Johnny

🇬🇧 Building my ISA in public

Evidence-led stock & commodity theses

Weekly deep dive • portfolio updates • what changes my mind

Research, not advice

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

$SMCI looks absurdly cheap at first glance.

Revenue is exploding. AI demand is huge. The stock trades on ~12x prelim earnings.

Then I got to the cash flow statement.

Here's the bull case, the red flags and the one thing that decides whether this is a bargain or a trap ↓

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

is this not considered bribing for votes?

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: President Trump says he will issue a $5,000 "dividend" to every adult citizen in the US if the Republicans win the midterm elections.

There are currently ~245 million US citizens age 18+, meaning this dividend would cost ~$1.2 trillion.

This would mark the biggest economic stimulus payment since the pandemic.

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

@EdFrosty500 pints 5 years ago were around £5.50 in London, now im happy if they are under £8

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

@hecubian_devil we might be cooked

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

@spectatorindex where sugar at?

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

Happy friday $SMCI,

See you at $50

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

$SMCI looks absurdly cheap at first glance.

Revenue is exploding. AI demand is huge. The stock trades on ~12x prelim earnings.

Then I got to the cash flow statement.

Here's the bull case, the red flags and the one thing that decides whether this is a bargain or a trap ↓

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

So many companies pre came with replacing people with AI

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

US AUG. NONFARM PAYROLLS RISE 162,000 M/M; EST. +55K

US AUG. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 4.1%; EST. 4.1%

US AUG. TWO-MONTH PAYROLL NET REVISION ADDS 55,000

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

US AUG. NONFARM PAYROLLS RISE 162,000 M/M; EST. +55K

US AUG. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 4.1%; EST. 4.1%

US AUG. TWO-MONTH PAYROLL NET REVISION ADDS 55,000

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

@DividendDrip @InvestingJack12 That it is holding it in those banks for interest rates & diversifying where your cash is held to reduce risk, not purchasing stock in those banks

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

@DividendDrip If you DCA’d £50/month into BTC, Gold & the S&P 500 for the last 5 years, you’d have invested £3,000 into each.

Approx profit today:
• Gold: +£2,500
• Bitcoin: +£2,450
• S&P 500: +£1,540

So whos the real winner?

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

@2147mill when you purchase shares whats your expected hold period & gain?

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

@QC_Capitals $IOVA

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

@AshDavidsonUK whats your allocation?

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

@ValueSeeker_ me likey, where do you expect peak to be

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

@DividendDrip not sure, just try and find opportunities where i think risk vs reward benefits me

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

Its so funny how mind set changes,

2 years ago when i first bought $SLV & $GLD

Friends and family both said “why are you buying that?”

“its a hedge against inflation”

Then, 1 year later they are all asking if they should buy. Rest is history.

I experienced 200% wealth inflation on Silver.

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

@Google @GoogleDeepMind Three weeks between models is the real headline. AI benchmarks now have the shelf life of a supermarket sandwich

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

@NoLimitGains i want mor guld

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

@QC_Capitals in reality...

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

@MsVeilMoney 4%? penny stock? have you not been around for this bull run?

[Johnny @JohnHodlsOn]

@NorthstarCharts Anyone expecting silver to move in a straight line picked the wrong metal