It was supposed to be a by-election with the purpose for Nigel Farage of clearing his name in the court of public opinion, or at least in a people’s court consisting of Clacton-on-Sea’s voters.
He may have gambled and lost already.
The point is that the Tories were the only credible challengers to Farage’s Reform in that seat. And Kemi Badenoch has chosen not to field a candidate. Also Restore UK’s founder and Farage’s nemesis, Rupert Lowe, is doing - or not doing - similar.
Their view is that parliament’s quasi judicial process should be respected, such that when Farage is re-elected - and it is a “when” with no rival candidates from the right, and no Labour candidate either - the investigation by parliament’s standards commissioner would resume.
Their assumption is that Farage’s failure to disclose the £5m gift from the crypto billionaire Christopher Harborne - and possibly other gifts too - is a breach of their disclosure rules. This brings the risk for Farage that he would be suspended long enough from the Commons for the Clacton burghers to petition that there should be another by-election.
So Farage would fight two by-elections before Christmas. He presumably believes that for many voters a double dose of campaigning for an MP at the seaside would bring Parliament and “the establishment” into disrepute.
Per contra, Badenoch and Starmer, and
Burnham too, presume that it would be Farage who - unusually - would look the fool.
Makerfield was a history-making by-election that toppled a prime minister. Clacton-on-Sea won’t topple Farage but it seems unlikely to do him any good.
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