@WarrenPies Nice catch and makes sense. Tariffs and oil are the main triggers. They recede or revert, and they will further boost the deflationary AI productivity gains. Balance sheet runoff though slower should be more effective response.
@NickTimiraos Sort of splitting hairs. There are different ways to measure inflation - and all show it is much higher than it should. The real question is what is the best policy response to bring it down.
@biancoresearch Rate hikes will not bring the price of oil down. A more indirect tool and with longer lags provided he has the guts to follow through, is shrinking the balance sheet.