Totally unsurprising that Trump's being super-friendly with Mamdani. Trump likes good-looking, charismatic people, doesn't really care about policy other than tariffs, and when one-on-one with other stars, much prefers to schmooze than fight.
What does a Member of Congress do all day? @TangleNews came to Washington to shadow me for 72 hours and give an inside look at my day-to-day representing Bay Staters.
Today, I am thrilled to announce that Kmele Foster @kmele is joining the @TangleNews team as editor-at-large. Kmele is one of the most inquisitive, open minded, unpredictable and interesting thinkers in the political world. I’m genuinely energized by the thought of him helping usher Tangle into its next era, and excited to get a chance to gab it up weekly on the Tangle podcast. His own show, The Fifth Column, has been a cathartic listen for years, even while @mcmoynihan and @MattWelch degrade the brand with (admittedly good) accents and alcohol.
In all seriousness: This hire, for us, comes at a tremendously exciting time. Our full and part time team has grown from 5 to 15 people in the last year. Our newsletter has 400,000 readers. We’re driving close to $4 million in subscription revenue, and — right now — in the midst of some of our fastest growth ever. We’re only just standing up a successful ad business and widely distributed podcast, with YouTube next on our list. We are really just scratching the surface.
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To be clear: this entire thing went off the rails because Zelensky made the catastrophically offensive move of pointing out the reality that Putin broke a ceasefire in 2015 and that when Vance talks about diplomacy, he can’t explain how Putin is a trustworthy partner.
Zelensky simply spoke the truth, which Vance deemed totally unacceptable and offensive because he was trying to “litigate” the issue in front of the press.
And then it unraveled from there. Just wild.
@bennyjohnson That’s not what he said. So many legitimate things to complain about and you just blatantly lie. All these people trust you and they shouldn’t.
It’s 8am
It’s 9am.
Wait, it’s 12pm.
Oh wait again, 19:00psmt
Oh wait it’s now 2am.
0h wait its 8am again.
0h is wait is 1:24pm now hitting.
I’ll never listen to time again.
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1. Not going to lie, and this kind of surprised me… but I’m pretty emotional at the moment. @TangleNews just hit $1 million in ARR in our newsletter. That’s subscriber revenue only (not counting ads, donations, podcast, YouTube, or events). Some heartfelt reflections & advice:
Reading the coverage of Suozzi's win in #NY03 makes me feel like I'm going crazy. Republicans have excuses for every election loss and Democrats think they are weak despite the fact they beat Republicans over and over and over.
To recap: Since Roe v. Wade fell, and with Trump as the face of the party, Republicans have underperformed in almost every meaningful election that was not a foregone conclusion for almost four years. This is not an exaggeration.
The party in the White House loses 28 House seats and four Senate seats in midterm elections, on average. In 2022, Democrats shocked everyone by stopping a red wave, picking up a Senate seat and keeping Republicans' House majority so narrow they have since spent most of their time fighting amongst themselves and failing to pass legislation supported by majorities of their own party. Democrats succeeded in 2022 by running on abortion and against Trump-approved candidates in purple districts and states.
Last April, Democrats handily won a state Supreme Court seat in Wisconsin that was considered a toss-up. Then in August, Democrats won an Ohio special election to reject a ballot measure that would have made it more difficult to enshrine abortion rights into law. Then, in November, Democrats effectively swept every competitive race. They flipped Virginia's House delegation blue, passed a constitutional amendment in Ohio to ensure access to abortion, re-elected a Democratic governor in Kentucky (and improved his margins), sat a liberal justice on the Pennsylvania state Supreme Court, and won a congressional special election in Rhode Island. And again, in another special election last month, Democrats flipped a Florida House Seat.
