jemme teo

[jemme teo @jemmeteo]

@adamkhootrader You still have 1 book to publish...your Biography🤩

[Prof @TheProfInvestor]

FOMO will disappear, the day you realize the market never runs out of opportunities.

Every week presents you with new opportunities. The only thing that changes is the reward.

When market is down 5% - your reward is good
When market is down 10%- your reward is great
When market is down 20%- your reward is phenomenal

[jemme teo @jemmeteo]

@MicronCEO American made memory: Protected by tarifs and IP laws. 🤑

[EliteOptionsTrader @EliteOptions2]

Nobody warns you about these trading truths…

- One bad trade can wipe out months of profits.
- Some days your best strategy won't work.
- No indicator will ever fully predict price.
- The market will humble you right when you feel invincible.
- Uncertainty never disappears no matter how long you've traded.
- You will still make mistakes after 16 years.
- Your biggest lessons will come from your most expensive losses.
- Controlling yourself will always be harder than understanding the market.

Share this for good luck and save it. You'll thank yourself later.

[Clint Awana @clintoptions]

$MU deep dive.
Five weeks ago I marked 854-866 as the line in the sand. It broke, the flush hit 737, and everyone wrote the obituary. Since then this chart has been quietly doing the most bullish thing a broken stock can do. Let's walk through it.

The capitulation checklist, in order: 41% off the top. 70 million shares traded at the low, the heaviest day of the entire correction. An 18% reversal the very next session. That's how selling climaxes look when the last weak hand is gone.

The repair since: higher lows at 738, 770, 827...an ascending line of demand...pressed against a ceiling at 904-931 that's rejected six rallies in three weeks. Flat top, rising floor. The exact opposite of the coil that broke down in July. Some of you will also see the inverse head and shoulders forming here. Neckline 930. Do the measured move math yourself and you'll see why bulls are patient.

Now the part the chart can't show you. The fundamentals never confirmed this crash. HBM capacity is fully sold out for 2026 and much of 2027 is locked under long-term deals. Roughly 40% of revenue sits in fixed-price agreements through 2028 and beyond. Last guide was 33 billion in quarterly revenue at 81% gross margins. The correction was positioning and fear, not a demand problem...yet. The real bear case lives in 2028 supply, and the market will care about that eventually. Just not this quarter.

And watch the relative strength, because this is the tell. Last Thursday the memory group got hit: $WDC down 13, $SNDK down 7, SK Hynix down 5. $MU? Down 1. The stock that used to lead the sector down now refuses to follow it. Money isn't leaving this name anymore, it's rotating INTO it.

The map: 830 and the rising trendline are support, 770 and 738 below. 904-931 is everything overhead. Close above 931 and the July bounce top at 1011 comes fast, with 1090-1120 as the measured target. Lose 738 and I'm wrong about all of it, and I'll say so.

[jemme teo @jemmeteo]

@itsmichaelluu MSFT, AAPL, GOOG and AMZN are multi-trillion-dollar companies. A 10x on Apple implies a ~$40 trillion market cap — larger than the entire S&P 500.

[James E. Thorne @DrJStrategy]

Memory Liquidation

The AI memory market is not the telecom boom, and it is not the housing bubble.

What we are seeing now is a leverage event: too much leverage, too much crowding, and too much exposure piled into the same trade, all of which now need to be unwound. That matters because a real supply crunch in memory has been amplified by positioning, acute shortages and sharply higher prices tied to AI infrastructure demand are real.

Yes the easy money in the AI trade has been made!

Let’s be explicit about what that means. Parabolic charts are not proof of durable fundamentals; they are often evidence of momentum, leverage, and borrowed conviction feeding on themselves. When a trade gets this crowded, price stops reflecting only supply and demand and starts reflecting how much fast money is trapped in the move.

The underlying AI demand story is still real, and the fundamental supply-demand imbalance still exists. AI demand has forced companies to fight for dwindling memory supplies, while chipmakers prioritized higher-margin data-center chips and memory prices spiked sharply over the past year.

But that does not mean every price swing is fundamental. Narrative follows price: when memory names surge, investors discover scarcity; when they break, they suddenly discover China risk or efficiency gains.

That is why the analogies to the 1990s telecom boom and the housing bubble are only partly useful. In those episodes, supply ran ahead of demand, too much fiber, too many houses. Here, demand has outrun supply, but the stock market layered excessive leverage on top of a real bottleneck.

As Graham observed, the market is a voting machine in the short term and a weighing machine in the long run. Right now, the vote is being driven by crowding, leverage, and forced selling.

