Jacopo Loredan

Loves sailing & Krav Maga. Journalist.

[Jacopo Loredan @jlored]

They will not go quietly, the dogs who've shared our lives

[Krzysztof @ChrisK22115858]

@ChrisO_wiki Ad. Lifting sanctions is in 10 points Iran's demands list.

[Dario D'Angelo @dariodangelo91]

🚨🇺🇸🇺🇦 Washington Post: alto funzionario Casa Bianca, "l'amministrazione Trump sta valutando la possibilità di interrompere tutte le spedizioni di aiuti militari all'Ucraina in risposta alle dichiarazioni del presidente Volodymyr Zelensky nello Studio Ovale".

[Seth Abramson @SethAbramson]

(THREAD) It’s important that everyone RETWEET this thread. As some of you know, Elon Musk has been on a deranged tear trying to destroy one of the most reliable news sources in the world, REUTERS. The recent reports in this thread are the ones Musk doesn’t want *anyone* to share.

[Seth Abramson @SethAbramson]

9/ It seems clear from these recent REUTERS reports that REUTERS believes—as I do, and as I think Americans broadly writ increasingly do—that Elon Musk is one of the most dishonest men alive, and quite possibly one of the most dangerous to the continuation of our civilization.

[Scott Von Doviak @vondoviak]

For the night shift:

[Wheat and sun 🇺🇦🇮🇹🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 @nakasha7899]

Douglas Murray, giornalista inglese, al confine tra Israele e Gaza.
Ha assistito alla proiezione dei video integrali girati da Hamas il 7 ottobre 2023.
Video di qualche gg fa, tradotto in italiano
Da vedere sino alla fine.
3/3

[Wheat and sun 🇺🇦🇮🇹🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 @nakasha7899]

Douglas Murray, giornalista inglese, al confine tra Israele e Gaza
Ha assistito alla proiezione dei video integrali girati da Hamas il 7 ottobre 2023
Da vedere sino alla fine
2/3

[Wheat and sun 🇺🇦🇮🇹🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 @nakasha7899]

Douglas Murray, giornalista inglese, al confine tra Israele e Gaza.
Ha assistito alla proiezione dei video integrali girati da Hamas il 7 ottobre 2023, e visibilmente turbato risponde alle domande
Video di qualche gg fa, tradotto in italiano in 3 parti
1/3

[Captain Allen @CptAllenHistory]

Hi, I’m a lawyer. Do want to know what is really meant by a “#proportionate response” under international law? Then read on - and feel free to ask questions!

Under International Humanitarian Law, #proportionality requires that any degree of damage (up to and including death) to #civilians not be “excessive” in relation to the “military advantage anticipated from a strike against a military target.”

We are going to break that down, so everyone understands what exactly that means.

However, first, you should be aware that it is a misnomer that anytime #Palestinian civilians die after an #Israeli strike, it is automatically evidence of an Israeli war crime. This is completely false - the law does not work that way.

Simply, and unfortunately, the international rules of law recognize that civilians are often killed during war; and, most of the time, those deaths are actually not indicative of a war crime.

Instead, the legal test for “proportionality” requires that each individual strike be looked at with a particular balancing analysis.

First, here is a hard and fast rule: the strike must be intended to target a military objective; it is, therefore, an unlawful war crime to strike with the intent of targeting civilians without any military objective whatsoever.

Now, let’s get a little technical while still keeping it simple.

Under the First Additional Protocol to the Geneva Conventions of 1977 at both Article 51(5)(b) and Article 52(2), we know that when #Hamas uses its own population (or Israeli #hostages) as #humanshields - either by using them to shield themselves or to shield their weapons depots - Hamas has, under international law, turned civilians targets into military targets.

That means that when Hamas places weapons caches in and under schools, hospitals, mosques, etc., Hamas has made each of those places legitimate military targets.

So, it has been well-known for many years that Hamas purposefully placed its headquarters underground beneath the al-Shifa Hospital. In doing so, international law holds that the hospital is no longer just a civilian target, it is a legitimate military target.

That does not necessarily give the IDF carte blanche to attack hospitals, schools, mosques, etc.; however, it does mean that an IDF attack on a civilian target that has been made into a military target by Hamas’ use of human shields is not per se illegal under international law.

Instead, such a strike (as is the case with any strike conducted by a military like the IDF), must be analyzed through a balancing test.

One part of this balancing test performed by Israel before each strike is to determine whether the human shields in question are being used voluntarily or involuntarily.

If the human shields are being used voluntarily - meaning the human shields are there protecting Hamas and its weapons of their own volition - then the target remains a completely legitimate military target.

