Altcoins are mostly following suit or just falling further down (this will be addressed in our APEX video, link in bio)
Right now here's what I'm looking for:
1) go enjoy the holidays. The market is boring for a reason, this gives us opportunities to enjoy like and the reason for the season. Most of you trying to make money are doing it to enjoy life anyway, so and celebrate.
2) I'm looking for either a bullish break of $93,265 or a bearish break of $84,825 to activate a long or short, which I discussed in the video
3) looking for major buying opportunities and being mindful of the higher level issues in the market, such as we might already be in a bear market, alts crumbling, and what the new narratives might be -- I am shifting away from being super bearish here and being an opportunist
Overall, I think we drop down but might be between Christmas and New Years.
Take this opportunities to enjoy the holiday, embrace loved ones, and cherish the downtime before we enter no sleep season, whenever that might happen.
This is the last video before Christmas (I have one more APEX video coming shortly).
We will resume on 12/26 with my stock picks for 2026. Make sure your are following me and/or signed up to my Patreon
New monthly candles, and Bitcoin has its first close below 10ma. Late in a cycle generally provides lot of evidence of a top. All timeframes are now in a downtrend. The divergence to equities is also glaring.
Know many feel "it's different this time", and it might be, but also I don't get ignoring it.
Still think we're going to see a rally into Jan. More importantly, don't see why people are holding ALT coins, those are sure to completely round trip (many well on their way). Least with BTC you can hodl through.