Democrats have also won a number of less-followed but signal-laden seats across the country: They flipped countless school board seats in swing states, completed a "seismic shift" flip of a mayoral seat in Colorado Springs (also in Colorado, Rep. Lauren Boebert, who has become a household Republican name, had to flee her district and run somewhere else because it looked like she was going to lose). They flipped a mayoral seat in Jacksonville, and picked up seats in New Jersey's state legislature. Not many people are talking about it, but the same day they won NY-03 they also expanded their single seat majority in the Pennsylvania House of Representatives to two, by winning a Bucks County seat (where I grew up), a traditional bellwether county in a bellwether state that is now trending left. On top of all this, Democrats are out fundraising Republicans so badly that the RNC is forcing out its chair.
All of this is happening at a time when Biden's approval numbers are terrible, economic sentiment is poor, Biden's mental fitness is becoming a massive problem, the border is in crisis, and the world feels unsteady as wars rage on in Ukraine and Gaza. And yet, Democrats are simply cleaning Republicans' clocks.
I'm not opinionating here, these are the facts. The results are telling this story, not me, and conservatives need to wake up. All the polls showing Biden's low approval, all the media narratives about the border or Israel, and all the excuses about poor candidates or extraneous issues (like a winter storm) don’t change the fact that Republicans just keep losing these elections. And while most on the right continue to refuse to acknowledge their losing streak, many in the media, including most people on the left, can’t stop gnashing their teeth over how weak the Democrats are.
One of the things I regularly tell people who question the results of the 2020 election — people who can't believe that Joe Biden beat Donald Trump by 7 million votes — is to just look around. Look at what has happened since then. That result is consistent with everything we have seen in bellwether counties like this one for the last four years. Nobody is talking about election fraud in NY-03 or in Bucks County or in the 2022 midterms or the 2021 and 2023 special elections because there very obviously wasn't any (at least not any significant election fraud, as most elections have some individual instances of voter fraud). Yet Republicans lost those races by similar margins, and on the backs of similar voters, as they lost in 2020. They are losing independents, they are losing moderate Republicans, and they are losing suburban women. And they can't turn any Democrats.
Republicans have no response to Democrats on abortion. Suozzi just drew a map for how Democrats can win in tough swing districts where a Republican opponent is making the border crisis the primary issue: Move to the center on immigration, criticize Republicans for not supporting the bipartisan Senate-negotiated border bill, then pivot to abortion. Game, set, match.
We are all going to memory hole it now, but a few days before this race both conservative and liberal pundits were preparing for a Republican win. The Hill ran a headline about Democrats moving to "avoid an embarrassing defeat" in the district. CNN said Democrats were "scrambling to stave off defeat." The New York Times published a piece about a "GOP revival" in New York-3. The Federalist interviewed Pilip and published an entire story about how the race was going to be about the border crisis. National Review called the district an immigration bellwether and centered the story on Democrats’ under-performance in New York in 2022, which was basically their only under-performance anywhere in the last four years.
And then... this race wasn't close. Suozzi had a four-point lead in the final polls, then doubled it at the ballot box. When this happens in Republicans’ favor, everyone in the media freaks out about whether polls are under-representing Trump and Republican voters; yet very few people are asking whether Democratic enthusiasm is being undercounted. But they should be, because Democrats keep outperforming the polls (and the narratives).
There is a tough reality the GOP has to deal with before 2024 if it wants to retake the Senate, defend the House, and re-elect Trump: They are losing competitive elections, they are not changing their strategy, and the face of their party is very unpopular. They do not have a palatable message on abortion (let alone a winning one), they are no longer negotiating on a solution to the border, and they are following Trump's lead on every national issue despite the fact that his name hurts them in general elections and competitive races.
To repeat, this is all happening at a time when a historically unpopular Democrat whose mental fitness is being questioned sits in the White House, while economic sentiment is poor (or stubbornly mediocre at best), while the border is in crisis, and while two major wars are being live streamed across the globe. This is all happening before any of the big Trump trials. This is all happening without some redrawn congressional maps in states where Democrats have gotten favorable rulings and are gearing up to gerrymander. If any of those issues turn in Democrats' favor between now and November, the hole Republicans are in will just get deeper.
The only question now is this: Is the GOP ready to try something new? If not, we can expect more of the same.