Josh Levent

Business Designer, Entrepreneur, contrarian, open to being corrected, I assume good faith, I will never do anything dumb on purpose.

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@int_mon_econ @Noahpinion I am deeply skeptical. Supposedly the pertaining covers 1984-2024, but the “out of sample” tests are done within that window. Footnote 11 mentions some “mitigations”, but these are extremely weak. The model doesn’t need to memorise a specific series to cheat!

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@Ydgrun @ESYudkowsky This. Although “interest rate targeting” risks confusing the instrument with the target. The current paradigm (used in most advanced economies) is inflation targeting using the interest rate as the primary policy tool.

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@abhagsain @Atomey2 @nikitabier Goes through Airbnb support. Have not heard of refused refund for legitimate reasons like this.

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@Luck30893653 @robertwiblin No, this is more than sarcasm, this is satire

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@robertwiblin

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@nddnjd18863 @visakanv Yes, and bringing the receipts is better. Loved reading that older thread.

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@SkywalkerFatima @martinmbauer

[Matthew Pirkowski @MattPirkowski]

The thing about “degrowth” is that it’s actually just an arc toward death.

And while its most eloquent advocates make it sound like a high-rent hospice center for the species, the reality is that the unwinding such policies would trigger if enacted leads quickly to the most catastrophic collapse scenarios imaginable.

The answer is not degrowth.

The answer is growth that maximizes planetary complexity while minimizing the degree to which any entropy not re-usable somewhere else as a source of free energy remains within planetary bounds.

Maximize energy flux through the system while increasing biocomplexity, health, etc.

The energy flux is not the issue. Life is its residue, actually. The issue is wasteful or destructive venting of entropy into systems not adapted to that form of locally entropic output as a free energy input.

Many hard problems to work on there, but at least solving those problems aligns with *both* our nature as an emergent extension of life’s fundamental constraints, *and* the thermodynamic needs of the AIs we’re now conjuring.

Unlike, y’know: “let’s just chill and die off slowly”, which actually means “let’s trigger a chain of events that ends with billions of people burning every tree to stay warm while hunting every squirrel to extinction and polluting every river and stream with our raw waste, while also starving of energy the very systems most likely to enable the above-described solutions.”

If we’re going to die off, it should not be as cowards—barely clinging to life because we decided we couldn’t trust ourselves to even take a shot.

If we’re to die, we should die doing what made us humans to begin with—stealing fire and making with our own hands our fate.

In that there’s both dignity and hope.

In that we don’t let down the Life that birthed us.

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@chaosprime PSA: a garden hose (if you have one hooked up nearby) is easily the best way to put out a fire like this. Fires require heat, fuel and oxygen and water acts powerfully on the first point (high heat capacity) and somewhat on the last point (both water and steam displace oxygen)

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@justmani @gdb @merettm @sidorszymon @aleks_madry @sama Did you mean Clippy-T-4? https://t.co/fVdLqnDwoJ

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@0xdhf @chaosprime I’ll keep this in mind if I ever want some really chaotic behavior in my code 😆

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@0xdhf @chaosprime Not sure if there is a name for this distribution but it looks like a binomial with a fatter tail.

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@0xdhf @chaosprime

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@PatrickTBrown31 Thanks for sharing this! Very useful to know as an aspiring scientist and aspiring useful-member-of-society. I'd also wondered about why some climate papers I read were so unrealistic.

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@tferriss Have you heard of Intermittent Hypoxia–Hyperoxia Therapy and if so, what do you think of it?

(Just saw that a fitness center near me offers it and I found a little bit of literature, but a recent review is not that informative: https://t.co/tIbWloYY2H)

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@visakanv @LosersOnDrugs @Aella_Girl 👆This!

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@MasterSquinch @katiedimartin @Inigo89561420 This person deserves 25 dollars

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

What do you think @fabiocanetg?

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

Powell making a very clear statement about the FEDs role towards fiscal policy at yesterday's press conference.

[Josh Levent @joshlevent]

@mechanical_monk This is what happens if you spend three hours trying to get a perfect score 🙈 I even wrote some python (didn't help in the end, was mostly dictionary and excel work).