John Win

[Monsieur-TK @MiningTk]

Je viens de trouver cette infographie sur un groupe de whales 🫢

Vous en pensez quoi ?

[bee🐝 @0xbeehive]

THE SIMPLEST $BTC STRATEGY IN HISTORY HAS NEVER BEEN WRONG

No indicators, no complex analysis, just TWO rules:

1. Buy 500 days before the halving
2. Sell 500 days after the halving

These rules has worked at every halving and paid off every time

And what do we have now?

The 5th halving is April 2028

And here's what makes it interesting - 500 days before that lands exactly in October 2026

The same month the 4-year bear cycle is projected to bottom

Two completely different frameworks pointing at the same month

What do you think about this?

Personally, I'm just find it interesting to watch this theory play out

FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!

[Alex Mason 👁△ @AlexMasonCrypto]

Everything is going according to plan.

Bitcoin entered the final stage of the bear market where the cycle bottom forms.

$59K → $61K → $65K → $55K → $47K → $200K

Next stops:

→ Relief to $65K (happening)

→ Dump to $47K (next)

Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000.

The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do.

Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

[bee🐝 @0xbeehive]

$BTC IS TRAPPING EVERYONE RIGHT NOW

This is what Wyckoff accumulation looks like from the inside

- Bears short every dip and get wrecked
- Bulls buy every bounce and get burned

That's the trap. And most people fall for it every cycle

One final sweep below $60k still ahead

My true bottom target hasn't changed - $47-52k

Only after that can we talk about a real recovery and the next cycle

FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!

[Leshka.eth ⛩ @leshka_eth]

NEW FED CHAIR = $BTC DUMP

This rule holds since 2014 and today Kevin Warsh officially takes the seat

He's pro-crypto, bullish on BTC so everyone feels safe and this is the scariest part

New chair means new narratives, a new policy playbook and different signals signals nobody has seen before

And markets love to punish uncertainty

[bee🐝 @0xbeehive]

THE BEAR CYCLE IS A PERFECT MIRROR OF THE BULL

Three bull flags built the rally to $126k

Three bear flags are dismantling it

Same channel, same pattern - just pointed in the opposite direction

Bear Flags 1 and 2 played out exactly as expected. Bear Flag 3 is printing right now

After this one resolves, the cycle bottom lands around $47k

The chart wrote the script months ago. Price is just following it

FOLLOW + NOTIFS ON!

[Leshka.eth ⛩ @leshka_eth]

Jesse Livermore mapped this pattern 100 years ago

He made $100 million shorting the 1929 crash using this exact framework

Livermore's Speculative Chart maps how smart money distributes to retail before a major top

We're at stage 6-7 - the first pullback after the trap

[Maartunn @JA_Maartun]

TradFi-perp trading is hot 🟡

Binance holding 41% of TradFi-perps market. That's much.

[Leshka.eth ⛩ @leshka_eth]

$BTC is entering the final phase of the bear market

[bee🐝 @0xbeehive]

$BTC IS SETTING UP FOR MASSIVE DUMP

EACH CYCLE, HISTORY REPEATS:

2015: BITCOIN DUMPED -87%
2018: BITCOIN DUMPED -84%
2022: BITCOIN DUMPED -77%
2026: BITCOIN DUMPED ONLY -52% -> -67% DUMP EXPECTED

POSITION ACCORDINGLY!

[Goku 🗞 @Crypto__Goku]

🇫🇷 Une agent du fisc exploitait des données sensibles pour des recherches ciblant aussi des investisseurs en crypto.

Une affaire judiciaire étonnante secoue actuellement la justice : une ancienne fonctionnaire de l’administration fiscale a été mise en examen pour avoir utilisé de manière frauduleuse des données confidentielles dans un but criminel.

Si l’enquête s’est d’abord focalisée sur une violente agression visant un agent pénitentiaire, une dimension liée aux cryptomonnaies a rapidement émergé.

En effet, cette femme de 32 ans originaire de Bobigny, travaillait au sein des services fiscaux lorsqu’elle a commencé à établir des « profils » pour un individu ou un groupe dont l’identité reste à ce jour inconnue.

Elle a utilisé le logiciel interne de l’administration fiscale, pour obtenir des informations sensibles sur plusieurs personnes ciblées par ses « clients ».

Parmi ces personnes figuraient non seulement des gardiens de prison (qui ont ensuite été victimes d’un home jacking avec violence), mais également des spécialistes et investisseurs en cryptos.

Ses commanditaires auraient donc eu accès à de nombreuses informations sensibles (Noms, adresses, plus-values etc...) de personnes détenant des fonds en crypto.

[Grégory Raymond 🐳 @gregory_raymond]

Une histoire française des enjeux des cryptos détenues en self-custody (via un wallet @Ledger notamment) :

👉 Janvier 2025 : Démarrage d'une vague de kidnappings ultra-violents sans précédent visant les détenteurs de cryptos.

👉 Mai 2025 : Une base de données contenant les informations fiscales et personnelles de plus de deux millions de contribuables français a été repérée puis vendue sur un forum du dark web. Le fichier a été mis en vente pour 3 000 dollars.

