J King

$BTC

[Wick @ZeroHedge_]

$NVDA

As promised here is the breakdown of Nvidia, one of the general gauges on the market health right now.

Enjoy the video, the only way to let me know you would like to see more of these is to like and repost 🙏

[J King @jmk99]

@grok Where are we now and what does the next 9 months hold

[J King @jmk99]

- The post quotes a breakdown of Super Bowl LX prediction market volumes, where Kalshi led with $871 million—10 times Vegas's $130 million—and questions Robinhood's role in facilitating that via its Kalshi partnership.
- Robinhood integrated Kalshi's event contracts in early 2025, enabling users to bet on outcomes like the Super Bowl winner directly in-app, generating $258 million in volume for that market alone.
- Under the deal, Robinhood and Kalshi split revenues 50/50 through a combined $0.02 commission per contract ($0.01 each), with Robinhood's share from Q3 2025 volumes exceeding expectations despite overall revenue misses.

[J King @jmk99]

https://t.co/bMZQZMXv00

[J King @jmk99]

@ZeroHedge_ I am in.

[Wick @ZeroHedge_]

$BTC (Video)

Monthly timeframe breakdown.

I’m laying out what you should be focused on right now - and trust me, almost nobody is explaining this correctly.

If this triggers you, that’s fine. If it helps you, like & repost so it reaches the right people.

[J King @jmk99]

@Milajoy You lost me at "irregardless".

[J King @jmk99]

@MrMTrades Living in the future. 2028?
Great job though - truly !

[J King @jmk99]

Short answer “NO”!

Buying after the IPO based only on that elevator conversation would almost certainly not be insider trading.

What counts as insider trading (strictly legally)

Insider trading requires all three of these elements:
1.Material information
Information that a reasonable investor would consider important in making an investment decision.
2.Non-public information
The information is not broadly available to the public.
3.A duty of trust or confidence that was breached
The information was obtained through a relationship that creates a legal duty (employee, fiduciary, tipper–tippee relationship, etc.).

If any one of these is missing, it’s not insider trading.

1. Was the information material?

“Valuators say we’re worth $2B” sounds big, but:
•Private-company valuations are opinions, not facts.
•They change constantly.
•They are not guarantees of IPO pricing or post-IPO performance.

Courts generally treat this kind of statement as soft, forward-looking, or speculative, not hard material fact (like earnings, a merger, or a regulatory approval).

2. Was the information non-public?

At the time you heard it:
•Yes, technically non-public.
•But once the company IPO’d, everything that matters for trading becomes public:
•S-1 filings
•Risk disclosures
•Underwriter pricing
•Roadshow materials
•Market price discovery

You didn’t trade before the IPO.
You would have traded after public disclosure and market pricing.

That breaks the non-public element.

3. Did you have a duty that was breached?

This is the most important point.
•You were no longer an employee.
•You were not an officer, director, or advisor.
•There was no confidentiality agreement tied to that casual statement.
•The CEO did not tip you for personal benefit.
•You had no ongoing fiduciary duty.

A CEO chatting casually in an elevator does not create a tipper–tippee chain under securities law.

No duty → no insider trading.

The timing matters more than the info

Key distinction:
•Illegal: Buying shares before the IPO, or during a blackout, based on confidential IPO pricing or demand.
•Legal: Buying shares after the IPO, even if you once heard something interesting long ago.

Once the stock is public, everyone is allowed to have opinions about fair value, even if those opinions came from prior experience. That’s not only legal — it’s literally how investing works.

Regulators go after:
•Earnings leaks
•M&A tips
•FDA approvals
•Government contract awards
•Accounting fraud cover-ups

They do not go after former employees buying post-IPO.
Caveats

As long as none of the following are true:
•You were still under a contractual NDA and
•The info was still confidential and
•You traded before it was disclosed

Bottom line
You could have bought legally.
No insider trading.
No gray area.
No regulatory risk.

Just the most painful kind of loss there is:

Opportunity cost.

[J King @jmk99]

@SenJeffMerkley You are a disingenuous political hack.

[J King @jmk99]

@daltonbrewer The fact that you state Tesla “is just a car company” means that you will never understand.

[J King @jmk99]

@ZeroHedge_ Recalling the insanity of the "Bone Phone"

[Treyding Stocks @TreydingStocks]

YouTube banned this video (again)

'This Day Trading Strategy Takes ZERO Effort'

Learn how I find and trade news driven moves in premarket by watching a live trade example on $PATH yesterday

Reposts appreciated

[J King @jmk99]

@elonmusk R,cvd

[J King @jmk99]

'No more fat troops:' Pete Hegseth announces new fitness standards for a... https://t.co/v05lMoZJoP via @YouTube

[J King @jmk99]

@TreydingStocks Post on X.

[J King @jmk99]

Adjusted RatiosWhite Men: 1.92 times their population percentage in violent crime arrests.
Black Men: 5.92 times their population percentage in violent crime arrests (for murder, as a proxy).
White Men:Arrests for violent crimes: 59.1%
Population percentage: 30.8%
Ratio: 59.1%30.8%≈1.92\frac{59.1\%}{30.8\%} \approx 1.92\frac{59.1\%}{30.8\%} \approx 1.92Black Men:For murder arrests (as a proxy for violent crime, since specific data for black men alone isn't provided), black individuals were 51.3%.
Assuming black men commit a proportional share of this (let's say 75% of black violent crime arrests, as men are generally more likely to commit violent crimes), that's approximately 38.475% of murder arrests.
Population percentage: 6.5%
Ratio: 38.475%6.5%≈5.92

[J King @jmk99]

@Jason AGREED!! There needs to be responsible journalism. Infotainment should be separate from journalism. In the sense it f f you want to be able to add your spin that is infotainment, news should be as bias free as possible, stating facts without spin.

[J King @jmk99]

@joeroganhq Stunning lack of understanding and knowledge of current and prior history.

[J King @jmk99]

@ShardiB2 Please do. On Discord you / we could even do a "Live Stream" of trading.