If the human shields are being used involuntarily - meaning Hamas is forcing people to act as human shields to protect themselves and/or their weapons - then the IDF must go back to the balancing test to determine whether the anticipated military advantage of a successful strike would outweigh the reasonably anticipated loss of civilian life.

Importantly, the IDF rules state that if it cannot determine whether a human shield is being used voluntarily or involuntarily, it must presume the civilian is being used against his or her own will and treat the civilians as an involuntary participant.

Assuming that there is a military target & that there may be human shields that are there involuntarily, the next step in the proportionality analysis for each individual strike (remember, proportionality is determined on a strike-by-strike basis, and not as the accumulation of strikes over time) is to try to determine the likely amount of damage to civilian persons and/or property as a result of the strike.

In other words, under international law, Israel must be able to give a sort of “value” to the anticipated impact on civilians (including potential civilian deaths). Simply, a smaller number of anticipated civilian casualties may make the strike proportionate if there is a significant military advantage to be gained by conducting the strike.

However, if Israel determines that the anticipated impact of a strike may cause many civilian casualties, it must make the difficult determination of whether the anticipated military advantage is so significant that it warrants carrying out the strike anyway.

So, if Hamas has a weapons depot underneath a house with two civilians inside, and that house has been used to fire 500 rockets at Israeli civilians, and it is reasonably expected that there are hundreds more rockets under that house, Israel can almost certainly carry out the strike within the confines of international law.

If that same house, however, had 10 families living inside, including many children, it could - and likely would - tip the scales of the proportionality balancing test toward Israel not being permitted to carry out the strike, even though the house has been used to attack Israeli civilians and can be expected to continue to be used to carry out attacks against Israeli civilians.

Now, that balancing test can always change. If that same house is being used to fire long-range, precision-guided missiles at Israel’s major population centers in places like #TelAviv (effectively putting millions of Israeli civilians in danger), the balancing test may tip back in favor of Israel being legally permitted to carry out the strike.

This all suggests the third and final step in the proportionality balancing test: the #IDF must determine and place a “value” on the anticipated military advantage that would be gained if it were to carry out a particular strike.

An attack on Hamas leadership and/or its weapons manufacturers would be considered a high value target. An attack on a single Hamas member who has no special skill, would be a much lower value military target.

Similarly, an attack on a small cache of mortars would have less military value that an attack on a large cache of advanced rockets that can reach large Israeli civilian population centers.

Once the @IDF determines the anticipated “value” of the likely effect on civilian persons and property and the anticipated “value” of the likely military advantage to be gained if the strike is carried out, the balancing test can be performed, and a certain amount of judgment must go into the determination of whether that strike would or would not be “proportionate.”

Importantly, this decision is so vital that the IDF does not simply permit a single solder on the ground with his or her hand on the proverbial (or actual) “trigger” to make that determination.

In fact, the decision of whether a strike is proportionate is not even left up to IDF officers. It’s not even left up to IDF Generals.

Instead, before any IDF strike can take place, IDF Guidelines provide that the proportionality balancing test must be presented to and analyzed by IDF military lawyers who then determine whether the strike is legally permissible as “proportionate” under international law and the rules of war.

And these IDF military lawyers are not mere patsies or people who simply “rubber stamp” what the IDF requests.

In fact, the IDF’s military lawyers work entirely independently of the IDF. They are outside of the chain of command and do not answer to anyone in the IDF, including a General (for example).

Plus, every IDF military lawyer knows he or she may very well be held to account if he or she makes a wrong decision based on the evidence available at the time.

Furthermore, sometimes the decisions to be made while balancing the likely military advantage against the likely civilian casualties can be so difficult that the legality of the strike is first brought to the Israeli Supreme Court for instant review.

Another important concept: the comparison of civilian body counts of #Israelis versus #Palestinians (to the extent those numbers can be trusted since they come directly from Hamas-only) is not relevant to a proportionality analysis. Each strike must be viewed individually to determine proportionality. It is not a test of the cumulative nature of the strikes.

Also, by simply comparing body counts, it does not factor in how many people killed were actually #HamasTerrorists, how many were Hamas collaborators there voluntarily, and it does not consider what military advantage was gained by Israel carrying out any individual strike.

As Israel is now in the process of seeking to secure the military advantage of preventing Hamas from having the capacity to carry out repeated attacks of the kind and nature seen on October 7th, Israel is permitted to act proportionately insofar as necessary to achieve that military objective (the elimination of Hamas and/or its ability to make war).

