The debt ceiling issues present a much greater risk than currently perceived.
Although prior concerns have proven to be mostly peripheral, today’s circumstances are quite unique.
To be clear:
The main problem relates to the potential consequences after an agreement.
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This has largely gone unnoticed, but Treasuries and Nasdaq stocks are now back to being positively correlated since mid-2023.
That's exactly what we experienced in 2022 when fixed-income instruments severely declined in tandem with US equities.
It is important to note that during a brief period around the ChatGPT release and the AI craze, these two markets moved in opposite directions for approximately 6 months.
As inflation potentially re-emerges and the government continues to grapple with a severe deficit funding problem, there is a likelihood of upward pressure on long-term yields, potentially impacting US stocks this year.
Let's not overlook the fact that an unprecedented $8.2 trillion of outstanding Treasuries will need to be re-issued in the next 12 months.
The spread between 2 vs. 30-year yields just turned positive.
Last time this happened from deeply inverted levels was in late 2000, right after the S&P 500 also marked a double top that resulted in the tech bust.
This chart is truly revealing.
The current macro environment across global equity markets presents a sharply divided investment setup for 2024 and the remainder of the decade.
It's time to buy low & sell high.
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This chart stands out as one of the most bullish setups for the next 5 to 10 years.
The inevitable breakout from this historical resistance is the primary reason for our strategic focus on deploying capital efficiently into high-quality projects with substantial exposure to silver.
The Fed wants you to know that the fight against inflation is over because the economy cannot sustainably endure this level of cost of debt.
However, the inflation genie is out of the bottle and a second wave is likely in progress.
Owning hard assets is the best way to protect the purchasing power of investors.
Watch this video—AND watch it again.
There is not a current Incentive Comp plan for Elon Musk at Tesla. Why? Elizabeth Warren & “the Takers” are influential.
Reward Makers. Elon Musk is THE BEST at allocating capital. Let’s see what else he can do.