John C

You can take the boy out of Yorkshire.... Like: music, food, cats, friends. Work: Local Government Research. Hobbies: Chess, DJing, baking. All terribly.

[John C @johnjdc]

@TheMagister9 @PolitlcsUK That is a proper sample size. Doubling it would only improve the margin of error by 1%.

[John C @johnjdc]

@GreaterBritann1 @PolitlcsUK That's why professional polling companies don't "just poll certain wards"...

[John C @johnjdc]

@AndrewBall24599 @PolitlcsUK Yes it does. Google "margin of error calculator".

[John C @johnjdc]

@Yarelli77 @PolitlcsUK Not much benefit of larger samples. 518 has a margin of error just over 4%. Double is to 1036 and your margin of error is still just over 3%.

[John C @johnjdc]

@SolitarySquid @PolitlcsUK Because 518 is plenty for a constituency poll. If you have to predict whether a coin is a fair 50/50 heads or tails coin over 76000 tosses, 518 is enough to figure that out. Same principle here.

[John C @johnjdc]

@krism3335 @PolitlcsUK 518 people is plenty for an opinion poll sample. If you have 76000 mixed up smarties that are red or blue then by the time you've eaten 518 you know pretty much what percentage are each.

[John C @johnjdc]

@Robbie122347 @PolitlcsUK It's very high for a constituency poll and gives a margin of error of 4.29%

[John C @johnjdc]

@GrahamW0126167 @democracycoma1_ @moving_charlie I would think perhaps then your MP needs more and more effective staff! In a busy constituency they can get upwards of 15,000 pieces of proper correspondence a year so it's not surprising something serious might get missed among the automated petitions etc.

[John C @johnjdc]

@GrahamW0126167 @democracycoma1_ @moving_charlie Seems a bit below average if anything. I'm thinking you don't fully grasp the range of things an MP's office does.

[John C @johnjdc]

@potter2207 @democracycoma1_ @moving_charlie To do her job properly.

https://t.co/05wZGlec6L

[John C @johnjdc]

@GrahamW0126167 @democracycoma1_ @moving_charlie Generally something like a casework manager, a research manager, and a PA/admin.

[John C @johnjdc]

@potter2207 @democracycoma1_ @moving_charlie For four people, in London, including on-costs? I make that about £38k a year for the employee. Median full time salary in London is just under £50k. What was your question again?

[John C @johnjdc]

@pontius27 @ThatGarthGuy Those are the boundaries of Inner London, much to the annoyance for many years of teachers in Haringey who didn't qualify for "inner London weighting" on their pay.

[John C @johnjdc]

@panjipana @BritishTaiga @LauraEWebsterr While something dubious is clearly going on, they appear to have policies: https://t.co/jTpw6JDViG

[John C @johnjdc]

@poll_checker This was fixed for a while but is broken again. Any ideas?

[John C @johnjdc]

@poll_checker Hi, I'm confused by your model.

In Oxford Labour have 10 seats not up for election.

Your map/table predict that they will win 10 of the 24 seats up for election.

The site then appear to add 10 and 10 together and get 16, for the overall council prediction.

What have I missed?

[John C @johnjdc]

@PowysGyrl @HistoryBoomer Yeah the Americans are super weird about this, they get offended about English people saying it in England. If you try to educate them, this happens.

[John C @johnjdc]

@PowysGyrl @HistoryBoomer I mean I assumed it was clear, it's gypsy, but I don't know if that's the word the original post is talking about.

[John C @johnjdc]

@PowysGyrl @HistoryBoomer There's a word that starts with g which is a normal commonplace word in British English but considered a slur in American English. It might theoretically be that, since he's already said it's not the American English slur for South-East Asians.

[John C @johnjdc]

@drewsnx @tonybrett I'll take "procuring coaches which can carry full size bicycles again" over branding reform, but I suspect we'll get neither 😂