One more important fact people do not know, but that they should know: according to UN statistics of global conflict, the average civilian to combatant killed ratio is a rather appalling nine civilians killed for every one combatant killed.

That’s why civilian body counts in and of themselves are never indicative of a war crime. Each individual strike has to be analyzed, and unfortunately civilians always suffer disproportionately in wars.

In fact, while Israel is routinely criticized for any of its strikes that kill civilians, you may be surprised to know that Israel’s civilian to combatant ratio is routinely much lower than the nine to one average.

In the very last operation carried out by the IDF prior to October 7 (in Jenin), 0.6 civilians were killed for every one combatant killed.

In that conflict, not only were the IDF’s ratio numbers nowhere near the nine to one international average, but the IDF actually managed to kill more combatants than civilians - something that is extremely rare.

In truth, Israel is targeted by accusations of war crimes almost immediately by the media, by politicians, and by the UN General Assembly despite the fact that those accusations are near 100% of the time based neither in fact nor in law.

Since a proportionality balancing test must be used to determine whether a single specific Israeli strike falls within the confines of international law, someone providing an analysis must have all of the facts Israel considered before carrying out that strike as to the anticipated impact on civilians and the anticipated military advantage. Obviously, anyone who is making a snap judgment critical of Israel could not possibly have that information.

Understand then, that when you see talking heads accusing Israel of “war crimes” immediately after and/or during Israeli strikes, that is not an actual legal analysis under international law of what constitutes a war crime.

Much more likely, what you are witnessing is part of Hamas’ ongoing psychological and propaganda warfare campaign of demonizing and delegitimizing the State of Israel in the eyes of public opinion.

#Hamas_is_ISIS #HamasisISIS #HamasISIS #HamasMonsters #October7massacre

[Amir Tibon אמיר תיבון @amirtibon]

A month ago, at this hour, I had to tell my two daughters - 3.5 years old and 20 months old - that they must remain completely silent. No word, no cry.
It was 7AM, they had just woken up in a dark room with no electricity or food, and five people were shouting outside the window.

[Michal/Michele -מיכל✡️ 🟦 @MichalSabra]

Every single word. 🇮🇱🇮🇱🇮🇱

[Second World War tweets from 1941 @RealTimeWWII]

Red Army & Wehrmacht are staging a joint military parade in the Polish city of Brest-Litovsk (now occupied & annexed by USSR), celebrating Nazi-Soviet friendship.

[Patrizia💙 @CuoreIschitano]

66 anni fa, Laika è stata lanciata nello spazio.
Laika, il suo vero nome era Kudrjavka, in russo significa "Ricciola". " È stata catturata per strada, a Mosca.
Metà Husky e metà Terrier, aveva circa 3 anni all'epoca. È stata scelta perché calma, docile e perfettamente ⬇️

[Second World War tweets from 1941 @RealTimeWWII]

Chancellor Hitler issues a proclamation to troops: "Border violations [in Gleiwitz] prove that Poles no longer respect the German frontier. German defense forces will carry on the battle for the honour of the living rights of the reawakened German people."

[Brad Setser @Brad_Setser]

Stunning.

Spectacular, if somewhat depressing, reporting by @Lingling_Wei and @yifanxie

"top leader Xi Jinping has deep-rooted philosophical objections to Western-style consumption-driven growth, people familiar with decision-making in Beijing say."

1/

https://t.co/rRyh4l1Tt4

[Jacopo Loredan @jlored]

@Massross Concordo. Ma non per questo cretino,.

[Jacopo Loredan @jlored]

Magari opinabile (ma spot on su Tajani), sempre però un punto di vista acuto e interessante.

CIRINO POMICINO: LA DICHIARAZIONE DI TAJANI SULLA PRIVATIZZAZIONE DEI PORTI DIMOSTRA CHE NON ... https://t.co/GY1yXwBiIG

[Daniele Angrisani @putino]

La follia ideologica totale della Russia di Putin in un solo video. Un prete ortodosso benedice una statua di Stalin prima di dire alla folla: "Sì, la Chiesa ha sofferto sotto Stalin. Ma grazie a questo, ora abbiamo molti nuovi martiri russi da pregare".

[David Carretta @davcarretta]

Le regole sono chiare: il parere della Bce andava chiesto preventivamente anche in caso di decreto.

[Leonid Volkov @leonidvolkov]

OK, folks, now I have to ask for your full attention, please.
It will be a long thread, but I'm 100% sure it is very important and you'll learn a lot about the war, about Russia, Ukraine and Europe, about Putin and his plans.
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