Jesse Sumner

Home Builder, Government stuff, Physics

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

@JaniceN0o0o @MattHeilala4Gov Of course I will support the decision Alaska chooses.

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

I think the argument would be that there is little difference between “Senator Dan Sullivan” and “Dan Sullivan (Incumbent)” when running for senate. Likely they would need to at least change the administrative code because it says name may not appear with rather than name may not include. Either way I think it should be done because other Dan’s candidacy is designed to confuse voters, we can see what the court says.

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

@WillMuldoon What is dimension 2?

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

@Downing907 I don’t know Anchorage is already overrun with zombies…

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

@ScottBalkum @Justa_Guy907 No one pays fire services area taxes on property outside of a fire service area. Matsu borough does not have area wide fire service.

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

@alaskanrobby You think Trump on the ballot net favors Collins? I guess it might on turnout but seems like she benefits more from a race with less national partisan focus

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

@alaskanrobby D+8 would imply good chances Dems take senate majority. Just checked Polymarket because I was going to argue it can’t be, but Polymarket sitting at 53% Dems take senate so possibly D+8 national is in the range. Will be an ugly cycle for republicans if they can’t turn it around.

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

Dangerous to read too much into special election results often times low turnout or very local factors. The poll was 3 R vs 1 D?
I think unless Claman or JKT have plans to drop out it’s likely going to be 2R vs 2D.

Yes on Begich name ID he has a cake walk to final 4 but name ID can cut both ways look at Palin.

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

@Downing907

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

@scooterkendall

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

@MattTunseth Fairly sure they are not a Nazi front group

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

Phillip you’re the one who engages in ad hominem attacks and has blocked my replies. I’ve never been anything but respectful. Really you should go back and reread what I wrote. The voters identifying info is on the outside of the return envelope the list of people who requested absentee ballots is already available before Election Day. The obvious vector for fraud is to eliminate the other sides late return ballots rather than add more ballots. One less on the other side is exactly equivalent to one more on your side and far easier. People miss what isn’t there, it’s important to understand the weaknesses in the system if you want to address them.

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

Phillip you’re the one who engages in ad hominem attacks and has blocked my replies. I’ve never been anything but respectful. Really you should go back and reread what I wrote. The voters identifying info is on the outside of the return envelope the list of people who requested absentee ballots is already available before Election Day. The obvious vector for fraud is to eliminate the other sides late return ballots rather than add more ballots. One less on the other side is exactly equivalent to one more on your side and far easier. People miss what isn’t there, it’s important to understand the weaknesses in the system if you want to address them.

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

The return rate of requested ballots should be high unless the state is mailing out unrequested ballots. As far as cheating with mail in ballots goes the most probable fraud vector would not be introducing more ballots after the election (which would be very difficult with the postage date) it would be intercepting ballots to prevent them from counting. One sign of fraud would then be late arriving ballots being skewed relative to ballots that arrived at other times also you might look for anomalously lower return rates.

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

@kadmitriev But notice you are quoting prices in dollars.

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

@scooterkendall @DermotMCole With big federal races and so many candidates the media market is going to be saturated it will be very expensive and difficult to build name ID. This is not at all an endorsement, but I think you’re underestimating Bronson’s chances with preexisting name ID.

[Jesse Sumner @JesseMSumner]

@AKHouseGOP That’s cool maybe you guys should make a YouTube channel or something so people can watch it