Brutal gráfica compartida ayer por @CipresMomentum en el programa de Momentum.
A la derecha lo que recauda la unión europea de sus empresas tecnológicas.
A la izquierda lo que recauda de multar a empresas tecnológicas no Europeas
Vergonzoso
@CipresMomentum Por lo que se comenta, ya han empezado a montar un comité que tiene que decidir el material de la red para que sea ESG. Se espera que dentro de 6 meses estará formado y puedan empezar a discutir. Sobre la tecnología de los drones... Eso les va grande
@CipresMomentum Lo que les ha salido el tiro por la culata, porque para china, nexperia es solo una filial, ellos están servidos, pero para 🇪🇺 es un indispensable para la automoción
Esto: https://t.co/aAJPKgT4n5
Ha hecho muchísimo daño a los fabricantes de coches, así como proveedores 🇪🇺 y 🇺🇸
🇨🇳🇳🇱China Puts Export Controls on Nexperia After Dutch Takeover
Chipmaker Nexperia, a subsidiary of China’s Wingtech Technology and a major supplier of mature chips for the automotive and consumer electronics sectors, announced on Tuesday that it has been banned by the Chinese Ministry of Commerce from exporting products made in China, including those produced by its subcontractors, after the Dutch government took over the company using a Cold-War-era law to secure Europe’s chip supply. Nexperia said it is seeking an exemption from the export ban, which could affect Dutch access to its chips. The company operates an 80,000-square-meter assembly site in Guangdong province near Hong Kong, as well as fabrication, assembly, and testing facilities in Germany, the Philippines, Malaysia, and Britain. The Dutch government’s intervention resulted in the suspension of CEO Zhang Xuezheng, founder of Wingtech, with CFO Stefan Tilger appointed as interim CEO. Last month, the Trump administration expanded US sanctions to subsidiaries of blacklisted companies, including Wingtech, which was added to the US “entity list” late last year.
https://t.co/OJGPMsvVcN
🚨 Picking Pennies in front of a bullet train edition: flagging $EM (Energy Monster/Smart Share Global) merger arb with solid r/r characteristics imo:👇
Quick recap on Energy Monster ($EM): one of China’s top shared power bank provider since 2017. Vast network in cafes, malls, etc. IPO’d 2021 at $18.50/ADS; now sub-$2 amid China ADR slump. Market cap ~$300M, positive profits, $400M+ cash, no debt. Undervalued gem in circular economy/consumer tech.
Timeline: Jan 2025 – Initial go-private offers. Aug 1, 2025 – Definitive deal with Trustar (CITIC PE) at $1.25/ADS ($0.625/share).
Aug 15 twist: Hillhouse bids $1.77/ADS ($0.885/share) – 41.6% over Trustar! Committee reviewing with advisors. Potential switch, bump, or war?
Current price (Aug 18, 2025): ~$1.30/ADS. But factor ADS cancellation fees: $0.05/ADS deducted from consideration in go-privates.
Net Trustar: $1.25 - $0.05 = $1.20/ADS
Net Hillhouse: $1.77 - $0.05 = $1.72/ADS
Spread:
• Downside to Trustar: $1.30 → $1.20 (~7.7% drop)
• Upside to Hillhouse: $1.30 → $1.72 (~32% gain)
Why arb appeal shines brighter at $1.30:
• Downside cushioned: Net $1.20 floor (~8% risk), backed by EM’s strong balance sheet (Q2 rev +15%, profitable).
• Upside pop: 32% to net $1.72; escalation could hit $2+.
• Timeline: Q4 vote likely; 3-6 months to close → 60-120% annualized IRR on spread.
Low-vol bet with significant upside potential
Disclaimer: Not financial advice
@BoesenBlick After seeing this company in the sohn conference in 2025, I have also added it to my portfolio. I think the same as you, good for Mid-term taking advantage of all the changes done and the current valuation
Propósito se este 2025:
- Vender todas las acciones que llevan 2 o más años en cartera, que han estado planas o bajando ya que el coste de oportunidad es enorme
- más situaciones especiales
- recoger beneficios si el precio sube rápido
- rentabilidad mínima 20%
@OscarEconomik Acabo de leer el informe y está muy bien. Muchas gracias!
Solo un pequeño comentario para que estés tranquilo. En Reus, tal y como sopla el aire, no llega casi polución de la petroquímica😉
Sé que no tiene nada que ver y es casualidad, pero el 23 de septiembre publique mi tesis en un foro de micro Caps y en substack y desde entonces la empresa se ha revalorizado un 26%😎
A ver si Stille sigue el mismo camino...
Hoy traigo mi primera tesis en substack
Se trata de software circle.
La conocí gracias a @adriarivero_
Aquí la dejo
https://t.co/y1NBFWmchE
Está en ingles porque la presenté en otros foros
Al ser mi 1a tesis, agradecería cualquier tipo de feedback
Gracias por leer y compartir