Source : https://t.co/zPQQxSX2Sn

👉 Juillet 2025 : Une agente des impôts interpellée et écrouée. Elle aurait notamment fourni des informations confidentielles sur des contribuables à des réseaux de crime organisé en vue de diverses exactions, comme des cambriolages.

Source : https://t.co/Tjmit24bYJ

👉 Décembre 2025 : Des parlementaires adoptent un amendement obligeant les détenteurs de cryptos à déclarer à l'administration leurs wallets en self-custody supérieurs à 5 000€.

Rappelons que détenir des oeuvres d'art ou de l’or (lingots, pièces, bijoux) n’a pas à être déclaré au fisc tant que vous ne les vendez pas.

Source : https://t.co/7gNh6giBWo

[Rémi D'Alise @rem_dali]

🔥 6 semaines pour éviter l'exposition automatique de vos cryptos liées à votre identité avec DAC8. Voici comment : migrer à vos fonds en self custody

[SaxX ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ @_SaxX_]

🚨🔴 Pas Google qui dans le plus grand des calme et discrétion a rajouté une feature pour lire vos mails et pièces jointes pour entraîner son IA, Gemini ! 🤣🤣

Ce qui signifie que si vous ne désactivez pas manuellement ces paramètres, vos messages privés peuvent être utilisés pour la entraîner leurs modèles d'IA...

Si c'est gratuit, c'est bien que vous êtes le produit...

⚠️ Si vous avez un compte Gmail :

1. Allez dans Paramètres

2. Descendez et trouvez la case à decocher "Fonctionnalités Intelligentes"

3. Un peu plus bas, désactivez aussi "Fonctionnalités Intelligentes de Google Workspace"

🖇https://t.co/9H5owePKem

Cybèrement vôtre,

SaxX ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

[Killa @KillaXBT]

$BTC | I sold 50%. The question is why?

First, some context: I bought my $BTC back in 2023 around $30K, and added more on the dips at $54K and $80K to maximize gains in what has remained a bull market. Having been in the market for six years, I’ve learned some hard lessons—chief among them is that greed often leads to exiting positions too late.

With that in mind, I’d rather exit early than too late. Sure, I could miss out on some additional upside, but I refuse to stay trapped in the mindset of always calling for higher when macro indicators on the weekly and monthly timeframes are starting to shift. I fully recognize we’re in a blow-off top phase, and the market can stay irrational longer than most expect. That’s exactly why I haven’t posted any shorts or new longs—I’ve mostly been sitting on my hands, letting the remainder of my spot holdings work passively.

Last cycle, I made the mistake of trying to time everything perfectly. This cycle, I’m not aiming for perfection. I’m simply looking to exit where I believe the price is approaching a top based on macro signals. Yes, BTC could still extend toward 140–150K—but it could also drop 20% in a single candle. That’s a risk I’m unwilling to take, sacrificing realized profits for what I believe would be the last marginal gains of this cycle.

We’ve had a fantastic run. But based on my analysis, people consistently underestimate the strength of the dollar. Hedge funds and investors are buying BTC in anticipation of an inevitable fiat collapse, which could eventually lead to a true supercycle. However, timing the decline of the USD is close to impossible. The pattern has been clear: prolonged periods of printing, followed by global liquidity tightening as the dollar strengthens.

At the moment, the USD is sitting on a 13-year trendline. We could still retest the 94 region in the coming months before liquidity meaningfully contracts. When that happens, it will likely have an immediate impact on BTC’s price. Smart players scale out gradually—they don’t wait until it’s too late.

From a macro perspective on the weekly and monthly charts, BTC’s upside appears limited unless the USD collapses, which, again, is unpredictable. If the DXY follows the same pattern we’ve seen since 2012, BTC will eventually retrace—potentially with a 50–60% correction.

I trade based on the information in front of me, not the speculation that “this cycle is different.” One day, it will be—but that’s impossible to predict with any precision.

Just because I’m cautious and slightly bearish on the HTF doesn’t mean I’m blindly shorting every move. I’m not stupid. I’ll wait for HTF shifts and confirmations before considering any swing shorts. But as you know, this is X—people love to assume otherwise. When I start shorting, you’ll know. Now is not that time. My priority is capital preservation above all else.

I see the dynamics gradually shifting, and that’s my cue to begin scaling out. I won’t be a permanent bull just to drive engagement.

Hopefully this gives you a clear picture of my outlook and expectations. As always, I can be wrong and invalidated—but most importantly, I will never deviate from my plan. It’s not bias; it’s the foundation of my strategy. Every time I’ve strayed from that, I’ve lost.

If you found this post helpful, please drop a like. Took quite a while to put together this chart.

[Beyond the Moon @mortoom]

I got this problem solved out myself based on this Reddit post. But now I have a new problem, where for some reason in Metamask, for example, when wrapping tokens in the Flare portal, the "Confirm" button no longer turns blue (it is gray and cannot be clicked).

[John Win @JohnWinarf]

@mortoom @Tom1s @BuzzHgtp @Ledger_Support Thanks so much man. I had exactely same problem and this solution worked !
I tried reinstalling several times without success and I didn't see that there were hidden files left...

[John Win @JohnWinarf]

@BuzzHgtp @bobjone15695733 @Ledger_Support @Zcash I saw your suggestion to clear cache. I tried several times but it didn't work.