Over time, the market will weigh the underlying AI demand and the still-tight supply picture on their merits. What is being liquidated is not the existence of demand. It is the leverage wrapped around the story.

Yes Parabolic charts that amplify crowded leverage one way bets should be avoided.

[jemme teo @jemmeteo]

@EliteOptions2 Great summary for mag 7, semis and memories ytd!

[Jason Smith - 上官杰文 @ShangguanJiewen]

While the US debates whether to solve homelessness or not, these are the next generation of school blackboards in China🇨🇳.

👇

[jemme teo @jemmeteo]

That's a meme, not a real tweet. A few tells:
Jamie Dimon doesn't have a personal X account — he's famously not on social media, and JPMorgan communicates through official channels and his annual letters.
The tweet is "signed" with his own name at the end ("...DO NOT BUY STOCKS!! Jamie Dimon") — that's a running joke format mocking how boomers sign their tweets.
It's been circulating as a joke — meme accounts like Barchart have been reposting the "Do not buy stocks, warns Jamie Dimon" gag (Threads) in the past day.
Dimon does regularly make cautious public comments about markets being richly priced, which is why the joke lands — but he's never issued anything like this

[jemme teo @jemmeteo]

That's a meme, not a real tweet. A few tells:
Jamie Dimon doesn't have a personal X account — he's famously not on social media, and JPMorgan communicates through official channels and his annual letters.
The tweet is "signed" with his own name at the end ("...DO NOT BUY STOCKS!! Jamie Dimon") — that's a running joke format mocking how boomers sign their tweets.
It's been circulating as a joke — meme accounts like Barchart have been reposting the "Do not buy stocks, warns Jamie Dimon" gag (Threads) in the past day.
Dimon does regularly make cautious public comments about markets being richly priced, which is why the joke lands — but he's never issued anything like this

[jemme teo @jemmeteo]

@Lunaria_40 16

[jemme teo @jemmeteo]

@chickengenius Alamak! i just dumped it. Going back in. Thks

[jemme teo @jemmeteo]

@chickengenius Thank you for the update. Admiration for your conviction.

[jemme teo @jemmeteo]

@WassamTootie @KobeissiLetter but 2027 is still 6 mths away

[One hard Truth @one_hardTruth]

15 Hard Truths about Psychology and Life :

1.

[Caladan @caladanxyz]

Six months after October's $19B liquidation, Bitcoin's order book still has not recovered.

Where you execute now matters more than the direction you're trading: here's why.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

Tonight's situation is incredibly puzzling.

In President Trump's address to the nation just now, he effectively reread many of his recent social media posts out loud.

Between threatening Iran's power plants, saying the Iran War would last 2-3 more weeks, and calling out NATO, there was nothing new.

Yet, the market is now trading like the Iran War is ramping up for another month-long escalation.

Why? Because he didn't explicitly de-escalate.

Ironically, President Trump's address to the nation just now has imposed more pressure on the US through the market's reaction.

The market, which was finally beginning to show some signs of calming, is now highly agitated, with US oil prices back to $104/barrel, stocks down sharply, and the bond market melting down again.

Ironically, President Trump is now back to solving the problem he fixed earlier this week:

How will he contain the market?

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

🚨 BIG WARNING: THE US ECONOMY MAY BE ENTERING A RECESSION

And markets are already reacting to it.

Right now, stocks and crypto are both falling sharply, and many people think this dump has no clear reason.

But if you look at the economic data coming out of the US, the weakness is becoming very visible, and that is what markets are pricing in.

First signal: Job market is cracking.

In the latest data, more than 100K job cuts were recorded in January alone. This is the highest level of layoffs in January since 2009, the same period when the US economy was in recession.

At the same time, JOLTS job openings came in much lower than expected.

New job openings are now at their lowest level since 2023.

This means companies are not hiring and are instead cutting jobs, a clear sign that business conditions are weakening.

When hiring slows and layoffs rise together, consumer spending usually falls next.

Second signal: Stress in the tech credit market.

A large portion of tech loans and bonds are now distressed.

• Tech loan distress ratio is around 14.5%, the highest since the 2022 bear market.
• Tech bond distress ratio is near 9.5%, the highest since Q4 2023.

This means many tech companies are struggling to service debt.

When companies face debt stress, they cut costs, freeze hiring, and reduce spending, which slows the overall economy further.

Third signal: Housing market demand is collapsing.

