Joseph

An eccentric dreamer in search of truth and happiness for all.

[Joseph @josephlchu]

@eshear Notably, if you could live forever, you'd eventually see the stars die out, and then the sun really wouldn't rise tomorrow.

[Joseph @josephlchu]

@eshear No one lives forever. Given a finite number of trials, you can calculate the probability that an event will happen at least once (1 - (1 - p)^n). If it's more likely than not that the event will not happen even once in all the trials/your life, you can probably safely ignore it.

[Joseph @josephlchu]

And... Castle Craft is out in Early Access!!! :D

https://t.co/mKywKXjDWi

[Joseph @josephlchu]

People are not caricatures.

[Joseph @josephlchu]

It took me two years, but I finally figured out it was a reference to a Taylor Swift album.

[Joseph @josephlchu]

Synchronicities? Or shenanigans?

[Joseph @josephlchu]

@Joshua50054538 Ever heard of Soylent? Admittedly it's technically a drink, and you're not supposed to use it as a complete meal replacement, but apparently people have.

[Joseph @josephlchu]

I recently tried changing my avatar to a pic of Kousei Arima from Your Lie In April that I found online that was apparently AI generated. Later decided that lacked integrity from an art perspective, so I switched it now to a hand drawing that my wife did for an old birthday card.

[Joseph @josephlchu]

Do I know anyone on Bluesky or Threads or Mastodon?

[Joseph @josephlchu]

@RafaRuizdeLira I read it on Kindle. It was... weird and interesting. It does that old philosophy thing where it's framed as a dialogue between various characters, and then suddenly letters from a fox on a quest to save the world to his uncle. I found it rather fun to read.

[Joseph @josephlchu]

@peterwildeford Is there anything a Canadian or other non-American can or should do to help?

[Joseph @josephlchu]

Also, even if we can train and run a model the size of the human brain, it would still be orders of magnitude less energy efficient. Human brains use barely 20 watts. This hypothetical GPU brain would require enormous data centres of power, and each H100 GPU uses 700 watts alone.

[Joseph @josephlchu]

I've been looking at the numbers with regards to how many GPUs it would take to train a model with as many parameters as the human brain has synapses. The human brain has 100 trillion synapses, and they are sparse and very efficiently connected.

[Joseph @josephlchu]

However, keep in mind that training such a model would take a ton of compute time. I haven't done to calculations yet for FLOPS so I don't know if it's feasible yet.

Just some quick back of the envelope analysis.

[Joseph @josephlchu]

I ran out of the usage limit for GPT-4o (seems to just be 10 prompts every 5 hours) and it switched to GPT-4o-mini. I tried asking it the Alpha Omega question and it made some math nonsense up, so it seems like the model matters for this for some reason.

[Joseph @josephlchu]

So, a while back I came up with an obscure idea I called the Alpha Omega Theorem and posted it on the Less Wrong forums. Given how there's only one post about it, it shouldn't be something that LLMs would know about.

[Joseph @josephlchu]

Update: I tried telling Google Gemini not to use search, and it also said it did not know rather than making stuff up.