Johan Englund

Analyst, Asia Programme at the Swedish Defence Research Agency @FOIresearch

[Ryan Hass @ryanl_hass]

1/ As details emerge about the US capture of Maduro and his wife, there will be an impulse among foreign policy analysts to draw analogies to Taiwan and to warn about Trump setting a precedent Beijing could use against Taiwan. I would caution against that impulse. (short 🧵).

[Aron Lund @aronlund]

Nytt och superaktuellt från @FOIresearch:

Kortrapport om hur Iran har spritt ballistiska robotar och relaterad teknologi till allierade stater och grupper i Mellanöstern, med kapitel om bl.a. Hamas, Hezbollah och Syrien.

🚀 Läs här: https://t.co/AObbBZWr9c

[ogasawara_yoshiyuki @ogasawara_yoshi]

My article on “Skepticism about the U.S.” in Taiwan.
I discussed how and why “skepticism about the U.S.” increased recently, and how it would affect Taiwan’s presidential election next January.
#Taiwan
https://t.co/Zrme50Wlqa

[FOI @FOIresearch]

Nytt @FOIresearch -memo: Vad drar Kina och Taiwan för lärdomar av Ukrainakriget? av @johan_o_englund #säkpol
https://t.co/Zbjx78Yvdt (via FOI)

[Dr Maria Shagina @maria_shagina]

China is flexing its muscles in economic statecraft: Beijing considers imposing an export ban on solar tech - to shield its solar panel industry, as others invest in local manufacturing, and leverage its asymmetrical advantage against US export controls.
https://t.co/RXGbfA2SSm

[Zack Cooper @ZackCooper]

The 2023 National Defense Authorization Act includes more important provisions on Asia than any recent NDAA.

We (@allyschwartz29 and I) read it so you don't have to. Here's our rundown of the top five items for @AEIdeas.

https://t.co/l7qdyXv1uy

[itrulyknowchina @itrulyknownchi1]

Beijing has a history of delaying badly-needed *reversal* of its policy stance (family planning, retirement age, rural land entering the market, Hukou, et al), due to largely structural reasons until it's almost too late.
I don't see why that won't be the case in COVID control.

[Björn Djurberg @BDjurberg]

-> @hsahlberg @axelkronholm @th_rosenvinge är ju ett helt fantastiskt gäng att podda med och under partikongressen kör Kinapodden så det ryker. Extra glad att Lars Fredén var med som gäst idag och delade med sig av sin analys av Xi Jinping: https://t.co/Lx65T7DpAt Lyxigt!

[Bonnie Glaser / 葛來儀 @BonnieGlaser]

My analysis of the Taiwan sections of Xi Jinping's political report to the 20th Party Congress. A 🧵

[Bonnie Glaser / 葛來儀 @BonnieGlaser]

"...unification needs to be achieved together with China’s great rejuvenation, this is a dialectic relationship. Xi will not renounce the use of force to achieve unification, but achieving unification must not damage rejuvenation, the final goal.”
https://t.co/TtVni3iMMa

[Bonnie Glaser / 葛來儀 @BonnieGlaser]

Which Asian Countries Support China in the Taiwan Strait Crisis – and Which Don’t? Good piece by @ShannonTiezzi @Diplomat_APAC https://t.co/l221BMwSbQ

[Amanda Hsiao 萧嫣然 @amanda_hsiao]

Prelim thoughts: China’s new Taiwan White Paper

While basic principles to CH’s approach on TW are same, details suggest CH's “One Country Two Systems” may involve less political autonomy for TW than before, making an untenable political proposition even more untenable for TW 1/

[William Yang @WilliamYang120]

On Sunday, #Taiwan's military disputed Chinese state media reports saying that People's Liberation Army (PLA) warships had sailed into Taiwan's territorial waters, and urged Taiwanese not to fall for #Beijing's disinformation campaigns.

https://t.co/zpxfZmx0Lo

[Mathieu Duchâtel @mtdtl]

La phase la plus intense de cette campagne d’intimidation militaire de Taiwan semble maintenant achevée. Quel premier bilan en tirer ? 1/11 https://t.co/H8V586CUtH

[William Yang @WilliamYang120]

By @KathrinHille and @Dimi: "But some in Washington now fear that the visit could have the opposite effect — giving #Beijing the chance to demonstrate its capacity for military coercion and leaving #Taiwan even more exposed ...https://t.co/Uebbq8pAJi

[Amanda Hsiao 萧嫣然 @amanda_hsiao]

A quick look at China's immediate responses to Speaker Pelosi's arrival in Taiwan.

1. The language used in the statements is fairly typical--not particularly inflammatory--and continues to emphasize that time is "firmly in our hands" wrt Taiwan. This is Beijing's way of .. 1/

[Ryan Hass @ryanl_hass]

1/ Against the backdrop of @SpeakerPelosi's arrival in Taipei, there are several events in motion. Proximately, Beijing appears to have begun responding through economic measures against Taiwan. There also are reports of cyber operations directed against Taiwan. (Thread).

[Bonnie Glaser / 葛來儀 @BonnieGlaser]

China announces import bans of more than 100 Taiwan firms from the food & agriculture industries https://t.co/TretR895od

[William Yang @WilliamYang120]

At the same time, #China announced imposing air traffic control around Fujian province, neighboring #Taiwan, causing large numbers of flights being cancelled. https://t.co/TKQC3xiE2R

[William Yang @WilliamYang120]

According to #Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense, one Chinese guided-missile destroyer and a PLA guided-missile frigate were sighted off the coast of Orchid Island in the East. https://t.co/Oxs6RR94eu