Home sellers in the US have now outnumbered buyers by about 530,000, the biggest gap ever recorded. This shows demand is weak.

Housing is one of the largest parts of the economy.

When housing slows, it affects construction, banks, lending, and consumer confidence; all recession linked sectors.

Fourth signal: The Fed is not easing yet.

Despite economic weakness, the Federal Reserve is still maintaining a hawkish stance. Rate cuts are paused, and near term cuts look unlikely.

This means liquidity is not increasing, which makes economic stress worse instead of better.

Fifth signal: Bond market is flashing recession warnings.

The US 2Y vs 10Y yield spread has moved to its highest level in four years, a move known as bear steepening.

Historically, this shift has happened before recessions.

When you connect all the dots, the picture becomes clear:

• Job cuts rising
• Hiring falling
• Corporate debt stress increasing
• Housing demand weakening
• Fed staying hawkish
• Bond market signaling recession

Markets are not dumping without reason. They are reacting to growing signs that the US economy is slowing down and may be moving toward a recession phase.

[Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto]

#SILVER - WHAT HAPPENED TODAY?

The reason for the sharp fall was nothing more than extreme sized short positions that entered the futures market, pressuring the price down sharply. Coming to this conclusion is pretty simple by watching the futures volume, but to verify further its important to watch, and I noticed some very interesting pattern, the pattern that confirms my thesis that some shorts needed an exit. And it was given to them today in both markets, Shanghai and COMEX:

What exactly happened today? As per Shanghai, I did not see large physical silver withdrawals worth mentioning, meaning no physical silver changed hands during today’s downside move. So what happened?

First, the silver price was heavily pressured down by empty paper shorts. Even in Shanghai, the futures market is backed by paper rather than physical, something many tend to miss. SGE1!, however, is 100% backed by physical silver bars. However, NON PHYSICAL silver did change hands today: (531 tonnes) of silver contracts were traded in Shanghai. This reflects short positions being closed and transferred to new long holders, with buyers stepping in as sellers exited their shorts at lower prices 10-15% below daily open. No physical silver left vaults today, this is not a bearish sign at all. This was a paper / spot-deferred position transfer, not a physical delivery many would fear.

Again, this is active movement in the derivative market. So the structure of what happened was: first, heavy paper pressure, second, shorts used the drop to exit, third, buyers absorbed everything, and fourth very important: no confirmed physical liquidation. In my opinion, what happened today was a paper-driven shakeout with continued accumulation. The COMEX data is always published one business day later, so expect the data on Monday, while we have Shanghai report already and it speaks a clear language.

Also, it is very interesting timing to see the same manipulation repeatedly happening at month-end, just like last month on December 31, when silver dropped around 15% in one day before continuing its run. Guess what happened on that same day as well: the Standing Repo handed out record amounts of USD to banks. Again, guess what those banks are actively involved in heavy silver shorts. The data is public for everyone to see on FRED and CME. There is a strong relationship between end-of-month lending for balance-sheet purposes and the ability to enter large-sized price suppressions at month-end. This pattern is very obvious and aligns with my theory that banks are in extreme and serious trouble, not only because of tight liquidity, but because the next risk is coming from Silver. One of the major reasons for the expected financial crisis and stock market crash I am predicting and shorting since several months with great profits on several trades posted such as PLTR, NFLX, MSFT, COIN, MSTR and many more, open since several months already.. (Only posted in premium: https://t.co/TvHxOtJJRL)

Nothing changes the fact that physical silver remains very bullish and highly demanded. I am not willing to sell at $85, and I don’t know anyone who is willing to sell their rare metal at such a price. Monday will be a very interesting day for many reasons. The U.S. market closed at $84, while Shanghai closed near $122. We are talking about a historic gap of 44%. On Monday, dealers around the world will need to decide at what price they are willing to sell physical ounces. Let me remind you that physical silver was sold at $120–$130 in recent weeks, reaching $150 in Tokyo as well, and it is sold out at most dealers, so why should the dealers lower their prices if demand remains same or even higher?

Shanghai and COMEX needed a safe exit from their short positions and thats what its all about, and I believe the coming weeks will show us why. This brings me to the conclusion: the purpose of this move was clear, the market understands that silver is in a strong bull run and shorts have started to capitulate. I remain very bullish, as I was at $20. We hit my target of $100, and I personally expect $130-150 in a matter of time.

Reference for above data provided by Shanghai market: https://t.co/BGUqL1o27Z)

THIS IS NO FINANCIAL ADVICE AND EDUCATIONAL CONTENT ONLY