What is amazing about this poll result is that 1) these are not "values" and 2) all of the "values" they ask about have a completely different context than in the prior surveys - Interpreting them is a BIG challenge and everyone in the polling world knows it
๐๐New paper "Do you prefer #Obamacare or the Affordable Care Act? Simulating an informed public to improve survey measurement" by @gabrielmiaoli and @jmping
https://t.co/z0dIOh5Ssk
@apearlma @gelliottmorris That was the source of my best-ever NYT Quote: โIf somebodyโs not transparent you can generally assume theyโre crap.โ
@zeynep We have a repository of data here at Michigan, but may only be internally usable; happy to try to find a local collaborator if you want - can you share a little more info/send an email?
@NathanKalmoe @ntdPhD The marginal question is whether things change the probability of chaos if we had a perfect replication of the 2020 election scenario. To that Q, it seems the answer is the likelihood went down rather than up. Reps would need to win in 2024 rather than just pretend they did.
@NathanKalmoe @ntdPhD Yes, but the chance that we can avoid that madness is considerably higher today than we thought it would be yesterday. For madness to occur, Reps need to take the house more decisively than they are going to this cycle.
22 months ago a violent insurrection inspired by the President sought to overturn a democratic election and prevent the peaceful transfer of power. The threat is now, if anything, worse. 2020 denialism is now pervasive & the legitimacy of the 2022 election is already under attack