just

Polymarket trends / Data-driven predictions / on-chain insights

[just @justs677]

There are tons of opinions out there. If you are confident in yours, back it up with money. Opinions are free, convictions are expensive. @Polymarket turns disputes into economic signals

[just @justs677]

looks like a good speculation

[gavelsv.patron @gavelsvtw]

Polymarket traders are mispricing this one badly

'Avatar: Fire and Ash' hasn't even released yet

@Polymarket traders already made $3,000,000 volume on The opening weekend market

Everyone's arguing numbers, but almost no one is looking at the setup

Avatar 3 clears $101M easily, and why $115–$125M is very much in play !

1. Look at the competition

Opening weekend matters less about how many people go to theaters
More about what they choose once they're there

The films releasing alongside Avatar are fine, but none of them compete for the same audience
- The Housemaid
- Is this thing on?
- Sponge Bob Movie

When Avatar is on the board, it dominates the decision

2. History keeps getting ignored

Avatar is a 15 year franchise with 2 films that shattered expectations

When Avatar 2 launched, critics called it weaker and predicted around $100M for opening weekend

Two days later it had pulled in $134M

People don't watch Avatar casually
They wait years for it, then show up in force

Now it's happening again

Some estimates are floating under $90M, which feels like recycled skepticism, not analysis

3. Early reactions matter

Critics who've seen previews are calling this the strongest Avatar movie yet
- Effects
- Story
- Scale

Bob Iger, Disney CEO called it the best of the series

That kind of confidence doesn't come out unless the studio knows what it has

No real competition. Massive built-in audience

Put that together and $101M feels like the floor that Avatar achieve easily

Polymarket is still offering cheap exposure across the higher ranges,

- 101-112m (15¢)
- 112-123m (6¢)
- >123m (2,5¢)

Stacking them prices the whole position at around 24¢

market link: https://t.co/Jd3jZyy13o

If Avatar 3 make more than $101M, that's roughly a 4x profit in few days

If you think $101M is 'too high' for one of the most cult franchises ever made, I’m genuinely curious

Where do you think opening weekend actually lands?

[just @justs677]

also, the sale started recently, and the largest amounts are always at the end

I don't plan to hold on to it until the end, I will sell as it grows

@Polymarket provides opportunities every day!

[just @justs677]

my next gamble

https://t.co/TET407wMBC

gensyn will raise more than 30m

at the moment, many people are having problems with their accounts (they are being sent for re-verification without phone links)

[just @justs677]

my next gamble

https://t.co/TET407wMBC

gensyn will raise more than 30m

at the moment, many people are having problems with their accounts (they are being sent for re-verification without phone links)

[just @justs677]

100% profit here! (It was 200% during the day)

check:
https://t.co/7GefKItc8F

[just @justs677]

Gamble here!

https://t.co/UB4zeFqAyc

~6-7x If Lighter delays the airdrop for another couple of weeks!

The odds on No will also increase if there are no announcements in the next few days

[just @justs677]

Gamble here!

https://t.co/UB4zeFqAyc

~6-7x If Lighter delays the airdrop for another couple of weeks!

The odds on No will also increase if there are no announcements in the next few days

[Wasif💎 @Was1f_R]

https://t.co/oZCZIfubj9

Looks like a good gamble!

All because of the condition “If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to ”No.“”

If, like me, you don't believe Lighter will be released by the end of the year, there's a good chance you'll get about 3x your investment.
According to insiders, they won't make it in time.

[just @justs677]

polyGM💙

[just @justs677]

What about the Santa Rally!?

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

BREAKING: Trump closes the airspace “above and around” Venezuela due to flying drug traffickers.

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

JUST IN: Some New Yorkers are getting $12,000 in crypto for a Universal Basic Income experiment, sponsored by Coinbase.

[just @justs677]

Polymarket Odds Monad FDV Is More Than $3B At Launch Falls Under 50% For First Time - ICO Reaches 80% Filled And Premarket Perps Fall To Being 20% Away From Sale Price!

[just @justs677]

We live in amazing times!

[Polymarket Traders @PolymarketTrade]

Don't forget.

Connect 𝕏 account, tweet about Polymarket.

???

Profit?

[just @justs677]

Sometimes all it takes is belief to become part of something grand.

[Hennessy @HennessyTTR]

Today I’d like to tell you about a legend of Polymarket.

He joined @Polymarket in October 2024.

➮ Priority bets: politics.
➮ Biggest win: 8.3 million dollars.
➮ Total capital growth: 22 million dollars.
➮ He made only 22 bets, 18 of which closed in profit.
➮ He took the honorable first place on Polymarket.

He chose a one-direction strategy, where he bet on everything related to Trump and against his competitors.

He no longer trades, so for me he is simply a perfect example.

https://t.co/XYswV9wgxG

[just @justs677]

Incredible.

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

AAAAAND NEW…

Official Exclusive Prediction Market of the UFC & TKO.

POLYMARKET

[just @justs677]

Sometimes markets give you good entry points

Take advantage of opportunities

You can try writing a bot that will monitor prices for trending events and, if the price rises too quickly in a given time period, send you a notification

[just @justs677]

@Polymarket And also...

Yahoo Finance selects Polymarket as exclusive prediction market partner

😉

[just @justs677]

Fantasy sports operator PrizePicks is entering the prediction markets space in partnership with Polymarket

Another day - another bullish news about Polymarket

PolyGM💙

[just @justs677]

What are the chances of Lighter being released this year?
The potential ~5x looks very attractive if you think the release will be later than December 31

[just @justs677]

Sometimes Polymarkets scare me...